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União de Leiria - Leça

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
União de Leiria
vs
Leça
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.47%
Win
União de Leiria
35.0%
Draw
26.53%
Win
Leça
0.87
Expected xG
0.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.72%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 35%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 62%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 62%
Over 2.5 31%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives União de Leiria a 38% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Leça. Expected goals are 0.9 for União de Leiria and 0.5 for Leça (total 1.4), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.72% probability.

Season Stats

União de Leiria
5W 1D 1L
Leça
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
67%
71%
O 2.5
0%
71%
BTTS
0%
29%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
União de Leiria
1W 1D 0L · at home
Leça
2W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
0.7
50%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ União de Leiria Leça →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.4% 13.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 21.3% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 9.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% — —
3 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

União de Leiria União de Leiria
W Bragança 2–1
W O Elvas 0–2
L Torreense 3–1
W Vila Meã 0–1
W 1º Dezembro 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Leça Leça
W Penafiel 0–1
W Mortágua 0–2
L Rebordosa 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

União de Leiria União de Leiria
Attack
49
Defence
73
Form
65
Leça Leça
Attack
34
Defence
77
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win União de Leiria vs Leça?
The model gives União de Leiria a 38% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 26% for an Leça win.
How many goals are expected in União de Leiria vs Leça?
Expected goals: União de Leiria 0.9, Leça 0.5 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in União de Leiria vs Leça?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.72%.