← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 3 April 29, 2026 02:00
UCV
#3 · 6 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Rosario Central
#1 · 10 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central
35' (ast. J. Campaz) I. Ovando
(pen.) 53' A. Di Maria
90'+3 (ast. P. Fernandez) E. Copetti

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 57% win probability (draw 20%, UCV 21%). The final result was UCV 0–3 Rosario Central.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.11
Actual xG
1.94
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
6
10
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
A. Di Maria
F. Sole
20'
35'
ast. J. Campaz · I. Ovando⚽
37'
F. Ibarra
↕ A. Granko / S. Sosa
46'
46'
P. Fernandez / J. Fernandez ↕
G. Schiavone
52'
53'
(pen.) A. Di Maria⚽
D. Sasso
56'
Y. Cumana
61'
65'
E. Gimenez / A. Di Maria ↕
80'
A. Veliz
80'
E. Copetti / A. Veliz ↕
80'
F. Navarro / F. Ibarra ↕
↕ J. Zapata / Y. Murillo
84'
↕ A. Gonzalez / V. Rodriguez
84'
87'
C. Quintana / J. Campaz ↕
90'+3
ast. P. Fernandez · E. Copetti⚽
Pre-match prediction
21.85%
UCV
20.7%
X
57.44%
Rosario ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central) 57.44% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
UCV
1.07
1.11
+0.04
Rosario
2.12
1.94
-0.18
Rosario Central dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
UCV UCV 4-2-3-1
13
G. Schiavone G 6.20
24
Y. Cumana D 6.00
4
W. Velasquez D 6.90
3
R. Ramirez D 6.20
2
Kendrys Silva D 6.70
6
Francisco Solé M 7.50
30
A. Gonzalez 84' M 6.60
7 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta M 6.30
47
A. Granko 45' M 6.30
8
Juan Camilo Zapata 84' M 6.70
11
J. Bolivar F 6.70
Bench
19
A. Simarra D
21
C. Ortiz F
27
D. Carrillo D
16
D. De Sousa F
14
K. Mendoza M
28
M. Ruiz D
10
Samuel Sosa 51' F 6.90
17
V. Rodriguez 12' M 6.50
9
Yeiber Murillo 12' F 6.30
Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
23
G 7.30
3 Agustín Sández Agustín Sández D 7.00
13 Gastón Ávila Gastón Ávila D 6.90
46 Ignacio Ovando Ignacio Ovando 1 ⚽ D 7.60
32 Emanuel Coronel Emanuel Coronel D 6.90
20 Vicente Pizarro Vicente Pizarro M 7.20
5 F. Ibarra F. Ibarra 80' M 6.70
8 J. Campaz J. Campaz 1 👟 87' M 7.20
11 Á. Di María Á. Di María 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.30
18
J. Fernandez 45' M 6.60
9 A. Véliz A. Véliz 80' F 6.30
Bench
33 Alexis Soto Alexis Soto D
22 E. Copetti E. Copetti 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.20
16 Enzo Giménez Enzo Giménez 31' M 6.30
39 Fabricio Oviedo Fabricio Oviedo F
15 Facundo Mallo Facundo Mallo D
31 Federico Navarro Federico Navarro 16' M 6.50
35
L. Ramos D
28 Pol Fernández Pol Fernández 1 👟 51' M 7.60
Best on the pitch
Pol Fernández
Pol Fernández
M · Rosario
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
Ignacio Ovando
Ignacio Ovando
D · Rosario
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 63 pass
Francisco Solé
M · UCV
7.50
2 shots · 67 pass
Á. Di María
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
G · Rosario
7.30
· 30 pass
E. Copetti
E. Copetti
F · Rosario
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
UCV UCV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Schiavone G 96 6.20 — — — 29 21% — 1 —
Y. Cumana D 96 6.00 — — — 31 25% 1 1 —
W. Velasquez D 96 6.90 — — 2 38 25% 1 — —
R. Ramirez D 96 6.20 — — — 25 17% 1 — —
Kendrys Silva D 96 6.70 — — 2 29 22% — — —
Francisco Solé M 96 7.50 — — 2 67 51% 3 1 —
A. Gonzalez M 84 6.60 — — — 35 32% 1 — —
J. Cuesta M 96 6.30 — — — 18 17% — — —
A. Granko M 45 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Juan Camilo Zapata M 84 6.70 — — 2 13 6% 1 — —
J. Bolivar F 96 6.70 — — 1 18 10% 2 — —
Samuel Sosa F 51 6.90 — — 1 8 7% — — —
V. Rodriguez M 12 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Yeiber Murillo F 12 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Rosario Central Rosario Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.30 — — — 30 20% — — —
Agustín Sández D 96 7.00 — — — 46 37% — — —
Gastón Ávila D 96 6.90 — — — 59 48% — — —
Ignacio Ovando D 96 7.60 1 — 1 63 52% 1 — —
Emanuel Coronel D 96 6.90 — — — 39 33% 2 — —
Vicente Pizarro M 96 7.20 — — — 51 47% 3 — —
F. Ibarra M 80 6.70 — — 1 39 32% 2 1 —
J. Campaz M 87 7.20 — 1 1 36 30% 2 — —
Á. Di María M 65 7.30 1 — 1 27 18% — 1 —
J. Fernandez M 45 6.60 — — 1 11 8% — — —
A. Véliz F 80 6.30 — — 2 8 2% 1 1 —
E. Copetti F 16 7.20 1 — 1 3 1% — — —
Enzo Giménez M 31 6.30 — — — 11 10% — — —
Federico Navarro M 16 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
Pol Fernández M 51 7.60 — 1 1 21 17% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UCV vs Rosario Central?
The final score was UCV 0–3 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before UCV vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 21% probability to a UCV win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Rosario Central win.