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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 15:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin
#11 · 39 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC St. Pauli
#18 · 26 pts
A. Ilic (ast. D. Kohn) 52'
25' M. Pereira Lage
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Berlin a 40% win probability (draw 31%, FC St. Pauli 28%). The final result was Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli. In 1 previous meetings, Union Berlin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC St. Pauli.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
0.33
1
Saves
8
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
2
10
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
25'
M. Pereira Lage⚽
⚽A. Ilic · ast. D. Kohn
52'
60'
A. Hountondji / M. Kaars ↕
↕ Jeong Woo-Yeong / A. Kral
73'
73'
C. Metcalfe / J. Fujita ↕
↕ D. Kohn / T. Rothe
80'
↕ O. Burke / I. Ansah
80'
85'
Jackson Irvine
89'
A. Ceesay / M. Rasmussen ↕
90'+3
Jackson Irvine
90'+3
Jackson Irvine
Pre-match prediction
40.12%
Union
31.35%
X ←
28.53%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.01
1.95
+0.94
FC
0.97
0.33
-0.64
Union Berlin dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 34 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 34 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 34 26
Lineups
Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-4-2-1
1
F. Ronnow G 6.70
4 Diogo Leite Diogo Leite D 7.20
14 L. Querfeld L. Querfeld D 6.60
5 Danilho Doekhi Danilho Doekhi D 6.90
39 D. Köhn D. Köhn 1 👟 80' M 8.00
8 R. Khedira R. Khedira M 6.30
13 A. Schäfer A. Schäfer M 7.20
19 J. Haberer J. Haberer M 6.60
23 A. Ilić A. Ilić 1 ⚽ F 8.30
11 Woo-Yeong Jeong Woo-Yeong Jeong 73' F 6.50
7 Oliver Burke Oliver Burke 80' F 7.30
Bench
33 Alex Král Alex Král 17' M 6.50
6 Aljoscha Kemlein Aljoscha Kemlein M
28 C. Trimmel C. Trimmel D
10 Ilyas Ansah Ilyas Ansah 10' F 6.50
18 Josip Juranović Josip Juranović D
9 Livan Burcu Livan Burcu F
15 Tom Alexander Rothe Tom Alexander Rothe 10' D 6.60
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
22
G 9.20
3 Karol Mets Karol Mets D 6.30
5
D 6.50
25
D 6.20
28
Mathias Pereira Lage 1 ⚽ M 8.30
7 J. Irvine J. Irvine M 6.90
20 Mathias Rasmussen Mathias Rasmussen 89' M 6.60
11
M 6.90
16 Joel Chima Fujita Joel Chima Fujita 73' F 6.60
10 D. Sinani D. Sinani F 6.90
19 Martijn Kaars Martijn Kaars 60' F 6.30
Bench
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 8' F 6.50
27 Andreas Hountondji Andreas Hountondji 30' F 6.20
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 17' M 6.30
21 Lars Ritzka Lars Ritzka D
23 Louis Oppie Louis Oppie D
Best on the pitch
G · FC
9.20
· 31 pass
Mathias Pereira Lage
M · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
A. Ilić
A. Ilić
F · Union
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
D. Köhn
D. Köhn
M · Union
8.00
1 👟
2 shots · 32 pass
Oliver Burke
Oliver Burke
F · Union
7.30
2 shots · 15 pass
Diogo Leite
Diogo Leite
D · Union
7.20
· 70 pass
Union Berlin Union Berlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Ronnow G 90 6.70 — — — 40 33% — — —
Diogo Leite D 90 7.20 — — — 70 57% 1 — —
L. Querfeld D 90 6.60 — — 1 75 58% 2 — —
Danilho Doekhi D 90 6.90 — — 2 53 37% — — —
D. Köhn M 80 8.00 — 1 2 32 20% 2 — —
R. Khedira M 90 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
A. Schäfer M 90 7.20 — — 1 37 28% 1 — —
J. Haberer M 90 6.60 — — — 46 36% — — —
A. Ilić F 90 8.30 1 — 2 18 4% — — —
Woo-Yeong Jeong F 73 6.50 — — — 21 16% 2 — —
Oliver Burke F 80 7.30 — — 2 15 10% 1 — —
Alex Král M 17 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
Ilyas Ansah F 10 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Tom Alexander Rothe D 10 6.60 — — 1 4 2% — — —
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.20 — — — 31 12% — — —
Karol Mets D 90 6.30 — — 1 48 37% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 50 42% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
Mathias Pereira Lage M 90 8.30 1 — 1 23 12% 2 — —
J. Irvine M 90 6.90 — — — 42 27% 5 2 1
Mathias Rasmussen M 89 6.60 — — — 42 32% 1 — —
M 90 6.90 — — 1 36 19% 1 — —
Joel Chima Fujita F 73 6.60 — — — 24 18% 5 — —
D. Sinani F 90 6.90 — — 1 33 24% 1 — —
Martijn Kaars F 60 6.30 — — — 10 9% 3 — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 8 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Andreas Hountondji F 30 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
C. Metcalfe M 17 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
The final score was Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli.
What did the model predict before Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Union Berlin win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an FC St. Pauli win.