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UEFA Nations League · League B - 3 October 02, 2026 20:45 CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava
Ukraine
#3 · 4 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Northern Ireland
#1 · 8 pts
9' Ciaron Brown
22' (ast. Kieran Morrison) Isaac Price
61' (ast. Pierce Charles) Ciaron Brown
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ukraine a 37% win probability (draw 43%, Northern Ireland 18%). The final result was Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
0
Saves
2
73%
Possession
27%
7
Corners
1
9
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
Ciaron Brown⚽
22'
ast. Kieran Morrison · Isaac Price⚽
↕ Volodymyr Brazhko / Egor Nazaryna
56'
Mykola Matvienko
57'
61'
ast. Pierce Charles · Ciaron Brown⚽
↕ Valeriy Bondar / Danylo Sikan
63'
↕ Andriy Yarmolenko / Oleksandr Zubkov
63'
↕ Roman Yaremchuk / Matviy Ponomarenko
63'
64'
Brodie Spencer
67'
Justin Devenny / Isaac Price ↕
↕ Heorhii Sudakov / Oleksandr Nazarenko
68'
77'
Patrick Kelly / Kieran Morrison ↕
77'
Josh Magennis / Jamie Donley ↕
84'
Paddy McNair / Tom Atcheson ↕
84'
Ceadach O'Neill / Terry Devlin ↕
Matviy Ponomarenko
88'
Danylo Sikan
88'
Pre-match prediction
37.64%
Ukraine
43.87%
X
18.48%
Northern ←
we assigned to the actual result (Northern Ireland) 18.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ukraine
0.74
—
—
Northern
0.45
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 4 8
2 Hungary Hungary 4 7
3 Ukraine Ukraine 4 4
4 Georgia Georgia 4 2
Lineups
Ukraine Ukraine 4-1-4-1
23 D. Riznyk D. Riznyk G 5.55
22 M. Matvienko M. Matvienko D 5.49
3 E. Sarapiy E. Sarapiy D 6.40
13 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 6.69
5 V. Bondar V. Bondar 63' D 6.33
6 V. Brazhko V. Brazhko 56' M 6.18
8 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov 68' M 6.21
15 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov M 5.56
18 O. Ocheretko O. Ocheretko M 6.80
7 A. Yarmolenko A. Yarmolenko 63' M 5.41
9 R. Yaremchuk R. Yaremchuk 63' F 6.39
Bench
12 A. Trubin A. Trubin G 0.00
14 Danylo Sikan Danylo Sikan 27' F 6.11
19 E. Nazaryna E. Nazaryna 34' M 5.89
1 H. Ermakov H. Ermakov G 0.00
21 I. Krasnopir I. Krasnopir F 0.00
2 I. Krupskyi I. Krupskyi D 0.00
16 I. Varfolomeev I. Varfolomeev M 0.00
11 M. Ponomarenko M. Ponomarenko 27' F 6.07
10 M. Shaparenko M. Shaparenko M 0.00
17 O. Nazarenko O. Nazarenko 22' M 5.79
20 O. Zubkov O. Zubkov 27' M 5.69
4 T. Mykhavko T. Mykhavko D 0.00
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 5-4-1
1 P. Charles P. Charles 1 👟 G 7.35
2 T. Devlin T. Devlin 84' D 6.85
22 C. Brown C. Brown 2 ⚽ D 8.03
15 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville D 6.87
4 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson 84' D 6.50
20 B. Spencer B. Spencer D 6.03
14 I. Price I. Price 1 ⚽ 67' M 8.02
19 S. Charles S. Charles M 6.15
5 T. Hume T. Hume M 6.36
7 K. Morrison K. Morrison 1 👟 77' M 7.41
10 J. Donley J. Donley 77' F 6.31
Bench
18 B. Graham B. Graham F 0.00
23 B. Peacock-Farrell B. Peacock-Farrell G 0.00
12 C. Hazard C. Hazard G 0.00
8 C. O’Neill C. O’Neill 6' F 6.70
9 D. Charles D. Charles F 0.00
3 J. Devenny J. Devenny 23' M 6.54
21 J. Magennis J. Magennis 13' F 6.65
6 J. Thompson J. Thompson M 0.00
13 M. Forbes M. Forbes D 0.00
16 Patrick Kelly Patrick Kelly 13' M 6.14
17 P. McNair P. McNair 6' D 6.59
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth F 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Brown
C. Brown
D · Northern
8.03
2 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
I. Price
I. Price
M · Northern
8.02
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
K. Morrison
K. Morrison
M · Northern
7.41
1 👟
· 14 pass
P. Charles
P. Charles
G · Northern
7.35
1 👟
· 37 pass
Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville
D · Northern
6.87
1 shots · 23 pass
T. Devlin
T. Devlin
D · Northern
6.85
1 shots · 18 pass
Ukraine Ukraine — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Riznyk G 90 5.55 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
M. Matvienko D 90 5.49 — — 1 68 61% 0 1 —
E. Sarapiy D 90 6.40 — — 1 111 105% 1 — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 6.69 — — 0 121 104% 0 — —
V. Bondar D 63 6.33 — — 0 81 77% 2 — —
V. Brazhko M 56 6.18 — — 2 53 47% 0 — —
H. Sudakov M 68 6.21 — — 4 31 24% 1 — —
V. Tsygankov M 90 5.56 — — 0 52 41% 0 — —
O. Ocheretko M 90 6.80 — — 1 79 70% 1 — —
A. Yarmolenko M 63 5.41 — — 0 29 20% 1 — —
R. Yaremchuk F 63 6.39 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
Danylo Sikan F 27 6.11 — — 0 5 5% 2 1 —
E. Nazaryna M 34 5.89 — — 1 18 17% 0 — —
M. Ponomarenko F 27 6.07 — — 1 2 1% 1 1 —
O. Nazarenko M 22 5.79 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
O. Zubkov M 27 5.69 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Charles G 90 7.35 — 1 0 37 21% 0 — —
T. Devlin D 84 6.85 — — 1 18 8% 3 — —
C. Brown D 90 8.03 2 — 2 21 13% 2 — —
Ruairi McConville D 90 6.87 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
Tom Atcheson D 84 6.50 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
B. Spencer D 90 6.03 — — 1 35 26% 0 1 —
I. Price M 67 8.02 1 — 1 13 10% 0 — —
S. Charles M 90 6.15 — — 0 31 25% 0 — —
T. Hume M 90 6.36 — — 1 25 19% 4 — —
K. Morrison M 77 7.41 — 1 0 14 13% 2 — —
J. Donley F 77 6.31 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
C. O’Neill F 6 6.70 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
J. Devenny M 23 6.54 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
J. Magennis F 13 6.65 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Patrick Kelly M 13 6.14 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
P. McNair D 6 6.59 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
The final score was Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.
What did the model predict before Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Ukraine win, 43% to a draw, and 18% to an Northern Ireland win.