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UCSA - Probiy Horodenka

Persha Liga November 08, 2026 11:00
UCSA
#12 · 14 pts
vs
Probiy Horodenka
#15 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.12%
Win
UCSA
27.28%
Draw
29.6%
Win
Probiy Horodenka
2.19
Expected xG
1.43

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.28%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 27%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 57%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives UCSA a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Probiy Horodenka. Expected goals are 2.2 for UCSA and 1.4 for Probiy Horodenka (total 3.6), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, UCSA have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Probiy Horodenka.

Season Stats

UCSA
4W 5D 6L
Probiy Horodenka
2W 4D 9L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.9
1.5
Conceded
2.5
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Persha Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
UCSA
4W 2D 4L · at home
Probiy Horodenka
2W 1D 7L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.7
1.9
Conceded
2.3
40%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
30%
80%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ UCSA Probiy Horodenka →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.8% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

UCSA UCSA
L Kulykiv 2–0
W Lokomotiv Kyiv 3–2
D Kolos Kovalivka II 0–0
L Yarud Mariupol' 1–2
L Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka
D Nyva Ternopil 2–2
L Oleksandria 2–0
D Polissya II 1–1
W SK Poltava 3–2
W Kulykiv 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

UCSA UCSA
Attack
28
Defence
62
Form
42
Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka
Attack
32
Defence
51
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
UCSA
1
Draw
1
Probiy Horodenka
12 Apr 2026 Persha Liga 0–1
27 Sep 2025 Persha Liga 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol' 15 28
2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka 14 28
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk 13 26
4 Kulykiv Kulykiv 15 25
5 SK Poltava SK Poltava 14 24
6 Oleksandria Oleksandria 14 24
7 Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil 15 22
8 Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv 15 21
9 Lokomotiv Kyiv Lokomotiv Kyiv 15 20
10 Inhulets Inhulets 14 18
11 Prykarpattia Prykarpattia 15 17
12 UCSA UCSA 14 14
13 Kolos Kovalivka II Kolos Kovalivka II 14 13
14 Chernihiv Chernihiv 12 10
15 Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka 14 10
16 Polissya II Polissya II 15 9
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?
The model gives UCSA a 43% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 29% for an Probiy Horodenka win.
How many goals are expected in UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?
Expected goals: UCSA 2.2, Probiy Horodenka 1.4 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.28%.