Uganda - Madagascar
Friendlies Internazionali
June 08, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Uganda
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Madagascar
2.13
1.1
Expected xG
Most likely result
2–1
(9.9%)
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Uganda a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Madagascar. Expected goals are 2.1 for Uganda and 1.1 for Madagascar (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.9% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Uganda
Madagascar →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Uganda
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Madagascar
Attack
38
Defence
38
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Uganda vs Madagascar?
The model gives Uganda a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Madagascar win.
How many goals are expected in Uganda vs Madagascar?
Expected goals: Uganda 2.1, Madagascar 1.1 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Uganda vs Madagascar?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.