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U. Catolica - Estudiantes L.P.

Copa Libertadores August 18, 2026 22:00
U. Catolica
#1 · 13 pts
vs
Estudiantes L.P.
#2 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.82%
Win
U. Catolica
24.9%
Draw
27.29%
Win
Estudiantes L.P.
3.14
Expected xG
1.72

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.4%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 48%
X 25%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 52%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives U. Catolica a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Estudiantes L.P.. Expected goals are 3.1 for U. Catolica and 1.7 for Estudiantes L.P. (total 4.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.4% probability.

Season Stats

U. Catolica
4W 1D 1L
Estudiantes L.P.
2W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.0
0.7
Conceded
0.8
4.7
Shots OT
5.0
4.7
Corners
5.0
46%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
17%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
U. Catolica
1W 1D 1L · at home
Estudiantes L.P.
0W 2D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
1.0
33%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
67%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ U. Catolica Estudiantes L.P. →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
2 3.8% 6.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.9% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

U. Catolica U. Catolica
W Boca Juniors 0–1
W Barcelona SC 2–0
D Cruzeiro 0–0
W Barcelona SC 1–2
W Cruzeiro 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
L Flamengo 1–0
D Cusco 1–1
D Flamengo 1–1
W Cusco 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

U. Catolica U. Catolica
Attack
50
Defence
67
Form
66
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
41
Defence
69
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model gives U. Catolica a 47% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 27% for an Estudiantes L.P. win.
How many goals are expected in U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Expected goals: U. Catolica 3.1, Estudiantes L.P. 1.7 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.4%.