Ulinzi Stars - Tusker

Premier League May 16, 2026 15:00

Ulinzi Stars

#16 · 32 pts

15:00

vs

Tusker

#7 · 44 pts

Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 32.8°C 💨 16 km/h · Novo Mesto

⚡ Pre-match analysis

38.73%

Win

Ulinzi Stars

35.84%

Draw

25.43%

Win

Tusker

0.9

Expected xG

0.65

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ulinzi Stars a 38% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Tusker. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ulinzi Stars and 0.7 for Tusker (total 1.6), with a 55% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 21.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Ulinzi Stars have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tusker.

Score Matrix

↕ Ulinzi Stars Tusker →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	21.2%	13.8%	4.5%	1.0%	0.2%	—
1	19.1%	12.4%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%	—
2	8.6%	5.6%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	—
3	2.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	—	—
4	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—	—
5	0.1%	0.1%	—	—	—	—

Recent form

Ulinzi Stars

L AFC Leopards 0–2

D Shabana 0–0

W Bandari 1–2

W KCB 2–3

L APS Bomet 0–1

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 22%

Tusker

W Bidco United 2–0

L Nairobi United 1–0

L Mara Sugar 0–1

D Sofapaka 0–0

W GOR Mahia 1–0

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%

Playing profile

Ulinzi Stars

Attack

30

Defence

69

Form

43

Tusker

Attack

16

Defence

88

Form

45

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0

Ulinzi Stars

0

Draw

1

Tusker

L 5 Dec 2025 Premier League 0–1

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	31	65
2	AFC Leopards	31	61
3	Police	31	52
4	Nairobi United	31	48
5	Shabana	31	48
6	Homeboyz	31	47
7	Tusker	31	44
8	Mara Sugar	31	43
9	KCB	31	42
10	Bandari	31	41
11	Murang'a SEAL	31	41
12	APS Bomet	31	37
13	Posta Rangers FC	31	36
14	Mathare United	31	35
15	Kariobangi Sharks	31	33
16	Ulinzi Stars	31	32
17	Bidco United	31	24
18	Sofapaka	31	18