Serie A
· Regular Season - 31
April 06, 2026 14:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Como, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Como a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Udinese 27%). The final result was Udinese 0–0 Como. In 1 previous meetings, Udinese have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Como.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.96
Actual xG
0.60
4
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
2
14
Tackles
32
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
50'
M. Perrone
59'
M. Vojvoda
/
A. Douvikas
60'
M. Baturina
/
M. Caqueret
60'
S. Roberto
/
M. Perrone
J. Piotrowski
/ L. Miller
65'
H. Kamara
/ J. Arizala
69'
J. Ekkelenkamp
/ I. Gueye
69'
72'
Diego Carlos
78'
I. Smolcic
80'
A. Morata
/
A. Diao
K. Ehizibue
85'
C. Kabasele
/ N. Bertola
86'
K. Ehizibue
/ O. Zarraga
86'
86'
I. Van der Brempt
/
I. Smolcic
T. Kristensen
88'
Pre-match prediction
27.11%
Udinese
22.59%
X ←
50.31%
Como
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
0.96
+0.15
1.81
0.60
-1.21
Udinese dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
28
D
27
C. Kabasele
86'
D
31
T. Kristensen
D
11
H. Kamara
69'
M
8
Jesper Karlström
M
24
J. Piotrowski
65'
M
19
K. Ehizibue
86'
M
14
A. Atta
F
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
69'
F
10
N. Zaniolo
F
N. Zaniolo
F
Bench
22
B. Mlacic
D
7
I. Gueye
21'
F
38
L. Miller
25'
M
6
O. Zarraga
11'
M
1
G
3
Álex Valle
D
Álex Valle
D
2
Marc Kempf
D
Marc Kempf
D
34
Diego Carlos
D
Diego Carlos
D
28
I. Smolčić
86'
D
I. Smolčić
86'
D
33
L. da Cunha
M
L. da Cunha
M
23
M. Perrone
60'
M
M. Perrone
60'
M
6
M. Caqueret
60'
M
M. Caqueret
60'
M
10
N. Paz
M
N. Paz
M
38
Assane Diao
80'
M
Assane Diao
80'
M
11
T. Douvikas
59'
F
T. Douvikas
59'
F
Bench
18
Alberto Moreno
D
Alberto Moreno
D
7
Álvaro Morata
10'
F
Álvaro Morata
10'
F
77
I. Van der Brempt
11'
D
I. Van der Brempt
11'
D
20
M. Baturina
30'
M
M. Baturina
30'
M
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
31'
D
Mërgim Vojvoda
31'
D
8
Sergi Roberto
30'
M
Sergi Roberto
30'
M
Best on the pitch
D · Udinese
8.20
· 77 pass
G · Como
8.00
· 29 pass
Diego Carlos
D · Como
7.50
1 shots
· 37 pass
G · Udinese
7.30
· 39 pass
Marc Kempf
D · Como
7.30
· 49 pass
N. Paz
M · Como
7.20
1 shots
· 36 pass
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 75% | 3 | — | — | |
| C. Kabasele | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Kristensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlström | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | — | — | — |
| K. Ehizibue | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Atta | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | F | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Zaniolo | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Gueye | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Miller | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| O. Zarraga | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Como — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Álex Valle | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Smolčić | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 7 | 1 | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Caqueret | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Paz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Van der Brempt | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Udinese vs Como?
The final score was Udinese 0–0 Como.
What did the model predict before Udinese vs Como?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Udinese win, 22% to a draw, and 50% to an Como win.