Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 04:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Cruzeiro 30%). The final result was U. Catolica 0–0 Cruzeiro. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
1
0.83
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
2
12
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Giani
13'
21'
Artur Jorge
29'
Kaiki
37'
L. Romero
48'
K. Arroyo
F. Zuqui
/ G. Medel
63'
E. Mena
/ J. A. Martinez
63'
C. Montes
/ M. Palavecino
63'
M. Palavecino
66'
78'
Kenji
/
L. Romero
78'
Joao Marcelo
/
Christian
Pre-match prediction
42.78%
U.
26.54%
X ←
30.68%
Cruzeiro
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
0.83
-0.6
1.11
0.54
-0.57
xG dominance was balanced (0.83 – 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Vicente Bernedo
G
Vicente Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
63'
D
Eugenio Mena
63'
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
6
D
20
J. Valencia
M
J. Valencia
M
7
J. Giani
M
J. Giani
M
15
C. Cuevas
M
C. Cuevas
M
8
Fernando Zuqui
63'
M
Fernando Zuqui
63'
M
11
C. Montes
63'
M
C. Montes
63'
M
9
F. Zampedri
F
F. Zampedri
F
Bench
5
Agustín Farías
M
Agustín Farías
M
13
Alfred Canales
M
Alfred Canales
M
17
G. Medel
31'
D
14
Jimmy Martínez
31'
M
Jimmy Martínez
31'
M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
10
M. Palavecino
31'
M
M. Palavecino
31'
M
81
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fágner
D
Fágner
D
29
Lucas Romero
78'
M
Lucas Romero
78'
M
11
Gerson
M
Gerson
M
88
Christian
78'
M
Christian
78'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
99
K. Arroyo
48'
M
K. Arroyo
48'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
F
Kaio Jorge
F
Bench
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
8
Matheus Henrique
M
Matheus Henrique
M
94
Wanderson
F
Wanderson
F
12
William Furtado
D
Best on the pitch
G · Cruzeiro
7.70
· 30 pass
D · U.
7.60
· 30 pass
Fernando Zuqui
M · U.
7.60
· 17 pass
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 50 pass
J. Valencia
M · U.
7.30
1 shots
· 61 pass
Kaiki
D · Cruzeiro
7.20
· 21 pass
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Bernedo | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Valencia | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Zuqui | M | 63 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Montes | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Medel | D | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Martínez | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Kaiki | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Fágner | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gerson | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Arroyo | M | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | 1 |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was U. Catolica 0–0 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 42% probability to a U. Catolica win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Cruzeiro win.