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U.N.A.M. - Pumas - Leon

Liga MX September 11, 2026 05:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
#12 · 8 pts
vs
Leon
#8 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.72%
Win
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
31.69%
Draw
33.59%
Win
Leon
1.18
Expected xG
1.29

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.77%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Leon. Expected goals are 1.2 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.3 for Leon (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.77% probability. In 2 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Leon.

Season Stats

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
6W 5D 4L
Leon
7W 1D 7L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.4
1.3
Conceded
1.8
3.5
Shots OT
5.4
3.6
Corners
5.2
50%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
60%
47%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4W 4D 2L · at home
Leon
3W 1D 6L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.9
1.4
Conceded
2.0
40%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ U.N.A.M. - Pumas Leon →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 10.9% 7.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L Club Tijuana 2–0
D Necaxa 1–1
D Club Queretaro 0–0
W FC Juarez 1–5
W Toluca 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Leon Leon
D Atlante FC 1–1
W Monterrey 2–0
W Necaxa 1–2
W CF Pachuca 1–0
L Club Tijuana 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack
24
Defence
56
Form
36
Leon Leon
Attack
36
Defence
53
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
Draw
0
Leon
18 Jan 2026 Liga MX 1–1
26 Oct 2025 Liga MX 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Club America Club America 6 16
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 7 14
3 Toluca Toluca 6 13
4 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 6 13
5 Atlas Atlas 7 13
6 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 7 12
7 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 6 10
8 Leon Leon 6 10
9 Puebla Puebla 6 10
10 Monterrey Monterrey 6 9
11 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 7 8
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 6 8
13 Necaxa Necaxa 7 8
14 Atlante FC Atlante FC 7 7
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 7 6
16 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 7 6
17 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 7 1
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 7 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
The model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Leon win.
How many goals are expected in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
Expected goals: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.2, Leon 1.3 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.77%.