The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Union Berlin 30%). The final result was Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund. In 2 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Borussia Dortmund.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
0
Shots on target
2
0.90
Actual xG
1.42
2
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
5
18
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
Ethan Nwaneri
7'
Waldemar Anton
14'
Serhou Guirassy
Janik Haberer
33'
Tom Rothe
35'
Kastriot Imeri
/ Emmanuel Latte Lath
45'
62'
Konstantinos Karetsas
/
Maximilian Beier
62'
Fábio Silva
/
Ethan Nwaneri
Tim Skarke
63'
Tim Skarke
/ Mekhi Gray
70'
70'
Mathis Albert
/
Konstantinos Karetsas
Janik Haberer
/ Christopher Trimmel
76'
András Schäfer
/ Aljoscha Kemlein
76'
Woo-Yeong Jeong
/ Linus Güther
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
30.95%
Union
28.54%
X ←
40.51%
Borussia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
0.90
-0.83
2.00
1.42
-0.58
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
F. Rønnow
G
F. Rønnow
G
15
T. Rothe
D
T. Rothe
D
2
F. Uduokhai
D
F. Uduokhai
D
4
Z. Van Den Bosch
D
Z. Van Den Bosch
D
19
J. Haberer
76'
D
J. Haberer
76'
D
13
A. Schäfer
76'
M
A. Schäfer
76'
M
20
M. Aebischer
M
M. Aebischer
M
30
K. Imeri
45'
M
K. Imeri
45'
M
11
Jeong Woo-Yeong
89'
F
Jeong Woo-Yeong
89'
F
8
R. Khedira
M
R. Khedira
M
21
T. Skarke
70'
F
T. Skarke
70'
F
Bench
6
A. Kemlein
14'
M
A. Kemlein
14'
M
28
C. Trimmel
14'
D
C. Trimmel
14'
D
17
D. Köhn
D
D. Köhn
D
29
E. Latte Lath
45'
F
E. Latte Lath
45'
F
49
Linus Guther
1'
F
Linus Guther
1'
F
14
L. Querfeld
D
L. Querfeld
D
32
M. Gray
20'
F
M. Gray
20'
F
27
M. LjubiÄiÄ
F
M. LjubiÄiÄ
F
31
M. Raab
G
M. Raab
G
1
G. Kobel
G
G. Kobel
G
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D
N. Schlotterbeck
D
3
W. Anton
D
W. Anton
D
22
Kouakou Joane Gadou
D
Kouakou Joane Gadou
D
24
D. Svensson
M
D. Svensson
M
8
F. Nmecha
M
F. Nmecha
M
7
J. Bellingham
M
J. Bellingham
M
26
J. Ryerson
M
J. Ryerson
M
14
M. Beier
62'
M
M. Beier
62'
M
18
E. Nwaneri
62'
M
E. Nwaneri
62'
M
9
S. Guirassy
F
S. Guirassy
F
Bench
33
A. Meyer
G
A. Meyer
G
17
C. Chukwuemeka
M
C. Chukwuemeka
M
21
Fábio Silva
28'
F
Fábio Silva
28'
F
25
J. Veerman
M
J. Veerman
M
36
Kauã Prates
D
Kauã Prates
D
19
K. Karetsas
8'
M
K. Karetsas
8'
M
41
M. Albert
20'
F
M. Albert
20'
F
20
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
5
R. Bensebaïni
D
R. Bensebaïni
D
Best on the pitch
Kouakou Joane Gadou
D · Borussia
7.27
1 shots
· 97 pass
J. Ryerson
M · Borussia
7.20
· 51 pass
A. Schäfer
M · Union
7.09
1 shots
· 34 pass
C. Trimmel
D · Union
7.00
· 9 pass
W. Anton
D · Borussia
6.99
1 shots
· 94 pass
F. Rønnow
G · Union
6.92
· 36 pass
Union Berlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Rønnow | G | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Rothe | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 5 | 1 | — |
| F. Uduokhai | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Van Den Bosch | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Haberer | D | 76 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Schäfer | M | 76 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 45 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Jeong Woo-Yeong | F | 89 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Skarke | F | 70 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Kemlein | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Trimmel | D | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 45 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Linus Guther | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Gray | F | 20 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 89 | 75% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Anton | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 94 | 87% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Kouakou Joane Gadou | D | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 92% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Svensson | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Nmecha | M | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Beier | M | 62 | 6.14 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Nwaneri | M | 62 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 28 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 8 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Albert | F | 20 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
The final score was Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Union Berlin win, 28% to a draw, and 40% to an Borussia Dortmund win.