Udinese - Padova
Coppa Italia
August 15, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.69%
Win
Udinese
31.86%
Draw
28.45%
Win
Padova
1.93
0.92
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.86%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
32%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
60%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Udinese a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Padova. Expected goals are 1.9 for Udinese and 0.9 for Padova (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.86% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
6.7
Shots OT
—
2.3
Corners
—
50%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Udinese
Padova →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 11.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Udinese
Attack
33
Defence
57
Form
46
Padova
Attack
31
Defence
38
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Udinese vs Padova?
The model gives Udinese a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 28% for an Padova win.
How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Padova?
Expected goals: Udinese 1.9, Padova 0.9 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Udinese vs Padova?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.86%.