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Model wrong — prediction Union Espanola, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Espanola a 64% win probability (draw 20%, Union San Felipe 14%). The final result was Union Espanola 2–2 Union San Felipe.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
64.88%
Union
20.62%
X ←
14.5%
Union
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
2.36
Union
0.77
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Cobreloa Cobreloa 17 33
2 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 16 29
3 San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 17 29
4 D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 17 29
5 San Luis San Luis 17 27
6 Antofagasta Antofagasta 17 26
7 Union Espanola Union Espanola 17 25
8 Magallanes Magallanes 17 25
9 Deportes Temuco Deportes Temuco 16 23
10 Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo 16 23
11 Recoleta Recoleta 17 22
12 Curico Unido Curico Unido 17 19
13 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 17 17
14 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 17 16
15 Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 16 12
16 Rangers de Talca Rangers de Talca 17 5
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
The final score was Union Espanola 2–2 Union San Felipe.
What did the model predict before Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Union Espanola win, 20% to a draw, and 14% to an Union San Felipe win.