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Primera División · Regular Season - 16 July 26, 2026 02:00
U. Catolica
#3 · 30 pts
3 – 3
Final score
D. La Serena
#13 · 20 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction U. Catolica, result Draw
F. Zampedri 28' (pen.)
E. Mena (ast. J. Diaz) 40'
F. Zampedri 90'+9
72' (ast. J. Vargas) G. Figueroa
81' (ast. G. Figueroa) M. Marin
86' (ast. L. Alarcon) G. Figueroa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 64% win probability (draw 18%, D. La Serena 17%). The final result was U. Catolica 3–3 D. La Serena. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for D. La Serena.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
5
25
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
I. Rasso
⚽F. Zampedri (pen.)
28'
⚽E. Mena · ast. J. Diaz
40'
45'+2
M. Marin
46'
G. Figueroa / D. Rubio ↕
46'
S. Diaz / A. Oroz ↕
53'
M. Pinto / J. Gutierrez ↕
↕ F. Zuqui / M. Palavecino
65'
↕ D. Corral / J. A. Martinez
65'
72'
ast. J. Vargas · G. Figueroa⚽
77'
F. Dinamarca / Y. Salazar ↕
81'
ast. G. Figueroa · M. Marin⚽
↕ J. Giani / A. Farias
82'
↕ C. Cuevas / J. Rossel
82'
86'
ast. L. Alarcon · G. Figueroa⚽
90'+3
M. Velasquez / M. Marin ↕
⚽F. Zampedri
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
64.48%
U.
18.3%
X ←
17.22%
D.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
U.
2.93
—
—
D.
1.55
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 18 45
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 18 33
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 18 30
4 Palestino Palestino 18 27
5 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 18 26
6 Nublense Nublense 17 26
7 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 17 25
8 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 17 24
9 Huachipato Huachipato 18 24
10 Concepción Concepción 18 23
11 O'Higgins O'Higgins 18 23
12 A. Italiano A. Italiano 18 20
13 D. La Serena D. La Serena 18 20
14 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 17 19
15 Cobresal Cobresal 18 17
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 18 13
Lineups
U. Catolica U. Catolica 4-2-3-1
27 Darío Melo Darío Melo G 7.30
3 Eugenio Mena Eugenio Mena 1 ⚽ D 6.30
26 Juan Ignacio Díaz Juan Ignacio Díaz 1 👟 D 6.70
2 Daniel González Daniel González D 5.90
6 Sebastián Arancibia Sebastián Arancibia D 7.30
20 J. Valencia J. Valencia M 6.90
8 Fernando Zuqui Fernando Zuqui 65' M 7.00
7 J. Giani J. Giani 82' M 6.50
15 C. Cuevas C. Cuevas 82' M 7.60
25 Diego Corral Diego Corral 65' M 6.60
9 F. Zampedri F. Zampedri 2 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
5 Agustín Farías Agustín Farías 15' M 6.30
13 Alfred Canales Alfred Canales M
28 Bernardo Cerezo Bernardo Cerezo D
12 Francisco Valdés Francisco Valdés G
14 Jimmy Martínez Jimmy Martínez 32' M 6.30
18 Juan Francisco Rossel Juan Francisco Rossel 15' F 6.30
22 Martín Gómez Martín Gómez M
10 M. Palavecino M. Palavecino 32' M 6.70
39 Nicolás L'Huiller Nicolás L'Huiller D
D. La Serena D. La Serena 4-3-3
31 José Tapia José Tapia G 6.30
17 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar 77' D 6.00
34 Ian Rasso Ian Rasso D 6.30
5 Lucas Alarcón Lucas Alarcón D 7.00
16 Joaquín Gutiérrez Joaquín Gutiérrez 53' D 6.30
10 J. Vargas J. Vargas 1 👟 M 6.30
4 F. Mac Allister F. Mac Allister M 7.30
8 Gonzalo Escalante Gonzalo Escalante M 7.20
11 D. Rubio D. Rubio 45' F 6.60
23 Matías Marín Matías Marín 1 ⚽ F 7.70
7 Alexander Oroz Alexander Oroz 45' F 6.50
Bench
9 Ángelo Henríquez Ángelo Henríquez F
19 Bastián Sandoval Bastián Sandoval F
26 Fernando Dinamarca Fernando Dinamarca 20' D 6.20
38 Ignacio Sáez Ignacio Sáez G
28 Joan Orellana Joan Orellana M
29 Matías Pinto Matías Pinto 44' D 6.90
20 Milovan Velásquez Milovan Velásquez 4' M
6 S. Díaz S. Díaz 52' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
Matías Marín
Matías Marín
F · D.
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots · 24 pass
C. Cuevas
C. Cuevas
M · U.
7.60
1 shots · 33 pass
Darío Melo
Darío Melo
G · U.
7.30
· 39 pass
F. Mac Allister
F. Mac Allister
M · D.
7.30
1 shots · 58 pass
Sebastián Arancibia
Sebastián Arancibia
D · U.
7.30
· 37 pass
Gonzalo Escalante
Gonzalo Escalante
M · D.
7.20
· 67 pass
U. Catolica U. Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Darío Melo G 97 7.30 — — — 39 31% — — —
Eugenio Mena D 97 6.30 1 — 2 40 29% 1 — —
Juan Ignacio Díaz D 97 6.70 — 1 — 38 30% 5 — —
Daniel González D 97 5.90 — — 1 38 36% — — —
Sebastián Arancibia D 97 7.30 — — — 37 31% 7 — —
J. Valencia M 97 6.90 — — 1 52 39% 2 — —
Fernando Zuqui M 65 7.00 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
J. Giani M 82 6.50 — — 1 28 20% 1 — —
C. Cuevas M 82 7.60 — — 1 33 25% 4 — —
Diego Corral M 65 6.60 — — 1 17 15% — — —
F. Zampedri F 97 7.00 2 — 1 12 7% — — —
Agustín Farías M 15 6.30 — — 1 11 7% 1 — —
Jimmy Martínez M 32 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Juan Francisco Rossel F 15 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
M. Palavecino M 32 6.70 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
D. La Serena D. La Serena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
José Tapia G 97 6.30 — — — 31 19% — — —
Y. Salazar D 77 6.00 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
Ian Rasso D 97 6.30 — — — 49 43% 1 1 —
Lucas Alarcón D 97 7.00 — — — 46 40% 2 — —
Joaquín Gutiérrez D 53 6.30 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
J. Vargas M 97 6.30 — 1 2 41 37% — — —
F. Mac Allister M 97 7.30 — — 1 58 44% 2 — —
Gonzalo Escalante M 97 7.20 — — — 67 57% 2 — —
D. Rubio F 45 6.60 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
Matías Marín F 93 7.70 1 — 5 24 21% — 1 —
Alexander Oroz F 45 6.50 — — 2 6 5% — — —
Fernando Dinamarca D 20 6.20 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
Matías Pinto D 44 6.90 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
Milovan Velásquez M 4 — — — — — — — — —
S. Díaz M 52 6.60 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs D. La Serena?
The final score was U. Catolica 3–3 D. La Serena.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs D. La Serena?
The model assigned 64% probability to a U. Catolica win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an D. La Serena win.