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Ulinzi Stars - Tusker

Premier League September 19, 2026 13:00
Ulinzi Stars
#2 · 0 pts
vs
Tusker
#3 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.47%
Win
Ulinzi Stars
33.22%
Draw
33.31%
Win
Tusker
1.39
Expected xG
0.35

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ulinzi Stars a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Tusker. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ulinzi Stars and 0.4 for Tusker (total 1.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ulinzi Stars have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tusker.

Season Stats

Ulinzi Stars
7W 3D 5L
Tusker
5W 2D 8L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.7
1.1
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
40%
40%
O 2.5
13%
53%
BTTS
20%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Ulinzi Stars
4W 3D 3L · at home
Tusker
3W 0D 7L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.6
1.0
Conceded
1.2
40%
Win %
30%
70%
Win or Draw
30%
90%
O 1.5
40%
30%
O 2.5
30%
10%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ulinzi Stars Tusker →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.5% 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% — —
1 24.4% 8.6% 1.5% 0.2% — —
2 16.9% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% — —
3 7.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% — — —
5 0.8% 0.3% — — — —

Recent form

Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
W Posta Rangers FC 0–1
W Tusker 2–0
W Mathare United 2–1
L AFC Leopards 0–2
D Shabana 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Tusker Tusker
D APS Bomet 1–1
L Ulinzi Stars 2–0
L Bandari 1–0
W Bidco United 2–0
L Nairobi United 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
Attack
17
Defence
39
Form
28
Tusker Tusker
Attack
5
Defence
40
Form
21
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Ulinzi Stars
0
Draw
1
Tusker
27 May 2026 Premier League 2–0
5 Dec 2025 Premier League 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
The model gives Ulinzi Stars a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Tusker win.
How many goals are expected in Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
Expected goals: Ulinzi Stars 1.4, Tusker 0.4 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.