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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:30
Union Berlin
#12 · 36 pts
2 – 2
Final score
1. FC Köln
#14 · 32 pts
T. Rothe (ast. C. Trimmel) 73'
L. Burcu 89'
33' (ast. L. Waldschmidt) M. Bulter
61' (ast. K. Lund) S. El Mala

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 53% win probability (draw 20%, Union Berlin 26%). The final result was Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Köln.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
1.24
Actual xG
1.71
2
Saves
0
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
E. Martel
33'
ast. L. Waldschmidt · M. Bulter⚽
D. Leite
34'
55'
J. Simpson-Pusey
↕ A. Schafer / L. Burcu
58'
↕ J. Juranovic / C. Trimmel
58'
↕ I. Ansah / A. Ilic
58'
61'
ast. K. Lund · S. El Mala⚽
62'
F. Chavez / L. Waldschmidt ↕
↕ S. Nsoki / T. Skarke
67'
71'
J. Thielmann / M. Bulter ↕
72'
L. Maina / J. Kaminski ↕
72'
Y. Niang / S. El Mala ↕
⚽T. Rothe · ast. C. Trimmel
73'
80'
J. Schmied / K. Lund ↕
↕ R. Khedira / A. Kral
88'
88'
M. Schwabe
⚽L. Burcu
89'
L. Burcu
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
26.55%
Union
20.2%
X ←
53.26%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.07
1.24
+0.17
1.
2.20
1.71
-0.49
1. FC Köln dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-5-2
25
G 7.30
34 Stanley Nsoki Stanley Nsoki 67' D 7.20
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite D 7.70
5 Danilho Doekhi Danilho Doekhi D 6.70
15 Tom Alexander Rothe Tom Alexander Rothe 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6 Aljoscha Kemlein Aljoscha Kemlein M 6.30
8 Rani Khedira Rani Khedira 88' M 6.30
13 András Schäfer András Schäfer 58' M 7.20
18 Josip Juranović Josip Juranović 58' M 6.70
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 58' F 5.90
7 Oliver Burke Oliver Burke F 6.90
Bench
33 Alex Král Alex Král 12' M 6.60
23 Andrej Ilić Andrej Ilić 32' F 6.70
28 Christopher Trimmel Christopher Trimmel 1 👟 32' D 7.30
39 Derrick Köhn Derrick Köhn D
19
J. Haberer M
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.70
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld D
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
1 Marvin Schwäbe Marvin Schwäbe G 5.90
32 Kristoffer Lund Kristoffer Lund 1 👟 80' D 6.90
39
D 6.70
22
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 7.20
28 Sebastian Sebulonsen Sebastian Sebulonsen D 6.60
6
E. Martel M 6.70
5 Tom Krauß Tom Krauß M 6.70
30 Marius Bülter Marius Bülter 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.30
16 Jakub Kamiński Jakub Kamiński 72' M 6.30
7 Luca Waldschmidt Luca Waldschmidt 1 👟 62' M 6.60
13 Said El Mala Said El Mala 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.90
Bench
17 Alessio Castro-Montes Alessio Castro-Montes M
8 Denis Huseinbašić Denis Huseinbašić M
29 Jan Uwe Thielmann Jan Uwe Thielmann 19' M 6.70
37 Linton Maina Linton Maina 18' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Tom Alexander Rothe
Tom Alexander Rothe
M · Union
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 46 pass
Said El Mala
Said El Mala
F · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Livan Burcu
Livan Burcu
F · Union
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite
D · Union
7.70
· 70 pass
G · Union
7.30
· 30 pass
Christopher Trimmel
Christopher Trimmel
D · Union
7.30
1 👟
· 20 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 30 19% — — —
Stanley Nsoki D 67 7.20 — — — 48 43% 3 — —
Diogo Leite D 90 7.70 — — — 70 58% 3 1 —
Danilho Doekhi D 90 6.70 — — — 60 49% 1 — —
Tom Alexander Rothe M 90 7.90 1 — 2 46 30% 2 — —
Aljoscha Kemlein M 90 6.30 — — 2 50 37% 1 — —
Rani Khedira M 88 6.30 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
András Schäfer M 58 7.20 — — — 25 21% — — —
Josip Juranović M 58 6.70 — — — 28 20% 1 — —
Ilyas Ansah F 58 5.90 — — — 3 — — — —
Oliver Burke F 90 6.90 — — 2 16 10% 1 — —
Alex Král M 12 6.60 — — — — — — — —
Andrej Ilić F 32 6.70 — — 1 6 2% 1 — —
Christopher Trimmel D 32 7.30 — 1 — 20 17% — — —
Livan Burcu F 32 7.70 1 — 1 19 16% 1 1 —
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marvin Schwäbe G 90 5.90 — — — 41 25% — 1 —
Kristoffer Lund D 80 6.90 — 1 — 27 20% — — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 52 42% 2 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 7.20 — — — 47 39% 1 1 —
Sebastian Sebulonsen D 90 6.60 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
E. Martel M 90 6.70 — — — 38 29% 1 1 —
Tom Krauß M 90 6.70 — — — 44 32% 4 — —
Marius Bülter M 71 7.30 1 — 1 18 11% — — —
Jakub Kamiński M 72 6.30 — — 2 12 10% 1 — —
Luca Waldschmidt M 62 6.60 — 1 — 18 15% — — —
Said El Mala F 72 7.90 1 — 2 5 4% — — —
Jan Uwe Thielmann M 19 6.70 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Linton Maina M 18 6.30 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
The final score was Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Union Berlin win, 20% to a draw, and 53% to an 1. FC Köln win.