Primera División
· Regular Season - 26
November 01, 2026 16:30
Clemente Montes
(ast. Jimmy Martínez)
4'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad de Chile a 50% win probability (draw 21%, U. Catolica 28%). The final result was U. Catolica 1–0 Universidad de Chile. In 1 previous meetings, U. Catolica have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universidad de Chile.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
0
0.82
Actual xG
0.83
0
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
2
Corners
4
17
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Clemente Montes
· ast. Jimmy Martínez
4'
42'
Nicolás Ramírez
Juan Francisco Rossel
/ Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores
45'
Clemente Montes
/ Justo Giani
58'
Cristian Cuevas
62'
66'
Octavio Rivero
/
Ignacio Vásquez
66'
Charles Aránguiz
Jhojan Valencia
/ Alfred Canales
75'
Eugenio Mena
/ Agustín García Basso
75'
76'
Lucas Emilio Barrera Hacicki
/
Charles Aránguiz
76'
Javier Altamirano
/
Tobías Reinhart
78'
80'
Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores
/ Diego Corral Contreras
86'
86'
Fabián Hormazabal
/
Nicolás Ramírez
86'
Juan Martin Lucero
/
Agustín Arce
Fernando Zampedri
90'+7
90'+7
Maximiliano Guerrero
Pre-match prediction
28.28%
U. ←
21.6%
X
50.12%
Universidad
we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica)
28.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.82
-0.47
2.11
0.83
-1.28
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 0.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
27
D. Melo
G
D. Melo
G
3
E. Mena
75'
D
E. Mena
75'
D
26
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
5
A. Farías
D
A. Farías
D
23
D
20
J. Valencia
75'
M
J. Valencia
75'
M
15
C. Cuevas
M
C. Cuevas
M
18
J. Rossel
45'
M
J. Rossel
45'
M
14
J. Martínez
1 👟
M
J. Martínez
1 👟
M
11
Clemente Montes
1 ⚽
58'
M
9
F. Zampedri
F
F. Zampedri
F
Bench
13
A. Canales
15'
M
A. Canales
15'
M
21
A. García
15'
D
A. García
15'
D
25
D. Corral
4'
F
D. Corral
4'
F
30
D. Valencia
F
D. Valencia
F
7
J. Giani
32'
M
J. Giani
32'
M
22
M. Gómez
M
M. Gómez
M
10
M. Palavecino
M
M. Palavecino
M
6
S. Arancibia
41'
D
S. Arancibia
41'
D
1
V. Bernedo
G
V. Bernedo
G
25
G. Castellón
G
G. Castellón
G
5
N. Ramírez
86'
D
N. Ramírez
86'
D
22
M. Zaldivia
D
M. Zaldivia
D
3
I. Lichnovsky
D
I. Lichnovsky
D
14
M. Morales
M
M. Morales
M
20
C. Aránguiz
76'
M
C. Aránguiz
76'
M
15
T. Reinhart
76'
M
T. Reinhart
76'
M
7
M. Guerrero
M
M. Guerrero
M
23
I. Vásquez
66'
F
I. Vásquez
66'
F
11
E. Vargas
F
E. Vargas
F
28
Agustín Arce
86'
F
Bench
1
C. Toselli
G
C. Toselli
G
17
F. Hormazábal
4'
F
F. Hormazábal
4'
F
8
I. Poblete
M
I. Poblete
M
19
J. Altamirano
14'
M
J. Altamirano
14'
M
18
J. Lucero
4'
F
J. Lucero
4'
F
29
L. Barrera
14'
M
L. Barrera
14'
M
21
M. Díaz
M
M. Díaz
M
6
N. Fernández
D
N. Fernández
D
9
O. Rivero
24'
F
O. Rivero
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Clemente Montes
M · U.
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
M. Zaldivia
D · Universidad
7.52
1 shots
· 75 pass
I. Lichnovsky
D · Universidad
7.41
· 67 pass
J. Martínez
M · U.
7.23
1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
A. García
D · U.
6.95
· 2 pass
J. Rossel
M · U.
6.87
1 shots
· 11 pass
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Melo | G | 90 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mena | D | 75 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Farías | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Valencia | M | 75 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Rossel | M | 45 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Martínez | M | 90 | 7.23 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Clemente Montes | M | 58 | 7.62 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Canales | M | 15 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| A. García | D | 15 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Corral | F | 4 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Arancibia | D | 41 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Universidad de Chile — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Castellón | G | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Ramírez | D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 60% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Zaldivia | D | 90 | 7.52 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Lichnovsky | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Morales | M | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Aránguiz | M | 76 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Reinhart | M | 76 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guerrero | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Vásquez | F | 66 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Vargas | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Agustín Arce | F | 86 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Hormazábal | F | 4 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Altamirano | M | 14 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Lucero | F | 4 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Barrera | M | 14 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Rivero | F | 24 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?
The final score was U. Catolica 1–0 Universidad de Chile.
What did the model predict before U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?
The model assigned 28% probability to a U. Catolica win, 21% to a draw, and 50% to an Universidad de Chile win.