Primera RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 1
August 29, 2026 17:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave UD Ourense a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Ponferradina 33%). The final result was UD Ourense 0–1 Ponferradina.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
33.54%
UD
32.91%
X
33.54%
Ponferradina ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ponferradina)
33.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
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—
0.52
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Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UD Ourense vs Ponferradina?
The final score was UD Ourense 0–1 Ponferradina.
What did the model predict before UD Ourense vs Ponferradina?
The model assigned 33% probability to a UD Ourense win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Ponferradina win.