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Ümraniyespor - Boluspor

1. Lig October 14, 2026 16:00 Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi, Istanbul
Ümraniyespor
#14 · 14 pts
vs
Boluspor
#20 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.5%
Win
Ümraniyespor
29.91%
Draw
18.59%
Win
Boluspor
1.2
Expected xG
0.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (19.02%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 30%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 49%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ümraniyespor a 51% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Boluspor. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ümraniyespor and 0.3 for Boluspor (total 1.5), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.02% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ümraniyespor have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boluspor.

Season Stats

Ümraniyespor
3W 5D 7L
Boluspor
2W 1D 12L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.9
1.3
Conceded
2.3
4.0
Shots OT
4.5
4.0
Corners
2.5
44%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
93%
47%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. Lig. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Ümraniyespor
2W 4D 4L · at home
Boluspor
0W 0D 10L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.4
1.2
Conceded
3.0
20%
Win %
0%
60%
Win or Draw
0%
70%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ümraniyespor Boluspor →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.4% 6.7% 1.0% 0.1% — —
1 26.8% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% — —
2 16.0% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 6.4% 1.9% 0.3% — — —
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% — — —
5 0.5% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
D Bodrum FK 1–1
W Sivasspor 4–0
W Vanspor FK 0–2
D Sarıyer 1–1
W Bandırmaspor 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Boluspor Boluspor
W Sivasspor 1–2
L Vanspor FK 0–3
L Iğdır FK 1–0
L Antalyaspor 0–1
L Sarıyer 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
Attack
34
Defence
82
Form
50
Boluspor Boluspor
Attack
13
Defence
54
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Ümraniyespor
0
Draw
0
Boluspor
17 Feb 2026 1. Lig 4–2
23 Sep 2025 1. Lig 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Bursaspor Bursaspor 14 32
2 Kayserispor Kayserispor 13 30
3 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 14 28
4 Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969 13 24
5 Batman Petrolspor Batman Petrolspor 13 23
6 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 13 20
7 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 14 20
8 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 13 18
9 Muğlaspor Muğlaspor 13 18
10 Sarıyer Sarıyer 14 17
11 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 13 16
12 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 13 15
13 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 13 14
14 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 12 14
15 Pendikspor Pendikspor 13 14
16 Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 13 13
17 Sivasspor Sivasspor 13 13
18 Vanspor FK Vanspor FK 13 13
19 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 13 5
20 Boluspor Boluspor 12 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?
The model gives Ümraniyespor a 51% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 18% for an Boluspor win.
How many goals are expected in Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?
Expected goals: Ümraniyespor 1.2, Boluspor 0.3 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.02%.