UCV Moquegua 2–1 FC Cajamarca — pre-match prediction — Liga 1 — April 25, 2026

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Liga 1 · Apertura - 12 April 25, 2026 20:00 Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

#14 · 18 pts

2 – 1

Final score

FC Cajamarca

#12 · 10 pts

✓Model correct — prediction UCV Moquegua

R. Chipao (ast. C. Enciso) 8'

C. Mejia (ast. N. Amasifuen) 49'

81' B. Palacios

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave UCV Moquegua a 59% win probability (draw 22%, FC Cajamarca 18%). The final result was UCV Moquegua 2–1 FC Cajamarca.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽R. Chipao · ast. C. Enciso

40'

H. Timana

⚽C. Mejia · ast. N. Amasifuen

49'

62'

B. Palacios / J. C. Vega ↕

↕ N. Chavez / R. Torres

64'

↕ E. Lastre / A. Davila

64'

68'

C. Meza

73'

(missed pen.) H. Barcos⚽

↕ C. Enciso / J. Lojas

77'

81'

B. Palacios⚽

↕ A. Perleche / E. Montenegro

83'

↕ Y. Zapata / K. Ruiz

83'

90'+4

S. Peralta / S. Enciso ↕

90'+5

J. Betancourt / P. Lavandeira Hernandez ↕

Pre-match prediction

59.11%

UCV ←

22.7%

18.19%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (UCV Moquegua) 59.11% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

UCV

2.12

—

0.63

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	34
3	Cienciano	17	33
4	Universitario	17	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	28
6	Cusco	17	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	21
10	ADT	17	20
11	Sport Boys	17	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	16

Lineups

UCV Moquegua 4-2-3-1

G 7.30

N. Amasifuén 1 👟 D 7.70

C. Enciso 1 👟 77' D 6.90

D 6.00

A. Perleche 83' D 6.30

R. Chipao 1 ⚽ M 7.70

N. Chávez 64' M 6.90

Y. Zapata 83' M 7.20

C. Mejía 1 ⚽ M 7.60

E. Lastre 64' M 6.50

J. Collazos F 6.90

Bench

Allonso Davila 26' F 7.00

E. Montenegro 14' D 6.60

FC Cajamarca 5-4-1

G 6.30

S. Enciso 89' D 6.30

Hairo Timaná 40' D 4.90

D 5.60

A. Rodas D 6.30

Jhan Vega 62' D 5.90

P. Lavandeira 89' M 7.30

M. Arrasco M 6.60

Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo M 6.70

C. Meza M 6.70

H. Barcos F 5.70

Bench

B. Palacios 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.30

S. Peralta 1' M

Best on the pitch

N. Amasifuén

D · UCV

7.70

1 👟

1 shots · 19 pass

R. Chipao

M · UCV

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

C. Mejía

M · UCV

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 24 pass

B. Palacios

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

P. Lavandeira

M · FC

7.30

2 shots · 24 pass

G · UCV

7.30

· 18 pass

UCV Moquegua — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	18	12%	—	—	—
N. Amasifuén	D	90	7.70	—	1	1	19	9%	—	—	—
C. Enciso	D	77	6.90	—	1	1	20	12%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	27	17%	—	—	—
A. Perleche	D	83	6.30	—	—	1	27	18%	—	—	—
R. Chipao	M	90	7.70	1	—	2	28	16%	2	—	—
N. Chávez	M	64	6.90	—	—	3	21	14%	2	—	—
Y. Zapata	M	83	7.20	—	—	—	18	13%	2	—	—
C. Mejía	M	90	7.60	1	—	1	24	16%	—	—	—
E. Lastre	M	64	6.50	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
J. Collazos	F	90	6.90	—	—	2	16	12%	2	—	—
Allonso Davila	F	26	7.00	—	—	1	9	8%	1	—	—
E. Montenegro	D	14	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

FC Cajamarca — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	10%	—	—	—
S. Enciso	D	89	6.30	—	—	1	26	20%	1	—	—
Hairo Timaná	D	40	4.90	—	—	1	14	7%	—	—	1
	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	29	20%	—	—	—
A. Rodas	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	25%	1	—	—
Jhan Vega	D	62	5.90	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
P. Lavandeira	M	89	7.30	—	—	2	24	15%	—	—	—
M. Arrasco	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	32	25%	2	—	—
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	41	34%	1	—	—
C. Meza	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	21	15%	3	1	—
H. Barcos	F	90	5.70	—	—	1	33	21%	—	—	—
B. Palacios	M	28	7.30	1	—	1	7	7%	2	—	—
S. Peralta	M	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of UCV Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca?

The final score was UCV Moquegua 2–1 FC Cajamarca.

What did the model predict before UCV Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca?

The model assigned 59% probability to a UCV Moquegua win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an FC Cajamarca win.