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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 15:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin
#16 · 1 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC St. Pauli
A. Ilic (ast. D. Kohn) 52'
25' M. Pereira Lage
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Berlin a 40% win probability (draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 28%). The final result was Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC St. Pauli.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
0.33
1
Saves
8
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
2
10
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
25'
M. Pereira Lage⚽
⚽A. Ilic · ast. D. Kohn
52'
60'
A. Hountondji / M. Kaars ↕
↕ Jeong Woo-Yeong / A. Kral
73'
73'
C. Metcalfe / J. Fujita ↕
↕ D. Kohn / T. Rothe
80'
↕ O. Burke / I. Ansah
80'
85'
Jackson Irvine
89'
A. Ceesay / M. Rasmussen ↕
90'+3
Jackson Irvine
90'+3
Jackson Irvine
Pre-match prediction
40.12%
Union
31.35%
X ←
28.53%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.01
1.95
+0.94
FC
0.97
0.33
-0.64
Union Berlin dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 Bayern München Bayern München 3 7
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 6
6 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 3 6
7 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
8 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
9 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
10 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3 4
11 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 3 4
13 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
14 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
18 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3 0
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-4-2-1
1 F. Rønnow F. Rønnow G 6.70
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite D 7.20
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld D 6.60
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 6.90
39 D. Köhn D. Köhn 1 👟 80' M 8.00
8 R. Khedira R. Khedira M 6.30
13 A. Schäfer A. Schäfer M 7.20
19 J. Haberer J. Haberer M 6.60
23 A. Ilić A. Ilić 1 ⚽ F 8.30
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong Jeong Woo-Yeong 73' F 6.50
7 Oliver Burke Oliver Burke 80' F 7.30
Bench
6 A. Kemlein A. Kemlein M
33 A. Král A. Král 17' M 6.50
28 C. Trimmel C. Trimmel D
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 10' F 6.50
18 J. Juranović J. Juranović D
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu F
15 T. Rothe T. Rothe 10' D 6.60
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
22
G 9.20
3 K. Mets K. Mets D 6.30
5
D 6.50
25
D 6.20
28
Mathias Pereira Lage 1 ⚽ M 8.30
7 J. Irvine J. Irvine M 6.90
20 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 89' M 6.60
11
M 6.90
16 J. Fujita J. Fujita 73' F 6.60
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani F 6.90
19 M. Kaars M. Kaars 60' F 6.30
Bench
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 8' F 6.50
27 A. Hountondji A. Hountondji 30' F 6.20
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 17' M 6.30
23 L. Oppie L. Oppie D
21 L. Ritzka L. Ritzka D
Best on the pitch
G · FC
9.20
· 31 pass
Mathias Pereira Lage
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
A. Ilić
A. Ilić
F · Union
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
D. Köhn
D. Köhn
M · Union
8.00
1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
Oliver Burke
Oliver Burke
F · Union
7.30
2 shots · 15 pass
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite
D · Union
7.20
· 70 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Rønnow G 90 6.70 — — — 40 33% — — —
Diogo Leite D 90 7.20 — — — 70 57% 1 — —
L. Querfeld D 90 6.60 — — 1 75 58% 2 — —
D. Doekhi D 90 6.90 — — 2 53 37% — — —
D. Köhn M 80 8.00 — 1 2 32 20% 2 — —
R. Khedira M 90 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
A. Schäfer M 90 7.20 — — 1 37 28% 1 — —
J. Haberer M 90 6.60 — — — 46 36% — — —
A. Ilić F 90 8.30 1 — 2 18 4% — — —
Jeong Woo-Yeong F 73 6.50 — — — 21 16% 2 — —
Oliver Burke F 80 7.30 — — 2 15 10% 1 — —
A. Král M 17 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
Ilyas Ansah F 10 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
T. Rothe D 10 6.60 — — 1 4 2% — — —
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.20 — — — 31 12% — — —
K. Mets D 90 6.30 — — 1 48 37% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 50 42% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
Mathias Pereira Lage M 90 8.30 1 — 1 23 12% 2 — —
J. Irvine M 90 6.90 — — — 42 27% 5 2 1
M. Rasmussen M 89 6.60 — — — 42 32% 1 — —
M 90 6.90 — — 1 36 19% 1 — —
J. Fujita F 73 6.60 — — — 24 18% 5 — —
D. Sinani F 90 6.90 — — 1 33 24% 1 — —
M. Kaars F 60 6.30 — — — 10 9% 3 — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 8 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
A. Hountondji F 30 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
C. Metcalfe M 17 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
The final score was Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Union Berlin win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an FC St. Pauli win.