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Union Berlin - Aris

Friendlies Clubs August 09, 2026 17:00
Union Berlin
vs
Aris
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.11%
Win
Union Berlin
33.2%
Draw
30.69%
Win
Aris
1.04
Expected xG
0.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.17%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 33%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 64%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Union Berlin a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Aris. Expected goals are 1.0 for Union Berlin and 0.5 for Aris (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.17% probability.

Season Stats

Union Berlin
2W 3D 3L
Aris
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
0.7
1.6
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
63%
O 2.5
0%
88%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Union Berlin
0W 1D 0L · at home
Aris
1W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.7
2.0
Conceded
0.7
0%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Union Berlin Aris →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.5% 11.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 21.4% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 11.2% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% — —
3 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Union Berlin Union Berlin
D Cagliari 2–2
L Dynamo Dresden 2–1
L FC Aarau 2–1
D FC Winterthur 1–1
L FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Aris Aris
L Atromitos 1–0
L Korona Kielce 1–0
W Legia Warszawa 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Union Berlin Union Berlin
Attack
36
Defence
58
Form
46
Aris Aris
Attack
16
Defence
83
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union Berlin vs Aris?
The model gives Union Berlin a 36% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 30% for an Aris win.
How many goals are expected in Union Berlin vs Aris?
Expected goals: Union Berlin 1.0, Aris 0.5 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Union Berlin vs Aris?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.17%.