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União Santarém - GIL Vicente

⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.1%
Win
União Santarém
29.07%
Draw
34.84%
Win
GIL Vicente
1.41
Expected xG
1.38

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.86%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 29%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 64%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 58%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives União Santarém a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for GIL Vicente. Expected goals are 1.4 for União Santarém and 1.4 for GIL Vicente (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.86% probability.

Season Stats

União Santarém
1W 0D 1L
GIL Vicente
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ União Santarém GIL Vicente →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.7% 12.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Merelinense 5–0
L Amarante 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
L Academico Viseu 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

União Santarém União Santarém
Attack
30
Defence
67
Form
52
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Attack
32
Defence
76
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
The model gives União Santarém a 36% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 34% for an GIL Vicente win.
How many goals are expected in União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
Expected goals: União Santarém 1.4, GIL Vicente 1.4 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.86%.