Primera RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 7
October 10, 2026 18:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barakaldo a 40% win probability (draw 32%, UD Ourense 26%). The final result was UD Ourense 1–0 Barakaldo.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
26.57%
UD ←
32.48%
X
40.95%
Barakaldo
we assigned to the actual result (UD Ourense)
26.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.43
—
—
1.02
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?
The final score was UD Ourense 1–0 Barakaldo.
What did the model predict before UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?
The model assigned 26% probability to a UD Ourense win, 32% to a draw, and 40% to an Barakaldo win.