Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 19, 2026 02:30
44'
(ast. B. Rodriguez)
J. Correa
53'
(ast. E. Mancuso)
G. Carrillo
83'
(ast. E. Cetre)
G. Carrillo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 41% win probability (draw 26%, U. Catolica 31%). The final result was U. Catolica 0–3 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
7
0.48
Actual xG
1.26
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
1
Match Events
35'
J. Correa
/
T. Palacios
44'
ast. B. Rodriguez ·
J. Correa⚽
45'+4
G. Benedetti
D. Corral
/ C. Montes
46'
J. Valencia
48'
A. Farias
50'
53'
ast. E. Mancuso ·
G. Carrillo⚽
A. Farias
/ S. Arancibia
59'
J. A. Martinez
/ M. Palavecino
59'
60'
Gabriel Neves
/
A. Castro
60'
E. Cetre
/
J. Burgos
60'
E. Meza
/
B. Rodriguez
65'
T. Palacios
M. Gomez
/ I. Perez
71'
J. Valencia
/ A. Canales
79'
82'
V. Pierani
/
E. Mancuso
83'
ast. E. Cetre ·
G. Carrillo⚽
86'
L. Piovi
Pre-match prediction
31.94%
U.
26.44%
X
41.62%
Estudiantes ←
we assigned to the actual result (Estudiantes L.P.)
41.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
0.48
-1.42
2.63
1.26
-1.37
Estudiantes L.P. dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was U. Catolica 0–3 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 31% probability to a U. Catolica win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.