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Union La Calera - Deportes Limache

Primera División September 15, 2026 01:30
#16 · 14 pts
vs
#6 · 33 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.82%
Win
Union La Calera
22.42%
Draw
50.77%
Win
Deportes Limache
1.16
Expected xG
1.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.19%)
1X2 Result
1 27%
X 22%
2 51%
Double Chance ✓ 88.5% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 49%
X2 73%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
✓ 86.7% hit rate (60 picks)
Over 2.5 58%
✓ 72.2% hit rate (36 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportes Limache a 50% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Union La Calera. Expected goals are 1.2 for Union La Calera and 1.9 for Deportes Limache (total 3.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.19% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Union La Calera have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Limache.

Season Stats

Union La Calera
2W 4D 9L
Deportes Limache
6W 1D 8L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.8
1.7
Conceded
1.7
3.5
Shots OT
5.4
5.6
Corners
4.4
50%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
93%
67%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Union La Calera
2W 3D 5L · at home
Deportes Limache
3W 2D 5L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.9
1.4
Conceded
2.0
20%
Win %
30%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Union La Calera Deportes Limache →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 9.0% 8.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L O'Higgins 2–1
L D. La Serena 0–1
D A. Italiano 0–0
L Nublense 2–1
L Colo Colo 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
W Cobresal 3–0
W Nublense 2–0
L Everton de Vina 0–3
W Huachipato 1–3
L Universidad de Chile 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Union La Calera Union La Calera
Attack
30
Defence
54
Form
28
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
Attack
54
Defence
53
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Union La Calera
0
Draw
1
Deportes Limache
4 Apr 2026 Primera División 0–4

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 23 54
2 U. Catolica U. Catolica 23 42
3 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 23 42
4 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 23 36
5 Palestino Palestino 23 36
6 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 22 33
7 Nublense Nublense 23 32
8 Concepción Concepción 23 31
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 23 30
10 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 22 29
11 A. Italiano A. Italiano 23 28
12 O'Higgins O'Higgins 23 27
13 Huachipato Huachipato 21 25
14 Cobresal Cobresal 23 24
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 22 22
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 22 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
The model gives Union La Calera a 26% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 50% for an Deportes Limache win.
How many goals are expected in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
Expected goals: Union La Calera 1.2, Deportes Limache 1.9 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.19%.