← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 4 May 06, 2026 02:00
UCV
#3 · 6 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Independiente del Valle
#2 · 7 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente del Valle, result UCV vince
J. Zapata 54'
J. Cuesta (ast. A. Gonzalez) 67'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 63% win probability (draw 17%, UCV 18%). The final result was UCV 2–0 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, UCV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
22
4
Shots on target
7
0.53
Actual xG
2.34
7
Saves
2
32%
Possession
68%
1
Corners
9
13
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ A. Granko / V. Rodriguez
46'
J. Bolivar
50'
⚽J. Zapata
54'
65'
E. Pata / M. Perello ↕
⚽J. Cuesta · ast. A. Gonzalez
67'
70'
J. Lerma / R. Briones ↕
73'
L. Loor
↕ J. Bolivar / Y. Murillo
80'
↕ J. Cuesta / S. Sosa
80'
80'
J. Angulo / J. Viacava ↕
80'
D. Reasco / A. Rodriguez ↕
↕ J. Zapata / R. Ramirez
87'
↕ D. Carrillo / Y. Cumana
87'
87'
J. Angulo
Pre-match prediction
18.58%
UCV ←
17.7%
X
63.71%
Independiente
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (UCV) 18.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
UCV
1.15
0.53
-0.62
Independiente
2.64
2.34
-0.3
Independiente del Valle dominated by xG (2.34 vs 0.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
UCV UCV 4-2-3-1
13
G. Schiavone G 7.60
27
D. Carrillo 87' D 6.90
19
A. Simarra D 7.20
4
W. Velasquez D 7.20
2
Kendrys Silva D 6.90
6
Francisco Solé M 6.90
30
A. Gonzalez 1 👟 M 7.50
7 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.90
47
A. Granko 45' M 6.70
8
Juan Camilo Zapata 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
11
J. Bolivar 80' F 6.60
Bench
21
C. Ortiz F
16
D. De Sousa F
14
K. Mendoza M
28
M. Ruiz D
3
R. Ramirez 7' D
10
Samuel Sosa 14' F 6.30
17
V. Rodriguez 49' M 6.70
24
Y. Cumana 7' D
9
Yeiber Murillo 14' F 6.30
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
1 Aldair Quintana Aldair Quintana G 6.30
19 L. Loor L. Loor D 6.30
23 Juan Viacava Juan Viacava 80' D 6.30
14
M. Carabajal D 6.30
13 Daykol Romero Daykol Romero D 6.00
6 Jordy Alcivar Jordy Alcivar M 6.60
17 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 80' M 6.60
10 J. Sornoza J. Sornoza M 6.90
16 Ronald Briones Ronald Briones 70' M 6.20
11 M. Perelló M. Perelló 65' M 6.30
9 C. González C. González F 6.50
Bench
33 Andy Velasco Andy Velasco D
55 Darwin Guagua Darwin Guagua M
99 D. Reasco D. Reasco 14' F 6.20
31 Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez 29' F 6.70
32 Jhegson Méndez Jhegson Méndez M
4 Jhon Espinoza Jhon Espinoza D
50 Juan Angulo Juan Angulo 14' F 5.90
53 Justin Lerma Justin Lerma 24' M 6.90
8 Youri Ochoa Youri Ochoa M
Best on the pitch
J. Cuesta
J. Cuesta
M · UCV
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
G. Schiavone
G · UCV
7.60
· 38 pass
A. Gonzalez
M · UCV
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
Juan Camilo Zapata
M · UCV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
A. Simarra
D · UCV
7.20
· 13 pass
W. Velasquez
D · UCV
7.20
· 13 pass
UCV UCV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Schiavone G 94 7.60 — — — 38 14% — — —
D. Carrillo D 87 6.90 — — — 18 13% — — —
A. Simarra D 94 7.20 — — — 13 10% 3 — —
W. Velasquez D 94 7.20 — — — 13 9% 3 — —
Kendrys Silva D 94 6.90 — — — 26 14% — — —
Francisco Solé M 94 6.90 — — — 41 30% 1 — —
A. Gonzalez M 94 7.50 — 1 1 16 14% 2 — —
J. Cuesta M 80 7.90 1 — 3 15 11% 2 — —
A. Granko M 45 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Juan Camilo Zapata M 87 7.30 1 — 1 14 7% 2 — —
J. Bolivar F 80 6.60 — — 3 20 15% — 1 —
R. Ramirez D 7 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Samuel Sosa F 14 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
V. Rodriguez M 49 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Y. Cumana D 7 — — — — — — — — —
Yeiber Murillo F 14 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aldair Quintana G 94 6.30 — — — 19 19% — — —
L. Loor D 94 6.30 — — 1 64 52% — 1 —
Juan Viacava D 80 6.30 — — — 68 61% 1 — —
M. Carabajal D 94 6.30 — — — 80 74% — — —
Daykol Romero D 94 6.00 — — — 36 30% — — —
Jordy Alcivar M 94 6.60 — — 3 57 50% — — —
A. Rodríguez M 80 6.60 — — 2 32 26% 1 — —
J. Sornoza M 94 6.90 — — 5 44 41% 1 — —
Ronald Briones M 70 6.20 — — 1 19 17% — — —
M. Perelló M 65 6.30 — — 4 12 8% 1 — —
C. González F 94 6.50 — — 1 23 16% 1 — —
D. Reasco F 14 6.20 — — 2 1 1% — — —
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez F 29 6.70 — — — 11 9% — — —
Juan Angulo F 14 5.90 — — 1 — — — 1 —
Justin Lerma M 24 6.90 — — 2 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UCV vs Independiente del Valle?
The final score was UCV 2–0 Independiente del Valle.
What did the model predict before UCV vs Independiente del Valle?
The model assigned 18% probability to a UCV win, 17% to a draw, and 63% to an Independiente del Valle win.