Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 29, 2026 18:00
Arnold Vula Lamb Luth
(ast. Allan Okello)
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Libya a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Uganda 34%). The final result was Uganda 1–0 Libya.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
33
1
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
0
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
5
20
Tackles
0
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Arnold Vula Lamb Luth
· ast. Allan Okello
45'+2
51'
Fadel Libya Ali Salama
55'
Amjed Al Gsheim
/
Abdulmunem Aleiyan
Arnold Vula Lamb Luth
/ Kelvin Owusu Boateng
59'
62'
Sayfulnasr Judour
66'
Osama Mukhtar Al Shremi
/
Maruwan Alhibeeshi
73'
Ahmed Alsuwee
/
Muad Abdulbasit Salem Eisa
Rogers Mato
77'
Allan Okello
/ Denis Omedi
78'
86'
Mahmoud Al Shilw
Rogers Mato
/ Allan Oyirwoth
87'
Pre-match prediction
34.41%
Uganda ←
30.47%
X
35.13%
Libya
we assigned to the actual result (Uganda)
34.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
—
—
1.63
—
—
Lineups
18
D. Onyango
G
D. Onyango
G
5
T. Sibbick
D
T. Sibbick
D
3
R. Torach
D
R. Torach
D
4
K. Semakula
D
K. Semakula
D
23
A. Kayondo
M
A. Kayondo
M
6
B. Alhassan
M
B. Alhassan
M
15
N. Okello
M
N. Okello
M
21
A. Okello
1 👟
78'
M
2
N. Asiimwe
M
N. Asiimwe
M
7
R. Mato
87'
F
R. Mato
87'
F
9
A. Vula
1 ⚽
59'
F
A. Vula
1 ⚽
59'
F
Bench
8
Allan Oyirwoth
3'
M
17
J. Bogere
F
J. Bogere
F
13
K. Boateng
31'
F
K. Boateng
31'
F
10
Travis Mutyaba
F
Best on the pitch
D. Onyango
G · Uganda
7.91
· 25 pass
A. Vula
F · Uganda
7.75
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
A. Okello
M · Uganda
7.30
1 👟
· 36 pass
R. Torach
D · Uganda
7.06
· 46 pass
T. Sibbick
D · Uganda
7.03
· 41 pass
N. Asiimwe
M · Uganda
6.66
· 28 pass
Uganda — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Onyango | G | 90 | 7.91 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Sibbick | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Torach | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Semakula | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Kayondo | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| B. Alhassan | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Okello | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Okello | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 0 | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Asiimwe | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Mato | F | 87 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Vula | F | 59 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Allan Oyirwoth | M | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Boateng | F | 31 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Libya — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Uganda vs Libya?
The final score was Uganda 1–0 Libya.
What did the model predict before Uganda vs Libya?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Uganda win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an Libya win.