✗Model wrong — prediction Udinese, result Cremonese wins
9'
J. Vardy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Udinese a 53% win probability (draw 28%, Cremonese 18%). The final result was Udinese 0–1 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Udinese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.31
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
5
5
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
J. Vardy⚽
27'
C. Kabasele
/ N. Bertola
46'
51'
Federico Bonazzoli
55'
Tommaso Barbieri
J. Arizala
/ J. Zemura
60'
60'
D. Okereke
/
F. Bonazzoli
60'
R. Floriani
/
T. Barbieri
66'
Hassane Kamara
67'
L. Miller
/ V. Bayo
71'
K. Davis
/ I. Gueye
71'
H. Kamara
/ A. Camara
79'
82'
J. Vandeputte
/
M. Thorsby
82'
M. Collocolo
/
Y. Maleh
88'
M. Djuric
/
J. Vardy
90'+1
Alberto Grassi
Pre-match prediction
53.17%
Udinese
28.32%
X
18.51%
Cremonese ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cremonese)
18.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
0.31
-1.14
0.66
0.49
-0.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.31 – 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
M. Okoye
G
M. Okoye
G
28
O. Solet
D
O. Solet
D
27
C. Kabasele
45'
D
C. Kabasele
45'
D
31
T. Kristensen
D
T. Kristensen
D
11
H. Kamara
79'
M
H. Kamara
79'
M
14
Arthur Atta
M
Arthur Atta
M
8
J. Karlström
M
J. Karlström
M
38
L. Miller
71'
M
L. Miller
71'
M
20
J. Arizala
60'
M
J. Arizala
60'
M
9
K. Davis
71'
F
K. Davis
71'
F
18
A. Buksa
F
A. Buksa
F
Bench
29
Abdoulaye Camara
17'
M
Abdoulaye Camara
17'
M
1
A. Nunziante
G
A. Nunziante
G
22
Branimir Mlačić
D
Branimir Mlačić
D
93
D. Padelli
G
D. Padelli
G
7
I. Gueye
25'
F
I. Gueye
25'
F
24
J. Piotrowski
M
J. Piotrowski
M
33
J. Zemura
36'
D
J. Zemura
36'
D
13
N. Bertola
51'
D
N. Bertola
51'
D
6
Oier Zarraga
M
Oier Zarraga
M
90
R. Sava
G
R. Sava
G
15
V. Bayo
25'
F
V. Bayo
25'
F
1
E. Audero
G
E. Audero
G
5
S. Luperto
D
S. Luperto
D
15
M. Bianchetti
D
M. Bianchetti
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
D
Filippo Terracciano
D
3
Giuseppe Pezzella
M
Giuseppe Pezzella
M
29
Y. Maleh
82'
M
Y. Maleh
82'
M
33
Alberto Grassi
M
Alberto Grassi
M
2
M. Thorsby
82'
M
M. Thorsby
82'
M
4
Tommaso Barbieri
60'
M
Tommaso Barbieri
60'
M
10
J. Vardy
1 ⚽
88'
F
J. Vardy
1 ⚽
88'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
60'
F
F. Bonazzoli
60'
F
Bench
7
Alessio Zerbin
F
Alessio Zerbin
F
99
A. Sanabria
A. Sanabria
77
D. Okereke
36'
F
D. Okereke
36'
F
55
F. Folino
D
F. Folino
D
27
J. Vandeputte
14'
M
J. Vandeputte
14'
M
69
Lapo Nava
G
Lapo Nava
G
16
Marco Silvestri
G
Marco Silvestri
G
96
M. Cassin
G
M. Cassin
G
18
M. Collocolo
14'
M
M. Collocolo
14'
M
9
M. Đurić
8'
F
M. Đurić
8'
F
30
M. Faye
D
M. Faye
D
32
M. Payero
M
M. Payero
M
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
36'
D
Romano Floriani Mussolini
36'
D
Best on the pitch
O. Solet
D · Udinese
7.50
3 shots
· 100 pass
T. Kristensen
D · Udinese
7.30
· 92 pass
J. Vardy
F · Cremonese
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
E. Audero
G · Cremonese
7.20
· 40 pass
Alberto Grassi
M · Cremonese
6.90
· 30 pass
M. Thorsby
M · Cremonese
6.90
· 34 pass
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Okoye | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Solet | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 100 | 89% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Kabasele | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| T. Kristensen | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 84% | — | — | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | — | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| L. Miller | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Arizala | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Davis | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Buksa | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Camara | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| I. Gueye | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zemura | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Bertola | D | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| V. Bayo | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Audero | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | — | — |
| S. Luperto | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bianchetti | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Giuseppe Pezzella | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Maleh | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Thorsby | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Vardy | F | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Okereke | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Vandeputte | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Collocolo | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Đurić | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Udinese vs Cremonese?
The final score was Udinese 0–1 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Udinese vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Udinese win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Cremonese win.