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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 15:30 An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin
#17 · 6 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC St. Pauli
A. Ilic (ast. D. Kohn) 52'
25' M. Pereira Lage
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Berlin a 40% win probability (draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 28%). The final result was Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC St. Pauli.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
0.33
1
Saves
8
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
2
10
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
25'
M. Pereira Lage⚽
⚽A. Ilic · ast. D. Kohn
52'
60'
A. Hountondji / M. Kaars ↕
↕ Jeong Woo-Yeong / A. Kral
73'
73'
C. Metcalfe / J. Fujita ↕
↕ D. Kohn / T. Rothe
80'
↕ O. Burke / I. Ansah
80'
85'
Jackson Irvine
89'
A. Ceesay / M. Rasmussen ↕
90'+3
Jackson Irvine
90'+3
Jackson Irvine
Pre-match prediction
40.12%
Union
31.35%
X ←
28.53%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.01
1.95
+0.94
FC
0.97
0.33
-0.64
Union Berlin dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-4-2-1
1 F. Rønnow F. Rønnow G 6.70
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite D 7.20
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld D 6.60
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 6.90
39 D. Köhn D. Köhn 1 👟 80' M 8.00
8 R. Khedira R. Khedira M 6.30
13 A. Schäfer A. Schäfer M 7.20
19 J. Haberer J. Haberer M 6.60
23 A. Ilić A. Ilić 1 ⚽ F 8.30
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong Jeong Woo-Yeong 73' F 6.50
7 O. Burke O. Burke 80' F 7.30
Bench
6 A. Kemlein A. Kemlein M
33 A. Král A. Král 17' M 6.50
28 C. Trimmel C. Trimmel D
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 10' F 6.50
18 J. Juranović J. Juranović D
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu F
15 T. Rothe T. Rothe 10' D 6.60
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
22
G 9.20
3 K. Mets K. Mets D 6.30
5
D 6.50
25
D 6.20
28
Mathias Pereira Lage 1 ⚽ M 8.30
7 J. Irvine J. Irvine M 6.90
20 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 89' M 6.60
11
M 6.90
16 J. Fujita J. Fujita 73' F 6.60
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani F 6.90
19 M. Kaars M. Kaars 60' F 6.30
Bench
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 8' F 6.50
27 A. Hountondji A. Hountondji 30' F 6.20
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 17' M 6.30
23 L. Oppie L. Oppie D
21 L. Ritzka L. Ritzka D
Best on the pitch
G · FC
9.20
· 31 pass
Mathias Pereira Lage
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
A. Ilić
A. Ilić
F · Union
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
D. Köhn
D. Köhn
M · Union
8.00
1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
O. Burke
O. Burke
F · Union
7.30
2 shots · 15 pass
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite
D · Union
7.20
· 70 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Rønnow G 90 6.70 — — — 40 33% — — —
Diogo Leite D 90 7.20 — — — 70 57% 1 — —
L. Querfeld D 90 6.60 — — 1 75 58% 2 — —
D. Doekhi D 90 6.90 — — 2 53 37% — — —
D. Köhn M 80 8.00 — 1 2 32 20% 2 — —
R. Khedira M 90 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
A. Schäfer M 90 7.20 — — 1 37 28% 1 — —
J. Haberer M 90 6.60 — — — 46 36% — — —
A. Ilić F 90 8.30 1 — 2 18 4% — — —
Jeong Woo-Yeong F 73 6.50 — — — 21 16% 2 — —
O. Burke F 80 7.30 — — 2 15 10% 1 — —
A. Král M 17 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
Ilyas Ansah F 10 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
T. Rothe D 10 6.60 — — 1 4 2% — — —
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.20 — — — 31 12% — — —
K. Mets D 90 6.30 — — 1 48 37% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 50 42% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
Mathias Pereira Lage M 90 8.30 1 — 1 23 12% 2 — —
J. Irvine M 90 6.90 — — — 42 27% 5 2 1
M. Rasmussen M 89 6.60 — — — 42 32% 1 — —
M 90 6.90 — — 1 36 19% 1 — —
J. Fujita F 73 6.60 — — — 24 18% 5 — —
D. Sinani F 90 6.90 — — 1 33 24% 1 — —
M. Kaars F 60 6.30 — — — 10 9% 3 — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 8 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
A. Hountondji F 30 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
C. Metcalfe M 17 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
The final score was Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Union Berlin win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an FC St. Pauli win.