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✗Model wrong — prediction Udinese, result Cremonese wins
9' J. Vardy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Udinese a 53% win probability (draw 28%, Cremonese 18%). The final result was Udinese 0–1 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Udinese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.31
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
5
5
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
J. Vardy⚽
27'
↕ C. Kabasele / N. Bertola
46'
51'
Federico Bonazzoli
55'
Tommaso Barbieri
↕ J. Arizala / J. Zemura
60'
60'
D. Okereke / F. Bonazzoli ↕
60'
R. Floriani / T. Barbieri ↕
66'
Hassane Kamara
67'
↕ L. Miller / V. Bayo
71'
↕ K. Davis / I. Gueye
71'
↕ H. Kamara / A. Camara
79'
82'
J. Vandeputte / M. Thorsby ↕
82'
M. Collocolo / Y. Maleh ↕
88'
M. Djuric / J. Vardy ↕
90'+1
Alberto Grassi
Pre-match prediction
53.17%
Udinese
28.32%
X
18.51%
Cremonese ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cremonese) 18.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Udinese
1.45
0.31
-1.14
Cremonese
0.66
0.49
-0.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.31 – 0.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 10 28
2 Inter Inter 10 25
3 AS Roma AS Roma 10 24
4 Como Como 10 23
5 AC Milan AC Milan 10 21
6 Frosinone Frosinone 10 20
7 Juventus Juventus 10 17
8 Napoli Napoli 10 14
9 Bologna Bologna 10 14
10 Torino Torino 10 13
11 Genoa Genoa 10 13
12 Cagliari Cagliari 10 13
13 Atalanta Atalanta 10 11
14 Lecce Lecce 10 9
15 Parma Parma 10 8
16 Fiorentina Fiorentina 10 8
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 10 8
18 Monza Monza 10 7
19 Venezia Venezia 11 6
20 Udinese Udinese 11 5
Lineups
Udinese Udinese 3-5-2
40 M. Okoye M. Okoye G 6.90
28 O. Solet O. Solet D 7.50
27 C. Kabasele C. Kabasele 45' D 6.00
31 T. Kristensen T. Kristensen D 7.30
11 H. Kamara H. Kamara 79' M 6.90
14 Arthur Atta Arthur Atta M 6.30
8 J. Karlström J. Karlström M 6.60
38 L. Miller L. Miller 71' M 6.70
20 J. Arizala J. Arizala 60' M 6.20
9 K. Davis K. Davis 71' F 6.60
18 A. Buksa A. Buksa F 6.20
Bench
29 Abdoulaye Camara Abdoulaye Camara 17' M 6.90
1 A. Nunziante A. Nunziante G
22 Branimir Mlačić Branimir Mlačić D
93 D. Padelli D. Padelli G
7 Idrissa Gueye Idrissa Gueye 25' F 6.90
24 J. Piotrowski J. Piotrowski M
33 J. Zemura J. Zemura 36' D 6.70
13 N. Bertola N. Bertola 51' D 6.90
6 Oier Zarraga Oier Zarraga M
90 Răzvan Sava Răzvan Sava G
15 V. Bayo V. Bayo 25' F 6.30
Cremonese Cremonese 3-5-2
1 E. Audero E. Audero G 7.20
5 S. Luperto S. Luperto D 6.90
15 M. Bianchetti M. Bianchetti D 6.90
24 F. Terracciano F. Terracciano D 6.90
3 G. Pezzella G. Pezzella M 6.60
29 Y. Maleh Y. Maleh 82' M 6.60
33 A. Grassi A. Grassi M 6.90
2 M. Thorsby M. Thorsby 82' M 6.90
4 T. Barbieri T. Barbieri 60' M 6.30
10 J. Vardy J. Vardy 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.30
90 F. Bonazzoli F. Bonazzoli 60' F 6.90
Bench
99 A. Sanabria A. Sanabria
7 A. Zerbin A. Zerbin F
77 D. Okereke D. Okereke 36' F 6.50
55 F. Folino F. Folino D
27 J. Vandeputte J. Vandeputte 14' M 6.30
69 Lapo Nava Lapo Nava G
16 Marco Silvestri Marco Silvestri G
96 M. Cassin M. Cassin G
18 M. Collocolo M. Collocolo 14' M 6.70
9 M. Đurić M. Đurić 8' F 6.50
30 M. Faye M. Faye D
32 M. Payero M. Payero M
22 R. Floriani Mussolini R. Floriani Mussolini 36' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
O. Solet
O. Solet
D · Udinese
7.50
3 shots · 100 pass
T. Kristensen
T. Kristensen
D · Udinese
7.30
· 92 pass
J. Vardy
J. Vardy
F · Cremonese
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
E. Audero
E. Audero
G · Cremonese
7.20
· 40 pass
A. Grassi
A. Grassi
M · Cremonese
6.90
· 30 pass
M. Thorsby
M. Thorsby
M · Cremonese
6.90
· 34 pass
Udinese Udinese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Okoye G 96 6.90 — — — 18 18% — — —
O. Solet D 96 7.50 — — 3 100 89% 3 — —
C. Kabasele D 45 6.00 — — — 33 31% — — —
T. Kristensen D 96 7.30 — — — 92 84% — — —
H. Kamara M 79 6.90 — — — 44 35% — 1 —
Arthur Atta M 96 6.30 — — 1 50 41% — — —
J. Karlström M 96 6.60 — — 1 48 41% — — —
L. Miller M 71 6.70 — — — 24 19% — — —
J. Arizala M 60 6.20 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
K. Davis F 71 6.60 — — 1 14 13% — — —
A. Buksa F 96 6.20 — — — 19 12% — — —
Abdoulaye Camara M 17 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
Idrissa Gueye F 25 6.90 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
J. Zemura D 36 6.70 — — — 12 11% — — —
N. Bertola D 51 6.90 — — — 35 29% — — —
V. Bayo F 25 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Cremonese Cremonese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Audero G 96 7.20 — — — 40 23% — — —
S. Luperto D 96 6.90 — — 1 32 29% 1 — —
M. Bianchetti D 96 6.90 — — — 27 21% — — —
F. Terracciano D 96 6.90 — — — 34 31% 2 — —
G. Pezzella M 96 6.60 — — 1 25 16% 1 — —
Y. Maleh M 82 6.60 — — 2 20 15% 2 — —
A. Grassi M 96 6.90 — — — 30 25% 1 1 —
M. Thorsby M 82 6.90 — — — 34 22% — — —
T. Barbieri M 60 6.30 — — — 13 5% — 1 —
J. Vardy F 88 7.30 1 — 1 13 8% 1 — —
F. Bonazzoli F 60 6.90 — — 1 18 11% 3 1 —
D. Okereke F 36 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Vandeputte M 14 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
M. Collocolo M 14 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
M. Đurić F 8 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
R. Floriani Mussolini D 36 6.70 — — — 7 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Udinese vs Cremonese?
The final score was Udinese 0–1 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Udinese vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Udinese win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Cremonese win.