Union La Calera - Deportes Limache
Primera División
September 15, 2026 01:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.82%
Win
Union La Calera
22.42%
Draw
50.77%
Win
Deportes Limache
1.16
1.89
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.19%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
22%
2
51%
Double Chance
✓ 88.5% hit rate (26 picks)
1X
49%
X2
73%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
✓ 86.7% hit rate (60 picks)
Over 2.5
58%
✓ 72.2% hit rate (36 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportes Limache a 50% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Union La Calera. Expected goals are 1.2 for Union La Calera and 1.9 for Deportes Limache (total 3.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.19% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Union La Calera have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Limache.
Season Stats
2W
4D
9L
6W
1D
8L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.8
1.7
Conceded
1.7
3.5
Shots OT
5.4
5.6
Corners
4.4
50%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
93%
67%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
2W
3D
5L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
1.3
gls/g
1.9
1.4
Conceded
2.0
20%
Win %
30%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Union La Calera
Deportes Limache →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Union La Calera
Attack
30
Defence
54
Form
28
Deportes Limache
Attack
54
Defence
53
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
4 Apr 2026
0–4
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Colo Colo
|
23 | 54 |
| 2 |
U. Catolica
|
23 | 42 |
| 3 |
Universidad de Chile
|
23 | 42 |
| 4 |
Everton de Vina
|
23 | 36 |
| 5 |
Palestino
|
23 | 36 |
| 6 |
Deportes Limache
|
22 | 33 |
| 7 |
Nublense
|
23 | 32 |
| 8 |
Concepción
|
23 | 31 |
| 9 |
D. La Serena
|
23 | 30 |
| 10 |
Coquimbo Unido
|
22 | 29 |
| 11 |
A. Italiano
|
23 | 28 |
| 12 |
O'Higgins
|
23 | 27 |
| 13 |
Huachipato
|
21 | 25 |
| 14 |
Cobresal
|
23 | 24 |
| 15 |
Universidad de Concepcion
|
22 | 22 |
| 16 |
Union La Calera
|
22 | 14 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
The model gives Union La Calera a 26% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 50% for an Deportes Limache win.
How many goals are expected in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
Expected goals: Union La Calera 1.2, Deportes Limache 1.9 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.19%.