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Union Berlin - FC Augsburg

Bundesliga May 16, 2026 15:30
Union Berlin
#12 · 36 pts
vs
FC Augsburg
#9 · 43 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 14.1°C 💨 13 km/h · Berlin
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.92%
Win
Union Berlin
20.47%
Draw
46.61%
Win
FC Augsburg
1.69
Expected xG
2.11

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Augsburg a 46% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 32% for Union Berlin. Expected goals are 1.7 for Union Berlin and 2.1 for FC Augsburg (total 3.8), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Augsburg.

Score Matrix
↕ Union Berlin FC Augsburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 4.8% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
1 3.8% 8.0% 8.4% 5.9% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.8% 3.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
Union Berlin Union Berlin
W FSV Mainz 05 1–3
D 1. FC Köln 2–2
L RB Leipzig 3–1
L VfL Wolfsburg 1–2
L 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 20%
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
W Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1
W Werder Bremen 1–3
D Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1
W Bayer Leverkusen 1–2
D 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Union Berlin Union Berlin
Attack
38
Defence
50
Form
38
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
Attack
50
Defence
52
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Union Berlin
1
Draw
0
FC Augsburg
D 15 Jan 2026 Bundesliga 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?
The model gives Union Berlin a 32% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 46% for an FC Augsburg win.
How many goals are expected in Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?
Expected goals: Union Berlin 1.7, FC Augsburg 2.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.