Liga MX
· Clausura - Semi-finals
May 18, 2026 03:00
J. Carrillo
56'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 51% win probability (draw 23%, CF Pachuca 24%). The final result was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 CF Pachuca. In 4 previous meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
2
0.80
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
0
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Nathan Silva
29'
⚽J. Carrillo
56'
62'
Kenedy
66'
A. Dominguez
/
Kenedy
66'
A. Bautista
/
V. Guzman
R. Duarte
68'
74'
S. Rondon
/
C. Sanchez
A. Carrasquilla
/ U. Rivas
80'
84'
L. Quinones
/
E. Valencia
84'
G. Alvarez
/
O. Idrissi
Juninho
/ S. Trigos
86'
R. Morales
/ P. Bennevendo
90'+3
J. Carrillo
/ T. Leone
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
51.96%
U.N.A.M. ←
23.08%
X
24.96%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
51.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
0.80
-1.24
1.33
1.13
-0.2
CF Pachuca dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Keylor Navas
G
Keylor Navas
G
5
Rubén Duarte
D
Rubén Duarte
D
6
Nathan Silva
D
Nathan Silva
D
7
Rodrigo Lopez
D
Rodrigo Lopez
D
45
Pedro Vite
M
Pedro Vite
M
77
Álvaro Angulo
M
Álvaro Angulo
M
33
Jordan Carrillo
1 ⚽
89'
M
Jordan Carrillo
1 ⚽
89'
M
28
A. Carrasquilla
80'
M
A. Carrasquilla
80'
M
21
Uriel Antuna
M
Uriel Antuna
M
23
Juninho
86'
F
Juninho
86'
F
31
R. Morales
89'
F
R. Morales
89'
F
Bench
215
Angel Azuaje
D
Angel Azuaje
D
26
Ángel Rico
M
Ángel Rico
M
24
Antonio Leone
1'
D
Antonio Leone
1'
D
14
Cesar Garza
M
Cesar Garza
M
193
Dennis Ramirez
M
Dennis Ramirez
M
19
Jesús Rivas
D
Jesús Rivas
D
2
Pablo Bennevendo
1'
D
Pablo Bennevendo
1'
D
35
Pablo Lara
G
Pablo Lara
G
20
Santiago Trigos
11'
M
Santiago Trigos
11'
M
15
Ulises Rivas
10'
M
Ulises Rivas
10'
M
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
12
Brian García
D
Brian García
D
2
Sergio Barreto
D
Sergio Barreto
D
13
Jorge Berlanga
D
Jorge Berlanga
D
14
Carlos Sánchez
74'
D
Carlos Sánchez
74'
D
16
Christian Rivera
M
Christian Rivera
M
28
Elías Montiel
65'
M
Elías Montiel
65'
M
11
Oussama Idrissi
84'
M
Oussama Idrissi
84'
M
8
V. Guzmán
65'
M
V. Guzmán
65'
M
29
Kenedy
M
Kenedy
M
10
E. Valencia
84'
F
E. Valencia
84'
F
Bench
26
Alan Bautista
25'
M
Alan Bautista
25'
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
25'
F
Alexei Domínguez
25'
F
184
Cristobal Alfaro
D
Cristobal Alfaro
D
187
Gael Álvarez
13'
F
Gael Álvarez
13'
F
31
Jose Eulogio
G
Jose Eulogio
G
7
Luis Quiñones
13'
F
Luis Quiñones
13'
F
5
Pedro Pedraza
M
Pedro Pedraza
M
21
René López
D
René López
D
188
Sergio Rodríguez
M
Sergio Rodríguez
M
23
S. Rondón
16'
F
S. Rondón
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Jordan Carrillo
M · U.N.A.M.
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Keylor Navas
G · U.N.A.M.
7.70
· 44 pass
Álvaro Angulo
M · U.N.A.M.
7.70
1 shots
· 35 pass
Kenedy
M · CF
7.60
· 32 pass
Alan Bautista
M · CF
7.30
· 20 pass
Rodrigo Lopez
D · U.N.A.M.
7.20
· 34 pass
U.N.A.M. - Pumas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylor Navas | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Rubén Duarte | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan Silva | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 70% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Lopez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Vite | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Angulo | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Carrillo | M | 89 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Carrasquilla | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Uriel Antuna | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Juninho | F | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Morales | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Leone | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Bennevendo | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Trigos | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ulises Rivas | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Brian García | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Barreto | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Berlanga | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sánchez | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Christian Rivera | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Elías Montiel | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Oussama Idrissi | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Bautista | M | 25 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gael Álvarez | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 51% probability to a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an CF Pachuca win.