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Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards

Premier League November 25, 2026 14:15
#13 · 5 pts
vs
#3 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.79%
Win
Ulinzi Stars
35.74%
Draw
31.47%
Win
AFC Leopards
0.81
Expected xG
0.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (19.9%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 36%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 67%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ulinzi Stars a 32% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 31% for AFC Leopards. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ulinzi Stars and 0.7 for AFC Leopards (total 1.6), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.9% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ulinzi Stars have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for AFC Leopards.

Season Stats

Ulinzi Stars
8W 3D 4L
AFC Leopards
8W 3D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.1
0.9
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Ulinzi Stars
4W 2D 4L · at home
AFC Leopards
5W 2D 3L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.1
1.1
Conceded
0.9
40%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
60%
30%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
50%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ulinzi Stars AFC Leopards →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.2% 15.7% 5.8% 1.4% 0.3% —
1 17.2% 12.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 6.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

W Mathare United 2–1
L Kenya Police 1–0
D Mara Sugar 0–0
D Homeboyz 1–1
L Tusker 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
W Homeboyz 2–0
D Mara Sugar 0–0
D Shabana 0–0
W Kenya Police 1–2
D Bandari 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
Attack
19
Defence
64
Form
37
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
Attack
20
Defence
69
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KCB KCB 6 13
2 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 5 12
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 5 9
4 Shabana Shabana 6 9
5 Kenya Police Kenya Police 5 8
6 3K 3K 5 8
7 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 5 7
8 Tusker Tusker 3 6
9 Police Police 1 1
9 Migori Youth Migori Youth 4 6
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
11 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 5 6
12 Mathare United Mathare United 5 5
13 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 5 5
14 Nairobi United Nairobi United 5 4
15 Bandari Bandari 5 4
16 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4 4
17 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 5 4
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
The model gives Ulinzi Stars a 32% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 31% for an AFC Leopards win.
How many goals are expected in Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
Expected goals: Ulinzi Stars 0.8, AFC Leopards 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.9%.