✗Model wrong — prediction Como, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Como a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Udinese 27%). The final result was Udinese 0–0 Como. In 2 previous meetings, Udinese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Como.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.96
Actual xG
0.60
4
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
2
14
Tackles
32
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
50'
M. Perrone
59'
M. Vojvoda
/
A. Douvikas
60'
M. Baturina
/
M. Caqueret
60'
S. Roberto
/
M. Perrone
J. Piotrowski
/ L. Miller
65'
H. Kamara
/ J. Arizala
69'
J. Ekkelenkamp
/ I. Gueye
69'
72'
Diego Carlos
78'
I. Smolcic
80'
A. Morata
/
A. Diao
K. Ehizibue
85'
C. Kabasele
/ N. Bertola
86'
K. Ehizibue
/ O. Zarraga
86'
86'
I. Van der Brempt
/
I. Smolcic
T. Kristensen
88'
Pre-match prediction
27.11%
Udinese
22.59%
X ←
50.31%
Como
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
0.96
+0.15
1.81
0.60
-1.21
Udinese dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
28
D
27
Christian Kabasele
86'
D
Christian Kabasele
86'
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
D
Thomas Kristensen
D
11
H. Kamara
69'
M
H. Kamara
69'
M
8
J. Karlström
M
J. Karlström
M
24
J. Piotrowski
65'
M
J. Piotrowski
65'
M
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
86'
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
86'
M
14
Arthur Atta
F
Arthur Atta
F
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
69'
F
J. Ekkelenkamp
69'
F
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
F
Nicolò Zaniolo
F
Bench
22
Branimir Mlačić
D
Branimir Mlačić
D
7
Idrissa Gueye
21'
F
Idrissa Gueye
21'
F
38
L. Miller
25'
M
L. Miller
25'
M
6
Oier Zarraga
11'
M
Oier Zarraga
11'
M
1
G
3
Álex Valle
D
Álex Valle
D
2
Marc Kempf
D
Marc Kempf
D
34
Diego Carlos
D
Diego Carlos
D
28
I. Smolčić
86'
D
I. Smolčić
86'
D
33
L. da Cunha
M
L. da Cunha
M
23
Máximo Perrone
60'
M
Máximo Perrone
60'
M
6
Maxence Caqueret
60'
M
Maxence Caqueret
60'
M
10
N. Paz
M
N. Paz
M
38
Assane Diao
80'
M
11
T. Douvikas
59'
F
T. Douvikas
59'
F
Bench
18
Alberto Moreno
D
Alberto Moreno
D
7
Álvaro Morata
10'
F
Álvaro Morata
10'
F
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
11'
D
Ignace Van der Brempt
11'
D
20
M. Baturina
30'
M
M. Baturina
30'
M
31
M. Vojvoda
31'
D
M. Vojvoda
31'
D
8
Sergi Roberto
30'
M
Sergi Roberto
30'
M
Best on the pitch
D · Udinese
8.20
· 77 pass
G · Como
8.00
· 29 pass
Diego Carlos
D · Como
7.50
1 shots
· 37 pass
G · Udinese
7.30
· 39 pass
Marc Kempf
D · Como
7.30
· 49 pass
N. Paz
M · Como
7.20
1 shots
· 36 pass
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 75% | 3 | — | — | |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arthur Atta | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | F | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Miller | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Como — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Álex Valle | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Smolčić | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 7 | 1 | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Máximo Perrone | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Maxence Caqueret | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Paz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vojvoda | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Udinese vs Como?
The final score was Udinese 0–0 Como.
What did the model predict before Udinese vs Como?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Udinese win, 22% to a draw, and 50% to an Como win.