União de Leiria - Bragança
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.43%
Win
União de Leiria
30.24%
Draw
39.33%
Win
Bragança
1.83
4.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.77%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
30%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
70%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
57%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bragança a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for União de Leiria. Expected goals are 1.8 for União de Leiria and 4.5 for Bragança (total 6.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.77% probability.
Season Stats
4W
1D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
3.8
1.3
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
75%
67%
BTTS
25%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ União de Leiria
Bragança →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Recent form
Playing profile
União de Leiria
Attack
46
Defence
68
Form
63
Bragança
Attack
95
Defence
87
Form
90
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win União de Leiria vs Bragança?
The model gives União de Leiria a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 39% for an Bragança win.
How many goals are expected in União de Leiria vs Bragança?
Expected goals: União de Leiria 1.8, Bragança 4.5 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in União de Leiria vs Bragança?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.77%.