Primera División
· Regular Season - 16
July 26, 2026 02:00
✗Model wrong — prediction U. Catolica, result Draw
F. Zampedri
28'
(pen.)
E. Mena
(ast. J. Diaz)
40'
F. Zampedri
90'+9
72'
(ast. J. Vargas)
G. Figueroa
81'
(ast. G. Figueroa)
M. Marin
86'
(ast. L. Alarcon)
G. Figueroa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 64% win probability (draw 18%, D. La Serena 17%). The final result was U. Catolica 3–3 D. La Serena. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for D. La Serena.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
5
25
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
I. Rasso
⚽F. Zampedri
(pen.)
28'
⚽E. Mena
· ast. J. Diaz
40'
45'+2
M. Marin
46'
G. Figueroa
/
D. Rubio
46'
S. Diaz
/
A. Oroz
53'
M. Pinto
/
J. Gutierrez
F. Zuqui
/ M. Palavecino
65'
D. Corral
/ J. A. Martinez
65'
72'
ast. J. Vargas ·
G. Figueroa⚽
77'
F. Dinamarca
/
Y. Salazar
81'
ast. G. Figueroa ·
M. Marin⚽
J. Giani
/ A. Farias
82'
C. Cuevas
/ J. Rossel
82'
86'
ast. L. Alarcon ·
G. Figueroa⚽
90'+3
M. Velasquez
/
M. Marin
⚽F. Zampedri
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
64.48%
U.
18.3%
X ←
17.22%
D.
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
—
—
1.55
—
—
Lineups
27
Darío Melo
G
Darío Melo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
1 ⚽
D
Eugenio Mena
1 ⚽
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
1 👟
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
1 👟
D
2
D. Gónzalez
D
D. Gónzalez
D
6
S. Arancibia
D
S. Arancibia
D
20
J. Valencia
M
J. Valencia
M
8
F. Zuqui
65'
M
F. Zuqui
65'
M
7
J. Giani
82'
M
J. Giani
82'
M
15
C. Cuevas
82'
M
C. Cuevas
82'
M
25
D. Corral
65'
M
D. Corral
65'
M
9
F. Zampedri
2 ⚽
F
F. Zampedri
2 ⚽
F
Bench
13
A. Canales
M
A. Canales
M
5
A. Farías
15'
M
A. Farías
15'
M
28
B. Cerezo
D
B. Cerezo
D
12
Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios
G
Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios
G
14
J. Martínez
32'
M
J. Martínez
32'
M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
15'
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
15'
F
22
Martín Gómez
M
Martín Gómez
M
10
M. Palavecino
32'
M
M. Palavecino
32'
M
39
N. L’Huillier
D
N. L’Huillier
D
31
J. Tapia
G
J. Tapia
G
17
Y. Salazar
77'
D
Y. Salazar
77'
D
34
I. Rasso
D
I. Rasso
D
5
L. Alarcón
D
L. Alarcón
D
16
J. Gutiérrez
53'
D
J. Gutiérrez
53'
D
10
J. Vargas
1 👟
M
J. Vargas
1 👟
M
4
F. Mac Allister
M
F. Mac Allister
M
8
G. Escalante
M
G. Escalante
M
11
D. Rubio
45'
F
D. Rubio
45'
F
23
M. Marín
1 ⚽
F
M. Marín
1 ⚽
F
7
A. Oroz
45'
F
A. Oroz
45'
F
Bench
9
Á. Henríquez
F
Á. Henríquez
F
19
Bastián Sandoval
F
Bastián Sandoval
F
26
F. Dinamarca
20'
D
F. Dinamarca
20'
D
38
Ignacio Sáez
G
Ignacio Sáez
G
28
Joan Orellana
M
Joan Orellana
M
20
Milovan Velasquez
4'
M
Milovan Velasquez
4'
M
29
M. Pinto
44'
D
M. Pinto
44'
D
6
S. Díaz
52'
M
S. Díaz
52'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Marín
F · D.
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 24 pass
C. Cuevas
M · U.
7.60
1 shots
· 33 pass
Darío Melo
G · U.
7.30
· 39 pass
F. Mac Allister
M · D.
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
S. Arancibia
D · U.
7.30
· 37 pass
G. Escalante
M · D.
7.20
· 67 pass
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darío Melo | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 97 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Gónzalez | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| S. Arancibia | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 7 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Zuqui | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 82 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Corral | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 97 | 7.00 | 2 | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Farías | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martínez | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Juan Francisco Rossel | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
D. La Serena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tapia | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Y. Salazar | D | 77 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Rasso | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Alarcón | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| F. Mac Allister | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Escalante | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rubio | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Marín | F | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 24 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Oroz | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Dinamarca | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Milovan Velasquez | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pinto | D | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Díaz | M | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs D. La Serena?
The final score was U. Catolica 3–3 D. La Serena.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs D. La Serena?
The model assigned 64% probability to a U. Catolica win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an D. La Serena win.