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UCV - Carabobo FC

Liga FUTVE September 20, 2026 22:00 Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki
UCV
#4 · 23 pts
vs
Carabobo FC
#1 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 24.2°C 💨 4 km/h · Iwaki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.05%
Win
UCV
28.67%
Draw
31.28%
Win
Carabobo FC
1.12
Expected xG
0.95

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.77%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 29%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 60%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 42%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives UCV a 40% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Carabobo FC. Expected goals are 1.1 for UCV and 1.0 for Carabobo FC (total 2.1), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.77% probability. In 2 previous meetings, UCV have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Carabobo FC.

Season Stats

UCV
4W 5D 6L
Carabobo FC
8W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
20%
53%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
UCV
4W 4D 2L · at home
Carabobo FC
3W 2D 5L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.6
1.0
Conceded
1.4
40%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ UCV Carabobo FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

UCV UCV
D Portuguesa FC 0–0
L Deportivo Tachira FC 4–1
D Carabobo FC 1–1
W Anzoátegui FC 1–0
W Deportivo La Guaira 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
W Metropolitanos FC 0–2
D Metropolitanos FC 1–1
W Deportivo La Guaira 3–1
W Portuguesa FC 1–3
D Deportivo Tachira FC 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

UCV UCV
Attack
31
Defence
70
Form
55
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
Attack
45
Defence
81
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
UCV
1
Draw
1
Carabobo FC
19 Sep 2026 Liga FUTVE 1–1
12 Apr 2026 Liga FUTVE 2–4

Primera Division: Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 13 27
2 Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 13 25
3 Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 13 24
4 UCV UCV 13 23
5 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 13 20
6 Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 13 20
7 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 13 19
8 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 13 17
9 Zamora FC Zamora FC 13 17
10 Caracas FC Caracas FC 13 15
11 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 13 14
12 Monagas SC Monagas SC 13 11
13 Anzoátegui FC Anzoátegui FC 13 9
14 Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 13 4

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

UCV Carabobo FC
Current #4 #1
→ UCV #2 #7
→ Draw #4 #5
→ Carabobo FC #4 #5

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win UCV vs Carabobo FC?
The model gives UCV a 40% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 31% for an Carabobo FC win.
How many goals are expected in UCV vs Carabobo FC?
Expected goals: UCV 1.1, Carabobo FC 1.0 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in UCV vs Carabobo FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.77%.