U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul — pre-match prediction — Liga MX — May 25, 2026

← Liga MX

Liga MX · Clausura - Final May 25, 2026 03:00

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

#1 · 36 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Cruz Azul

#1 · 4 pts

R. Morales 31'

(og) 54' R. Duarte

90'+5 C. Rotondi

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 38% win probability (draw 28%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 33%). The final result was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul. In 3 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.53

Actual xG

0.96

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽R. Morales

31'

36'

G. Fernandez / J. Paradela ↕

R. Lopez

45'

54'

(og) R. Duarte⚽

↕ A. Carrasquilla / S. Trigos

59'

↕ R. Duarte / P. Bennevendo

72'

79'

J. Rodarte / A. Garcia ↕

↕ R. Lopez / A. Rico

85'

U. Antuna

90'+3

90'+5

C. Rotondi⚽

A. Rico

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

33.01%

U.N.A.M.

28.56%

38.43%

Cruz ←

we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul) 38.43% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

U.N.A.M.

1.36

0.53

-0.83

Cruz

1.62

0.96

-0.66

Cruz Azul dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.53). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monterrey	2	3
1	Cruz Azul	2	4
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	36
1	Toluca	2	3
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	35
1	Toluca	17	37
1	CF Pachuca	1	3
1	FC Juarez	1	3
2	Tigres UANL	17	36
2	CF Pachuca	1	0
2	Tigres UANL	2	3
2	Toluca	2	3
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	36
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	33
2	Toluca	2	4
2	Club Tijuana	1	3
3	Cruz Azul	17	35
3	Cruz Azul	2	2
3	Cruz Azul	17	33
3	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	0
3	CF Pachuca	16	31
3	Tigres UANL	2	3
4	FC Juarez	1	0
4	CF Pachuca	17	31
4	Monterrey	2	3
4	Cruz Azul	16	30
4	Tigres UANL	2	2
4	Club America	17	34
5	Monterrey	17	31
5	Club America	2	3
5	Toluca	16	27
5	Toluca	17	30
6	Club America	16	25
6	Guadalajara Chivas	17	29
6	Club Tijuana	2	3
6	Atlas	17	26
7	Tigres UANL	17	25
7	Club Tijuana	17	24
7	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1
7	Atlas	16	23
8	Club America	17	25
8	FC Juarez	17	23
8	Tigres UANL	16	22
8	FC Juarez	2	1
9	Club Tijuana	16	22
9	CF Pachuca	17	22
9	Club Tijuana	17	23
10	Leon	17	22
10	Leon	16	22
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	21
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
11	Santos Laguna	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	FC Juarez	17	19
12	Monterrey	16	18
13	Atletico San Luis	16	18
13	Monterrey	17	18
13	Necaxa	17	17
14	Atlas	17	17
14	Necaxa	16	18
14	Atletico San Luis	17	18
15	FC Juarez	16	16
15	Atletico San Luis	17	16
15	Necaxa	17	18
16	Mazatlán	17	14
16	Mazatlán	17	15
16	Mazatlán	16	15
17	Leon	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
18	Puebla	17	12
18	Santos Laguna	16	9
18	Santos Laguna	17	12

Lineups

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-4-2

Keylor Navas G 6.60

Álvaro Angulo D 6.30

Rubén Duarte 1 ⚽ 72' D 6.30

Nathan Silva D 6.30

Rodrigo Lopez 85' D 6.30

Jordan Carrillo M 6.90

Pedro Vite M 7.30

A. Carrasquilla 59' M 6.70

Uriel Antuna M 6.50

Juninho F 6.60

R. Morales 1 ⚽ F 8.20

Bench

215

Angel Azuaje D

Ángel Rico 13' M 6.20

Antonio Leone D

Cesar Garza M

193

Dennis Ramirez M

Jesús Rivas D

Pablo Bennevendo 18' D 6.30

Pablo Lara G

Santiago Trigos 31' M 6.20

Ulises Rivas M

Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1

Kevin Mier G 6.30

Omar Campos D 7.50

G. Piovi D 6.90

W. Ditta D 7.70

Jeremy Márquez D 7.20

Agustín Palavecino M 6.90

Amaury Garcia 79' M 6.60

C. Rotondi 1 ⚽ M 7.20

C. Rodríguez M 6.70

J. Paradela 36' M 6.70

Osinachi Ebere F 6.60

Bench

194

Amaury Morales M

Andrés Gudiño G

Andres Montaño M

170

Ariel Castro Sevilla M

Cristian Jiménez M

G. Fernández 54' F 6.70

Jesús Orozco D

Jorge Rodarte Barragan 11' D 6.70

Luka Romero F

Nicolás Ibáñez F

Best on the pitch

R. Morales

F · U.N.A.M.

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

W. Ditta

D · Cruz

7.70

· 55 pass

Omar Campos

D · Cruz

7.50

· 36 pass

Pedro Vite

M · U.N.A.M.

7.30

· 35 pass

C. Rotondi

M · Cruz

7.20

1 ⚽

5 shots · 14 pass

Jeremy Márquez

D · Cruz

7.20

· 45 pass

U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Keylor Navas	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	35	27%	—	—	—
Álvaro Angulo	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	31	27%	—	—	—
Rubén Duarte	D	72	6.30	1	—	—	38	30%	—	—	—
Nathan Silva	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	37%	—	—	—
Rodrigo Lopez	D	85	6.30	—	—	2	33	27%	—	1	—
Jordan Carrillo	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	31	24%	2	—	—
Pedro Vite	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	35	33%	2	—	—
A. Carrasquilla	M	59	6.70	—	—	1	26	21%	1	—	—
Uriel Antuna	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	22	18%	2	—	1
Juninho	F	90	6.60	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—
R. Morales	F	90	8.20	1	—	2	16	12%	2	—	—
Ángel Rico	M	13	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	2	—	1
Pablo Bennevendo	D	18	6.30	—	—	1	5	4%	1	—	—
Santiago Trigos	M	31	6.20	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—

Cruz Azul — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Kevin Mier	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
Omar Campos	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	36	30%	2	—	—
G. Piovi	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	55	41%	2	—	—
W. Ditta	D	90	7.70	—	—	—	55	49%	4	—	—
Jeremy Márquez	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	45	38%	3	—	—
Agustín Palavecino	M	90	6.90	—	—	3	44	37%	5	—	—
Amaury Garcia	M	79	6.60	—	—	—	25	20%	2	—	—
C. Rotondi	M	90	7.20	1	—	5	14	10%	3	—	—
C. Rodríguez	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	33	24%	3	—	—
J. Paradela	M	36	6.70	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
Osinachi Ebere	F	90	6.60	—	—	1	18	13%	2	—	—
G. Fernández	F	54	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Jorge Rodarte Barragan	D	11	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

The final score was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul.

What did the model predict before U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

The model assigned 33% probability to a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 28% to a draw, and 38% to an Cruz Azul win.