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Primera División · Regular Season - 16 July 26, 2026 02:00
U. Catolica
#3 · 49 pts
3 – 3
Final score
D. La Serena
#9 · 37 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction U. Catolica, result Draw
F. Zampedri 28' (pen.)
E. Mena (ast. J. Diaz) 40'
F. Zampedri 90'+9
72' (ast. J. Vargas) G. Figueroa
81' (ast. G. Figueroa) M. Marin
86' (ast. L. Alarcon) G. Figueroa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 64% win probability (draw 18%, D. La Serena 17%). The final result was U. Catolica 3–3 D. La Serena. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for D. La Serena.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
5
25
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
I. Rasso
⚽F. Zampedri (pen.)
28'
⚽E. Mena · ast. J. Diaz
40'
45'+2
M. Marin
46'
G. Figueroa / D. Rubio ↕
46'
S. Diaz / A. Oroz ↕
53'
M. Pinto / J. Gutierrez ↕
↕ F. Zuqui / M. Palavecino
65'
↕ D. Corral / J. A. Martinez
65'
72'
ast. J. Vargas · G. Figueroa⚽
77'
F. Dinamarca / Y. Salazar ↕
81'
ast. G. Figueroa · M. Marin⚽
↕ J. Giani / A. Farias
82'
↕ C. Cuevas / J. Rossel
82'
86'
ast. L. Alarcon · G. Figueroa⚽
90'+3
M. Velasquez / M. Marin ↕
⚽F. Zampedri
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
64.48%
U.
18.3%
X ←
17.22%
D.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
U.
2.93
—
—
D.
1.55
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 27 61
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 27 51
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 27 49
4 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 27 40
5 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 27 40
6 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 26 38
7 Palestino Palestino 27 38
8 Concepción Concepción 27 38
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 27 37
10 Nublense Nublense 27 35
11 Huachipato Huachipato 26 33
12 O'Higgins O'Higgins 27 31
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 27 30
14 Cobresal Cobresal 27 27
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 27 26
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 27 24
Lineups
U. Catolica U. Catolica 4-2-3-1
27 D. Melo D. Melo G 7.30
3 E. Mena E. Mena 1 ⚽ D 6.30
26 J. Díaz J. Díaz 1 👟 D 6.70
2 D. Gónzalez D. Gónzalez D 5.90
6 S. Arancibia S. Arancibia D 7.30
20 J. Valencia J. Valencia M 6.90
8 F. Zuqui F. Zuqui 65' M 7.00
7 J. Giani J. Giani 82' M 6.50
15 C. Cuevas C. Cuevas 82' M 7.60
25 D. Corral D. Corral 65' M 6.60
9 F. Zampedri F. Zampedri 2 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
13 A. Canales A. Canales M
5 A. Farías A. Farías 15' M 6.30
28 B. Cerezo B. Cerezo D
12 Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios Francisco Antonio Valdés Rios G
14 J. Martínez J. Martínez 32' M 6.30
18 J. Rossel J. Rossel 15' F 6.30
22 Martín Gómez Martín Gómez M
10 M. Palavecino M. Palavecino 32' M 6.70
39 N. L’Huillier N. L’Huillier D
D. La Serena D. La Serena 4-3-3
31 J. Tapia J. Tapia G 6.30
17 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar 77' D 6.00
34 I. Rasso I. Rasso D 6.30
5 L. Alarcón L. Alarcón D 7.00
16 J. Gutiérrez J. Gutiérrez 53' D 6.30
10 J. Vargas J. Vargas 1 👟 M 6.30
4 F. Mac Allister F. Mac Allister M 7.30
8 G. Escalante G. Escalante M 7.20
11 D. Rubio D. Rubio 45' F 6.60
23 M. Marín M. Marín 1 ⚽ F 7.70
7 A. Oroz A. Oroz 45' F 6.50
Bench
9 Á. Henríquez Á. Henríquez F
19 Bastián Sandoval Bastián Sandoval F
26 F. Dinamarca F. Dinamarca 20' D 6.20
38 Ignacio Sáez Ignacio Sáez G
20 Milovan Velasquez Milovan Velasquez 4' M
29 M. Pinto M. Pinto 44' D 6.90
28 N. Orellana N. Orellana M
6 S. Díaz S. Díaz 52' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
M. Marín
M. Marín
F · D.
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots · 24 pass
C. Cuevas
C. Cuevas
M · U.
7.60
1 shots · 33 pass
D. Melo
D. Melo
G · U.
7.30
· 39 pass
F. Mac Allister
F. Mac Allister
M · D.
7.30
1 shots · 58 pass
S. Arancibia
S. Arancibia
D · U.
7.30
· 37 pass
G. Escalante
G. Escalante
M · D.
7.20
· 67 pass
U. Catolica U. Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Melo G 97 7.30 — — — 39 31% — — —
E. Mena D 97 6.30 1 — 2 40 29% 1 — —
J. Díaz D 97 6.70 — 1 — 38 30% 5 — —
D. Gónzalez D 97 5.90 — — 1 38 36% — — —
S. Arancibia D 97 7.30 — — — 37 31% 7 — —
J. Valencia M 97 6.90 — — 1 52 39% 2 — —
F. Zuqui M 65 7.00 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
J. Giani M 82 6.50 — — 1 28 20% 1 — —
C. Cuevas M 82 7.60 — — 1 33 25% 4 — —
D. Corral M 65 6.60 — — 1 17 15% — — —
F. Zampedri F 97 7.00 2 — 1 12 7% — — —
A. Farías M 15 6.30 — — 1 11 7% 1 — —
J. Martínez M 32 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
J. Rossel F 15 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
M. Palavecino M 32 6.70 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
D. La Serena D. La Serena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Tapia G 97 6.30 — — — 31 19% — — —
Y. Salazar D 77 6.00 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
I. Rasso D 97 6.30 — — — 49 43% 1 1 —
L. Alarcón D 97 7.00 — — — 46 40% 2 — —
J. Gutiérrez D 53 6.30 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
J. Vargas M 97 6.30 — 1 2 41 37% — — —
F. Mac Allister M 97 7.30 — — 1 58 44% 2 — —
G. Escalante M 97 7.20 — — — 67 57% 2 — —
D. Rubio F 45 6.60 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
M. Marín F 93 7.70 1 — 5 24 21% — 1 —
A. Oroz F 45 6.50 — — 2 6 5% — — —
F. Dinamarca D 20 6.20 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
Milovan Velasquez M 4 — — — — — — — — —
M. Pinto D 44 6.90 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
S. Díaz M 52 6.60 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs D. La Serena?
The final score was U. Catolica 3–3 D. La Serena.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs D. La Serena?
The model assigned 64% probability to a U. Catolica win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an D. La Serena win.