Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central
35'
(ast. J. Campaz)
I. Ovando
(pen.)
53'
A. Di Maria
90'+3
(ast. P. Fernandez)
E. Copetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 57% win probability (draw 20%, UCV 21%). The final result was UCV 0–3 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, UCV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rosario Central.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.11
Actual xG
1.94
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
6
10
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
A. Di Maria
F. Sole
20'
35'
ast. J. Campaz ·
I. Ovando⚽
37'
F. Ibarra
A. Granko
/ S. Sosa
46'
46'
P. Fernandez
/
J. Fernandez
G. Schiavone
52'
53'
(pen.)
A. Di Maria⚽
D. Sasso
56'
Y. Cumana
61'
65'
E. Gimenez
/
A. Di Maria
80'
A. Veliz
80'
E. Copetti
/
A. Veliz
80'
F. Navarro
/
F. Ibarra
J. Zapata
/ Y. Murillo
84'
A. Gonzalez
/ V. Rodriguez
84'
87'
C. Quintana
/
J. Campaz
90'+3
ast. P. Fernandez ·
E. Copetti⚽
Pre-match prediction
21.85%
UCV
20.7%
X
57.44%
Rosario ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central)
57.44%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
1.11
+0.04
2.12
1.94
-0.18
Rosario Central dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
G. Schiavone
G
24
Y. Cumaná
D
4
W. Velásquez
D
3
Ruben Ramirez
D
Ruben Ramirez
D
2
K. Silva
D
6
F. Solé
M
30
A. González
84'
M
7
J. Cuesta
M
J. Cuesta
M
47
Alexander Granko
45'
M
Alexander Granko
45'
M
8
J. Zapata
84'
M
11
Jovanny Bolívar
F
Jovanny Bolívar
F
Bench
19
A. Simarra
D
A. Simarra
D
21
C. Ortiz
F
27
Daniel Carrillo
D
Daniel Carrillo
D
16
D. De Sousa
F
14
Kendry Mendoza
M
Kendry Mendoza
M
28
M. Ruiz
D
10
S. Sosa
51'
F
17
V. Rodríguez
12'
M
9
Yeiber Murillo
12'
F
Yeiber Murillo
12'
F
23
G
3
Agustín Sández
D
Agustín Sández
D
13
Gastón Ávila
D
Gastón Ávila
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
1 ⚽
D
Ignacio Ovando
1 ⚽
D
32
E. Coronel
D
E. Coronel
D
20
Vicente Pizarro
M
Vicente Pizarro
M
5
F. Ibarra
80'
M
F. Ibarra
80'
M
8
Jaminton Campaz
1 👟
87'
M
Jaminton Campaz
1 👟
87'
M
11
Á. Di María
1 ⚽
65'
M
Á. Di María
1 ⚽
65'
M
18
Julián Fernández
45'
M
Julián Fernández
45'
M
9
A. Véliz
80'
F
A. Véliz
80'
F
Bench
33
Alexis Soto
D
Alexis Soto
D
16
E. Giménez
31'
M
E. Giménez
31'
M
22
Enzo Copetti
1 ⚽
16'
F
Enzo Copetti
1 ⚽
16'
F
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
15
Facundo Mallo
D
Facundo Mallo
D
31
Federico Navarro
16'
M
Federico Navarro
16'
M
28
G. Fernández
1 👟
51'
M
G. Fernández
1 👟
51'
M
35
Lucas Ramos
D
Lucas Ramos
D
Best on the pitch
G. Fernández
M · Rosario
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
Ignacio Ovando
D · Rosario
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
F. Solé
M · UCV
7.50
2 shots
· 67 pass
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
G · Rosario
7.30
· 30 pass
Enzo Copetti
F · Rosario
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Schiavone | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Cumaná | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Velásquez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Ramirez | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Silva | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. Solé | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. González | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Granko | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jovanny Bolívar | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Sosa | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| V. Rodríguez | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yeiber Murillo | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Agustín Sández | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Gastón Ávila | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Coronel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Vicente Pizarro | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jaminton Campaz | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Julián Fernández | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Giménez | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Copetti | F | 16 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Federico Navarro | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Fernández | M | 51 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UCV vs Rosario Central?
The final score was UCV 0–3 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before UCV vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 21% probability to a UCV win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Rosario Central win.