Liga MX
· Clausura - Quarter-finals
May 11, 2026 03:15
R. Duarte
3'
Nathan Silva
(ast. P. Vite)
13'
J. Carrillo
(ast. Juninho)
23'
30'
(ast. A. Zendejas)
P. Salas
(pen.)
40'
A. Zendejas
61'
(ast. B. Rodriguez)
A. Zendejas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Club America 25%). The final result was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–3 Club America. In 3 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Club America.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
6
1.16
Actual xG
3.36
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
16
Match Events
⚽R. Duarte
3'
⚽Nathan Silva
· ast. P. Vite
13'
⚽J. Carrillo
· ast. Juninho
23'
30'
ast. A. Zendejas ·
P. Salas⚽
40'
(pen.)
A. Zendejas⚽
45'+9
Juninho
45'+10
46'
H. Martin
/
P. Salas
61'
ast. B. Rodriguez ·
A. Zendejas⚽
U. Antuna
/ T. Leone
65'
J. Carrillo
/ C. Garza
75'
R. Lopez
/ P. Bennevendo
75'
75'
Lima
/
E. Sanchez
76'
Rodrigo Dourado
/
J. dos Santos
76'
Raphael Veiga
/
D. Espinoza
A. Angulo
80'
Juninho
/ A. Azuaje
82'
A. Carrasquilla
85'
85'
(missed pen.)
H. Martin⚽
90'+1
N. Araujo
/
K. Alvarez
90'+5
N. Araujo
Pre-match prediction
53.79%
U.N.A.M.
21.01%
X ←
25.2%
Club
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.43
1.16
-1.27
1.55
3.36
+1.81
Club America dominated by xG (3.36 vs 1.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America?
The final score was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–3 Club America.
What did the model predict before U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America?
The model assigned 53% probability to a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 21% to a draw, and 25% to an Club America win.