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← Liga FUTVE

UCV - Puerto Cabello

Liga FUTVE September 02, 2026 22:00 Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Shintomi
UCV
#4 · 23 pts
vs
Puerto Cabello
#1 · 10 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 25.8°C 💨 8 km/h 🌧️ 21% · Shintomi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.9%
Win
UCV
20.43%
Draw
53.67%
Win
Puerto Cabello
1.37
Expected xG
2.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (9.4%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 20%
2 54%
Double Chance ✓ 90.3% hit rate (31 picks)
1X 46%
X2 74%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Puerto Cabello a 53% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 25% for UCV. Expected goals are 1.4 for UCV and 2.2 for Puerto Cabello (total 3.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.4% probability. In 5 previous meetings, UCV have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Puerto Cabello.

Season Stats

UCV
3W 4D 8L
Puerto Cabello
8W 3D 4L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.6
1.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
67%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
UCV
4W 3D 3L · at home
Puerto Cabello
2W 3D 5L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.9
1.2
Conceded
1.4
40%
Win %
20%
70%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
10%
80%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ UCV Puerto Cabello →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 6.4% 6.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.1% 8.7% 9.4% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

UCV UCV
D Carabobo FC 1–1
W Anzoátegui FC 1–0
W Deportivo La Guaira 0–2
D Puerto Cabello 0–0
D Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
W Portuguesa FC 2–1
D Deportivo Tachira FC 1–1
L Carabobo FC 0–2
D UCV 0–0
D Deportivo La Guaira 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

UCV UCV
Attack
29
Defence
82
Form
56
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
Attack
31
Defence
81
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
UCV
1
Draw
3
Puerto Cabello
8 Sep 2026 Liga FUTVE 0–0
24 May 2026 Liga FUTVE 1–2
10 May 2026 Liga FUTVE 3–1
17 Mar 2026 Liga FUTVE 0–3
21 Jan 2026 Friendlies Clubs 0–1

Primera Division: Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 13 27
2 Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 13 25
3 Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 13 24
4 UCV UCV 13 23
5 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 13 20
6 Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 13 20
7 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 13 19
8 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 13 17
9 Zamora FC Zamora FC 13 17
10 Caracas FC Caracas FC 13 15
11 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 13 14
12 Monagas SC Monagas SC 13 11
13 Anzoátegui FC Anzoátegui FC 13 9
14 Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 13 4

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

UCV Puerto Cabello
Current #4 #1
→ UCV #2 #8
→ Draw #4 #8
→ Puerto Cabello #4 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win UCV vs Puerto Cabello?
The model gives UCV a 25% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 53% for an Puerto Cabello win.
How many goals are expected in UCV vs Puerto Cabello?
Expected goals: UCV 1.4, Puerto Cabello 2.2 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in UCV vs Puerto Cabello?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.4%.