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Liga 1 · Clausura - 13 October 25, 2026 19:15 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
UCV Moquegua
#14 · 18 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Alianza Lima
#1 · 65 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Lima
87' (ast. Jairo Vélez) Alan Martín Cantero
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 60% win probability (draw 21%, UCV Moquegua 18%). The final result was UCV Moquegua 0–1 Alianza Lima. In 1 previous meetings, UCV Moquegua have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alianza Lima.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
20
1
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
2.11
5
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
9
15
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Jeferson Collazos / Brayan Angulo
61'
↕ Nicolas Chavez / A. Lecaros
62'
62'
Cristian Carbajal / Gianfranco Chavez ↕
63'
Gaspar Gentile / Kevin Quevedo ↕
Yorman Zapata
72'
72'
Fernando Gaibor
74'
Luis Ramos / Federico Girotti ↕
74'
Alan Martín Cantero / J García ↕
↕ Edgar Lastre / Diego Ramírez
82'
86'
Jesús Castillo / Fernando Gaibor ↕
87'
ast. Jairo Vélez · Alan Martín Cantero⚽
89'
Pablo Adrián Guede Barriero
↕ Cristian Mejía / Y. López
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
18.38%
UCV
21.54%
X
60.08%
Alianza ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima) 60.08% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
UCV
0.83
0.62
-0.21
Alianza
1.88
2.11
+0.23
Alianza Lima dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 4-2-3-1
1 C. Grados C. Grados G 7.36
15 N. Amasifuén N. Amasifuén D 6.77
3 C. Enciso C. Enciso D 6.47
13 J. Lojas J. Lojas D 6.59
4 A. Perleche A. Perleche D 6.74
25 R. Chipao R. Chipao M 6.26
8 C. Mejía C. Mejía 89' M 6.07
17 Y. Zapata Y. Zapata M 6.39
10 N. Chávez N. Chávez 62' M 6.47
7 E. Lastre E. Lastre 82' M 6.00
90 J. Collazos J. Collazos 61' F 5.77
Bench
24 A. Lecaros A. Lecaros 28' F 6.59
16 Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas F 0.00
11 B. Angulo B. Angulo 29' F 6.20
14 Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca M 0.00
20 D. Ramírez D. Ramírez 8' M 6.25
22 E. Montenegro E. Montenegro D 0.00
30 J. Granda J. Granda D 0.00
29 R. Figueroa R. Figueroa G 0.00
88 Y. López Y. López 1' D 0.00
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 4-3-3
1 A. Duarte A. Duarte G 6.84
13 M. Huamán M. Huamán D 6.61
32 J. García J. García 74' D 6.21
6 R. Garcés R. Garcés D 7.20
17 L. Advíncula L. Advíncula D 7.00
20 J. Vélez J. Vélez 1 👟 M 7.70
4 G. Chávez G. Chávez 62' M 6.12
7 F. Gaibor F. Gaibor 86' M 6.86
8 E. Castillo E. Castillo F 6.29
99 F. Girotti F. Girotti 74' F 6.39
27 K. Quevedo K. Quevedo 63' F 6.38
Bench
11 A. Cantero A. Cantero 1 ⚽ 16' F 8.01
12 Á. de la Cruz Á. de la Cruz G 0.00
31 C. Carbajal C. Carbajal 28' D 6.50
22 C. Neira C. Neira M 0.00
25 G. Gentile G. Gentile 27' F 6.69
29 J. Archimbaud J. Archimbaud M 0.00
15 J. Castillo J. Castillo 4' M 6.49
9 L. Ramos L. Ramos 16' F 6.84
2 N. Díaz N. Díaz D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Cantero
A. Cantero
F · Alianza
8.01
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
J. Vélez
J. Vélez
M · Alianza
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 47 pass
C. Grados
C. Grados
G · UCV
7.36
· 15 pass
R. Garcés
R. Garcés
D · Alianza
7.20
1 shots · 53 pass
L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
D · Alianza
7.00
2 shots · 25 pass
F. Gaibor
F. Gaibor
M · Alianza
6.86
1 shots · 42 pass
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Grados G 90 7.36 — — 0 15 5% 0 — —
N. Amasifuén D 90 6.77 — — 1 23 20% 4 — —
C. Enciso D 90 6.47 — — 1 20 15% 1 — —
J. Lojas D 90 6.59 — — 1 19 16% 2 — —
A. Perleche D 90 6.74 — — 0 27 24% 4 — —
R. Chipao M 90 6.26 — — 0 40 36% 0 — —
C. Mejía M 89 6.07 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
Y. Zapata M 90 6.39 — — 0 29 23% 1 1 —
N. Chávez M 62 6.47 — — 0 30 25% 1 — —
E. Lastre M 82 6.00 — — 2 20 15% 0 — —
J. Collazos F 61 5.77 — — 1 6 3% 0 — —
A. Lecaros F 28 6.59 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
B. Angulo F 29 6.20 — — 2 10 8% 0 — —
D. Ramírez M 8 6.25 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Y. López D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Duarte G 90 6.84 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
M. Huamán D 90 6.61 — — 0 16 13% 5 — —
J. García D 74 6.21 — — 0 43 30% 2 — —
R. Garcés D 90 7.20 — — 1 53 48% 1 — —
L. Advíncula D 90 7.00 — — 2 25 19% 3 — —
J. Vélez M 90 7.70 — 1 3 47 40% 2 — —
G. Chávez M 62 6.12 — — 0 33 28% 0 — —
F. Gaibor M 86 6.86 — — 1 42 34% 2 1 —
E. Castillo F 90 6.29 — — 4 17 15% 0 — —
F. Girotti F 74 6.39 — — 3 11 8% 1 — —
K. Quevedo F 63 6.38 — — 2 17 15% 0 — —
A. Cantero F 16 8.01 1 — 2 6 5% 0 — —
C. Carbajal D 28 6.50 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
G. Gentile F 27 6.69 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
J. Castillo M 4 6.49 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
L. Ramos F 16 6.84 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima?
The final score was UCV Moquegua 0–1 Alianza Lima.
What did the model predict before UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima?
The model assigned 18% probability to a UCV Moquegua win, 21% to a draw, and 60% to an Alianza Lima win.