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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin
#16 · 1 pts
2 – 2
Final score
1. FC Köln
#11 · 4 pts
T. Rothe (ast. C. Trimmel) 73'
L. Burcu 89'
33' (ast. L. Waldschmidt) M. Bulter
61' (ast. K. Lund) S. El Mala
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 53% win probability (draw 20%, Union Berlin 26%). The final result was Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Köln.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
1.24
Actual xG
1.71
2
Saves
0
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
E. Martel
33'
ast. L. Waldschmidt · M. Bulter⚽
D. Leite
34'
55'
J. Simpson-Pusey
↕ A. Schafer / L. Burcu
58'
↕ J. Juranovic / C. Trimmel
58'
↕ I. Ansah / A. Ilic
58'
61'
ast. K. Lund · S. El Mala⚽
62'
F. Chavez / L. Waldschmidt ↕
↕ S. Nsoki / T. Skarke
67'
71'
J. Thielmann / M. Bulter ↕
72'
L. Maina / J. Kaminski ↕
72'
Y. Niang / S. El Mala ↕
⚽T. Rothe · ast. C. Trimmel
73'
80'
J. Schmied / K. Lund ↕
↕ R. Khedira / A. Kral
88'
88'
M. Schwabe
⚽L. Burcu
89'
L. Burcu
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
26.55%
Union
20.2%
X ←
53.26%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.07
1.24
+0.17
1.
2.20
1.71
-0.49
1. FC Köln dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3 4
10 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
11 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 3 4
12 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
13 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
14 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-5-2
25
G 7.30
34 Stanley Nsoki Stanley Nsoki 67' D 7.20
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite D 7.70
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 6.70
15 T. Rothe T. Rothe 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6 A. Kemlein A. Kemlein M 6.30
8 R. Khedira R. Khedira 88' M 6.30
13 A. Schäfer A. Schäfer 58' M 7.20
18 J. Juranović J. Juranović 58' M 6.70
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 58' F 5.90
7 Oliver Burke Oliver Burke F 6.90
Bench
23 A. Ilić A. Ilić 32' F 6.70
33 A. Král A. Král 12' M 6.60
28 C. Trimmel C. Trimmel 1 👟 32' D 7.30
39 D. Köhn D. Köhn D
19 J. Haberer J. Haberer M
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.70
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld D
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 5.90
32 K. Lund K. Lund 1 👟 80' D 6.90
39
D 6.70
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 7.20
28 S. Sebulonsen S. Sebulonsen D 6.60
6 E. Martel E. Martel M 6.70
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß M 6.70
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.30
16 J. Kamiński J. Kamiński 72' M 6.30
7 Luca Waldschmidt Luca Waldschmidt 1 👟 62' M 6.60
13 S. El Mala S. El Mala 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.90
Bench
17 A. Castro-Montes A. Castro-Montes M
8 Denis Huseinbašić Denis Huseinbašić M
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann 19' M 6.70
37 L. Maina L. Maina 18' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
T. Rothe
T. Rothe
M · Union
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
S. El Mala
S. El Mala
F · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Livan Burcu
Livan Burcu
F · Union
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite
D · Union
7.70
· 70 pass
G · Union
7.30
· 30 pass
C. Trimmel
C. Trimmel
D · Union
7.30
1 👟
· 20 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 30 19% — — —
Stanley Nsoki D 67 7.20 — — — 48 43% 3 — —
Diogo Leite D 90 7.70 — — — 70 58% 3 1 —
D. Doekhi D 90 6.70 — — — 60 49% 1 — —
T. Rothe M 90 7.90 1 — 2 46 30% 2 — —
A. Kemlein M 90 6.30 — — 2 50 37% 1 — —
R. Khedira M 88 6.30 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
A. Schäfer M 58 7.20 — — — 25 21% — — —
J. Juranović M 58 6.70 — — — 28 20% 1 — —
Ilyas Ansah F 58 5.90 — — — 3 — — — —
Oliver Burke F 90 6.90 — — 2 16 10% 1 — —
A. Ilić F 32 6.70 — — 1 6 2% 1 — —
A. Král M 12 6.60 — — — — — — — —
C. Trimmel D 32 7.30 — 1 — 20 17% — — —
Livan Burcu F 32 7.70 1 — 1 19 16% 1 1 —
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 5.90 — — — 41 25% — 1 —
K. Lund D 80 6.90 — 1 — 27 20% — — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 52 42% 2 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 7.20 — — — 47 39% 1 1 —
S. Sebulonsen D 90 6.60 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
E. Martel M 90 6.70 — — — 38 29% 1 1 —
T. Krauß M 90 6.70 — — — 44 32% 4 — —
M. Bülter M 71 7.30 1 — 1 18 11% — — —
J. Kamiński M 72 6.30 — — 2 12 10% 1 — —
Luca Waldschmidt M 62 6.60 — 1 — 18 15% — — —
S. El Mala F 72 7.90 1 — 2 5 4% — — —
J. Thielmann M 19 6.70 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
L. Maina M 18 6.30 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
The final score was Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Union Berlin win, 20% to a draw, and 53% to an 1. FC Köln win.