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Ulinzi Stars - Migori Youth

Premier League November 14, 2026 12:00
Ulinzi Stars
#13 · 5 pts
vs
Migori Youth
#9 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.43%
Win
Ulinzi Stars
32.27%
Draw
35.3%
Win
Migori Youth
0.97
Expected xG
2.28

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.96%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 32%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Migori Youth a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Ulinzi Stars. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ulinzi Stars and 2.3 for Migori Youth (total 3.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.96% probability.

Season Stats

Ulinzi Stars
8W 3D 4L
Migori Youth
1W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.0
0.9
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Ulinzi Stars
4W 2D 4L · at home
Migori Youth
0W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.1
Conceded
1.5
40%
Win %
0%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
100%
30%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
100%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ulinzi Stars Migori Youth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 8.8% 10.1% 7.7% 4.4% 2.0%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
W Mathare United 2–1
L Kenya Police 1–0
D Mara Sugar 0–0
D Homeboyz 1–1
L Tusker 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Migori Youth Migori Youth
L Mara Sugar 2–1
W Mombasa Elite 2–0
D Shabana 1–1
D Mathare United 0–0
D Kenya Police 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
Attack
19
Defence
64
Form
37
Migori Youth Migori Youth
Attack
25
Defence
88
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KCB KCB 6 13
2 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 5 12
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 5 9
4 Shabana Shabana 6 9
5 Kenya Police Kenya Police 5 8
6 3K 3K 5 8
7 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 5 7
8 Tusker Tusker 3 6
9 Police Police 1 1
9 Migori Youth Migori Youth 4 6
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
11 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 5 6
12 Mathare United Mathare United 5 5
13 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 5 5
14 Nairobi United Nairobi United 5 4
15 Bandari Bandari 5 4
16 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4 4
17 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 5 4
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
The model gives Ulinzi Stars a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 35% for an Migori Youth win.
How many goals are expected in Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
Expected goals: Ulinzi Stars 1.0, Migori Youth 2.3 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.96%.