União Santarém - Merelinense
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.32%
Win
União Santarém
31.6%
Draw
37.08%
Win
Merelinense
0.47
3.31
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.52%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
32%
2
37%
Double Chance
1X
63%
X2
69%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Merelinense a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for União Santarém. Expected goals are 0.5 for União Santarém and 3.3 for Merelinense (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.52% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ União Santarém
Merelinense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| 3 | — | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
União Santarém
Attack
10
Defence
61
Form
38
Merelinense
Attack
50
Defence
100
Form
78
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win União Santarém vs Merelinense?
The model gives União Santarém a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Merelinense win.
How many goals are expected in União Santarém vs Merelinense?
Expected goals: União Santarém 0.5, Merelinense 3.3 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in União Santarém vs Merelinense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.52%.