✗Model wrong — prediction Udinese, result Parma wins
51'
(ast. G. Strefezza)
N. Elphege
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Udinese a 51% win probability (draw 31%, Parma 16%). The final result was Udinese 0–1 Parma. In 1 previous meetings, Udinese have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Parma.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.13
Actual xG
1.23
0
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
10
Corners
5
10
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
46'
N. Elphege
/
M. Pellegrino
51'
ast. G. Strefezza ·
N. Elphege⚽
J. Piotrowski
/ I. Gueye
64'
H. Kamara
/ J. Arizala
64'
66'
C. Ordonez
/
A. Bernabe
66'
J. Ondrejka
/
G. Strefezza
N. Zaniolo
70'
72'
N. Estevez
/
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
K. Ehizibue
/ O. Zarraga
73'
J. Ekkelenkamp
/ A. Buksa
73'
75'
S. Britschgi
/
A. Ndiaye
T. Kristensen
/ B. Mlacic
81'
J. Karlstrom
84'
Pre-match prediction
51.71%
Udinese
31.78%
X
16.51%
Parma ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Parma)
16.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
1.13
-0.02
0.55
1.23
+0.68
xG dominance was balanced (1.13 – 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
28
D
27
Christian Kabasele
D
Christian Kabasele
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
81'
D
Thomas Kristensen
81'
D
11
H. Kamara
64'
M
H. Kamara
64'
M
24
Jakub Piotrowski
64'
M
8
Jesper Karlström
M
Jesper Karlström
M
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
73'
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
73'
M
10
N. Zaniolo
F
N. Zaniolo
F
14
Arthur Atta
F
Arthur Atta
F
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
73'
F
Bench
18
Adam Buksa
24'
F
Adam Buksa
24'
F
22
Branimir Mlačić
16'
D
Branimir Mlačić
16'
D
7
Idrissa Gueye
33'
F
Idrissa Gueye
33'
F
38
Lennon Miller
M
Lennon Miller
M
6
Oier Zarraga
24'
M
Oier Zarraga
24'
M
31
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
75'
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
75'
D
37
D
39
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
14
E. Valeri
M
E. Valeri
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
72'
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
72'
M
16
Mandela Keita
M
Mandela Keita
M
10
A. Bernabe
66'
M
15
Enrico Delprato
M
Enrico Delprato
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
1 👟
66'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
1 👟
66'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
45'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
45'
F
Bench
29
Franco Carboni
D
Franco Carboni
D
23
Nesta Elphege
1 ⚽
52'
F
Nesta Elphege
1 ⚽
52'
F
27
Sascha Britschgi
22'
D
Sascha Britschgi
22'
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Strefezza
F · Parma
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
D · Udinese
7.90
· 77 pass
Zion Suzuki
G · Parma
7.70
· 36 pass
Nesta Elphege
F · Parma
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Mandela Keita
M · Parma
7.30
· 40 pass
E. Valeri
M · Parma
7.20
· 24 pass
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 2 | — | — | |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlström | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Zaniolo | F | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Atta | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Buksa | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Branimir Mlačić | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bernabe | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 66 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 52 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Udinese vs Parma?
The final score was Udinese 0–1 Parma.
What did the model predict before Udinese vs Parma?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Udinese win, 31% to a draw, and 16% to an Parma win.