Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central
35'
(ast. J. Campaz)
I. Ovando
(pen.)
53'
A. Di Maria
90'+3
(ast. P. Fernandez)
E. Copetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 57% win probability (draw 20%, UCV 21%). The final result was UCV 0–3 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, UCV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rosario Central.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.11
Actual xG
1.94
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
6
10
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
A. Di Maria
F. Sole
20'
35'
ast. J. Campaz ·
I. Ovando⚽
37'
F. Ibarra
A. Granko
/ S. Sosa
46'
46'
P. Fernandez
/
J. Fernandez
G. Schiavone
52'
53'
(pen.)
A. Di Maria⚽
D. Sasso
56'
Y. Cumana
61'
65'
E. Gimenez
/
A. Di Maria
80'
A. Veliz
80'
E. Copetti
/
A. Veliz
80'
F. Navarro
/
F. Ibarra
J. Zapata
/ Y. Murillo
84'
A. Gonzalez
/ V. Rodriguez
84'
87'
C. Quintana
/
J. Campaz
90'+3
ast. P. Fernandez ·
E. Copetti⚽
Pre-match prediction
21.85%
UCV
20.7%
X
57.44%
Rosario ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central)
57.44%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
1.11
+0.04
2.12
1.94
-0.18
Rosario Central dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
Giancarlo Schiavone
G
Giancarlo Schiavone
G
24
Yohan Cumana
D
Yohan Cumana
D
4
Williams Velásquez
D
Williams Velásquez
D
3
Ruben Ramirez
D
Ruben Ramirez
D
2
K. Silva
D
K. Silva
D
6
Francisco Solé
M
Francisco Solé
M
30
Alexander Gonzalez
84'
M
Alexander Gonzalez
84'
M
7
J. Cuesta
M
J. Cuesta
M
47
A. Granko
45'
M
8
Juan Camilo Zapata
84'
M
Juan Camilo Zapata
84'
M
11
J. Bolívar
F
J. Bolívar
F
Bench
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
21
Charlis Ortíz
F
Charlis Ortíz
F
27
Daniel Carrillo
D
Daniel Carrillo
D
16
Daniel De Sousa
F
Daniel De Sousa
F
14
Kendry Mendoza
M
Kendry Mendoza
M
28
Maicol Ruiz
D
Maicol Ruiz
D
10
Samuel Sosa
51'
F
17
Vicente Rodríguez
12'
M
Vicente Rodríguez
12'
M
9
Yeiber Murillo
12'
F
Yeiber Murillo
12'
F
23
G
3
A. Sandez
D
A. Sandez
D
13
Gastón Ávila
D
Gastón Ávila
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
1 ⚽
D
Ignacio Ovando
1 ⚽
D
32
Emanuel Coronel
D
Emanuel Coronel
D
20
Vicente Pizarro
M
Vicente Pizarro
M
5
F. Ibarra
80'
M
F. Ibarra
80'
M
8
Jaminton Campaz
1 👟
87'
M
Jaminton Campaz
1 👟
87'
M
11
Á. Di María
1 ⚽
65'
M
Á. Di María
1 ⚽
65'
M
18
Julián Fernández
45'
M
Julián Fernández
45'
M
9
Alejo Véliz
80'
F
Alejo Véliz
80'
F
Bench
33
Alexis Soto
D
Alexis Soto
D
22
E. Copetti
1 ⚽
16'
F
E. Copetti
1 ⚽
16'
F
16
Enzo Giménez
31'
M
Enzo Giménez
31'
M
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
15
Facundo Mallo
D
Facundo Mallo
D
31
Federico Navarro
16'
M
Federico Navarro
16'
M
35
L. Ramos
D
28
Pol Fernández
1 👟
51'
M
Pol Fernández
1 👟
51'
M
Best on the pitch
Pol Fernández
M · Rosario
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
Ignacio Ovando
D · Rosario
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
Francisco Solé
M · UCV
7.50
2 shots
· 67 pass
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
G · Rosario
7.30
· 30 pass
E. Copetti
F · Rosario
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Schiavone | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Yohan Cumana | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Williams Velásquez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Ramirez | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Silva | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Solé | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Gonzalez | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Granko | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Zapata | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bolívar | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Sosa | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Vicente Rodríguez | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yeiber Murillo | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| A. Sandez | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Gastón Ávila | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Emanuel Coronel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Vicente Pizarro | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jaminton Campaz | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Julián Fernández | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 16 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Giménez | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Federico Navarro | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pol Fernández | M | 51 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UCV vs Rosario Central?
The final score was UCV 0–3 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before UCV vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 21% probability to a UCV win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Rosario Central win.