✗Model wrong — prediction Udinese, result Cremonese wins
9'
J. Vardy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Udinese a 53% win probability (draw 28%, Cremonese 18%). The final result was Udinese 0–1 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Udinese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.31
Actual xG
0.49
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
5
5
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
J. Vardy⚽
27'
C. Kabasele
/ N. Bertola
46'
51'
Federico Bonazzoli
55'
Tommaso Barbieri
J. Arizala
/ J. Zemura
60'
60'
D. Okereke
/
F. Bonazzoli
60'
R. Floriani
/
T. Barbieri
66'
Hassane Kamara
67'
L. Miller
/ V. Bayo
71'
K. Davis
/ I. Gueye
71'
H. Kamara
/ A. Camara
79'
82'
J. Vandeputte
/
M. Thorsby
82'
M. Collocolo
/
Y. Maleh
88'
M. Djuric
/
J. Vardy
90'+1
Alberto Grassi
Pre-match prediction
53.17%
Udinese
28.32%
X
18.51%
Cremonese ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cremonese)
18.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
0.31
-1.14
0.66
0.49
-0.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.31 – 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Maduka Okoye
G
Maduka Okoye
G
28
Oumar Solet
D
Oumar Solet
D
27
Christian Kabasele
45'
D
Christian Kabasele
45'
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
D
Thomas Kristensen
D
11
H. Kamara
79'
M
H. Kamara
79'
M
14
Arthur Atta
M
Arthur Atta
M
8
Jesper Karlström
M
Jesper Karlström
M
38
Lennon Miller
71'
M
Lennon Miller
71'
M
20
J. Arizala
60'
M
J. Arizala
60'
M
9
K. Davis
71'
F
K. Davis
71'
F
18
Adam Buksa
F
Adam Buksa
F
Bench
29
Abdoulaye Camara
17'
M
Abdoulaye Camara
17'
M
1
Alessandro Nunziante
G
Alessandro Nunziante
G
22
Branimir Mlačić
D
Branimir Mlačić
D
93
Daniele Padelli
G
Daniele Padelli
G
7
Idrissa Gueye
25'
F
Idrissa Gueye
25'
F
24
Jakub Piotrowski
M
33
Jordan Zemura
36'
D
13
Nicolò Bertola
51'
D
Nicolò Bertola
51'
D
6
Oier Zarraga
M
Oier Zarraga
M
90
Răzvan Sava
G
15
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
25'
F
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
25'
F
1
Emil Audero
G
5
Sebastiano Luperto
D
Sebastiano Luperto
D
15
Matteo Bianchetti
D
Matteo Bianchetti
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
D
Filippo Terracciano
D
3
G. Pezzella
M
G. Pezzella
M
29
Youssef Maleh
82'
M
Youssef Maleh
82'
M
33
Alberto Grassi
M
Alberto Grassi
M
2
Morten Thorsby
82'
M
Morten Thorsby
82'
M
4
Tommaso Barbieri
60'
M
Tommaso Barbieri
60'
M
10
Jamie Vardy
1 ⚽
88'
F
Jamie Vardy
1 ⚽
88'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
60'
F
F. Bonazzoli
60'
F
Bench
7
Alessio Zerbin
F
Alessio Zerbin
F
99
A. Sanabria
A. Sanabria
77
David Okereke
36'
F
David Okereke
36'
F
55
Francesco Folino
D
Francesco Folino
D
27
Jari Vandeputte
14'
M
Jari Vandeputte
14'
M
69
Lapo Nava
G
Lapo Nava
G
16
Marco Silvestri
G
Marco Silvestri
G
96
M. Cassin
G
M. Cassin
G
30
M. Faye
D
M. Faye
D
18
Michele Collocolo
14'
M
Michele Collocolo
14'
M
9
Milan Đurić
8'
F
Milan Đurić
8'
F
32
M. Payero
M
M. Payero
M
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
36'
D
Romano Floriani Mussolini
36'
D
Best on the pitch
Oumar Solet
D · Udinese
7.50
3 shots
· 100 pass
Thomas Kristensen
D · Udinese
7.30
· 92 pass
Jamie Vardy
F · Cremonese
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Emil Audero
G · Cremonese
7.20
· 40 pass
Alberto Grassi
M · Cremonese
6.90
· 30 pass
Morten Thorsby
M · Cremonese
6.90
· 34 pass
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduka Okoye | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Oumar Solet | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 100 | 89% | 3 | — | — |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 84% | — | — | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Jesper Karlström | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Lennon Miller | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Arizala | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Davis | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Adam Buksa | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Camara | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordan Zemura | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Bertola | D | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Audero | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Bianchetti | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Pezzella | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Morten Thorsby | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Jamie Vardy | F | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| David Okereke | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Michele Collocolo | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Milan Đurić | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Udinese vs Cremonese?
The final score was Udinese 0–1 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Udinese vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Udinese win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Cremonese win.