Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — October 10, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 12 October 10, 2026 02:45 Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz

Union Santa Fe

#8 · 21 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Defensa Y Justicia

#4 · 27 pts

43' (ast. David Barbona) Juan Manuel Gutiérrez

45' (ast. Juan Manuel Gutiérrez) César Pérez

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Defensa Y Justicia a 46% win probability (draw 19%, Union Santa Fe 33%). The final result was Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia. In 1 previous meetings, Union Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Defensa Y Justicia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.38

Actual xG

2.09

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

Joaquin Mosqueira

43'

ast. David Barbona · Juan Manuel Gutiérrez⚽

45'+4

Jeremías Lucco

45'

ast. Juan Manuel Gutiérrez · César Pérez⚽

↕ Joaquin Mosqueira / Brahian Cuello

45'

60'

Maximiliano Porcel / César Pérez ↕

66'

Leandro Fernández

Lucas Ayala

67'

↕ Mauro Luna Diale / Julián Palacios

68'

↕ Erik Ramirez / Marcelo Estigarriba

68'

Julián Palacios

71'

73'

Agustin Hausch / Jeremías Lucco ↕

74'

Tiziano Perrotta / Leandro Fernández ↕

75'

76'

Santiago Sosa

Marcelo Estigarriba

78'

79'

Ezequiel Burdín / David Barbona ↕

79'

Julian Lopez / Juan Manuel Gutiérrez ↕

↕ Lucas Ayala / Misael Aguirre

81'

Cristian Tarragona

85'

↕ Tobias Javier Rubio / Bruno Pittón

88'

Pre-match prediction

33.74%

Union

19.45%

46.81%

Defensa ←

we assigned to the actual result (Defensa Y Justicia) 46.81% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Union

2.08

2.38

+0.3

Defensa

2.78

2.09

-0.69

xG dominance was balanced (2.38 – 2.09). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	26
5	Independiente	16	24
6	Lanus	16	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	19
12	Platense	16	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	11

Lineups

Union Santa Fe 4-4-2

M. Mansilla G 7.32

L. Ayala 81' D 6.61

J. Ludueña D 6.82

M. Rocha D 6.34

T. Rubio 88' D 5.82

V. Malcorra M 7.20

J. Mosqueira 45' M 5.62

E. Giaccone M 6.66

M. Luna Diale 68' M 5.35

E. Ramírez 68' F 6.37

C. Tarragona F 6.11

Bench

A. Solari M 0.00

B. Cuello 45' M 6.44

B. Pittón 2' D 6.22

I. Isla D 0.00

J. Palacios 22' M 6.05

J. Pintado D 0.00

L. Meuli G 0.00

M. Aguirre 9' F 6.28

M. Aimar D 0.00

M. Estigarribia 22' F 6.18

V. J. Cerrudo F 0.00

Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1

M. Borgogno G 9.04

D. Domínguez D 6.93

D. Martínez D 6.19

D. Fernández D 7.00

V. Loza D 6.05

C. Pérez 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.49

S. Sosa 76' M 6.71

J. Gutiérrez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' M 8.79

D. Barbona 1 👟 79' M 7.70

J. Lucco 73' M 6.24

L. Fernández 74' F 6.34

Bench

A. Hausch 17' F 6.52

A. Portillo M 0.00

D. Blanco M 0.00

E. Burdin 11' D 6.59

J. López 11' M 6.48

L. Amadé G 0.00

Maximo Rodriguez M 0.00

M. Porcel 30' M 6.96

N. Palavecino M 0.00

Tiziano Perrota 16' F 6.61

T. Pérez F 0.00

Best on the pitch

M. Borgogno

G · Defensa

9.04

· 25 pass

J. Gutiérrez

M · Defensa

8.79

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 14 pass

D. Barbona

M · Defensa

7.70

1 👟

2 shots · 38 pass

C. Pérez

M · Defensa

7.49

1 ⚽

3 shots · 47 pass

M. Mansilla

G · Union

7.32

· 26 pass

V. Malcorra

M · Union

7.20

5 shots · 57 pass

Union Santa Fe — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Mansilla	G	90	7.32	—	—	0	26	16%	0	—	—
L. Ayala	D	81	6.61	—	—	0	19	14%	2	1	—
J. Ludueña	D	90	6.82	—	—	0	31	27%	1	—	—
M. Rocha	D	90	6.34	—	—	1	45	35%	0	—	—
T. Rubio	D	88	5.82	—	—	1	34	25%	4	—	—
V. Malcorra	M	90	7.20	—	—	5	57	44%	0	—	—
J. Mosqueira	M	45	5.62	—	—	1	11	9%	1	1	—
E. Giaccone	M	90	6.66	—	—	0	38	31%	3	—	—
M. Luna Diale	M	68	5.35	—	—	0	21	13%	1	—	—
E. Ramírez	F	68	6.37	—	—	4	14	11%	2	—	—
C. Tarragona	F	90	6.11	—	—	5	42	26%	1	1	—
B. Cuello	M	45	6.44	—	—	3	26	21%	3	—	—
B. Pittón	D	2	6.22	—	—	1	10	9%	2	—	—
J. Palacios	M	22	6.05	—	—	2	19	17%	0	1	—
M. Aguirre	F	9	6.28	—	—	2	6	5%	0	—	—
M. Estigarribia	F	22	6.18	—	—	1	9	5%	0	1	—

Defensa Y Justicia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Borgogno	G	90	9.04	—	—	0	25	15%	0	—	—
D. Domínguez	D	90	6.93	—	—	2	45	35%	4	—	—
D. Martínez	D	90	6.19	—	—	0	47	34%	0	—	—
D. Fernández	D	90	7.00	—	—	0	44	36%	1	—	—
V. Loza	D	90	6.05	—	—	2	19	17%	2	—	—
C. Pérez	M	60	7.49	1	—	3	47	39%	2	—	—
S. Sosa	M	76	6.71	—	—	1	62	56%	4	—	1
J. Gutiérrez	M	79	8.79	1	1	3	14	12%	1	—	—
D. Barbona	M	79	7.70	—	1	2	38	36%	1	—	—
J. Lucco	M	73	6.24	—	—	2	37	28%	1	1	—
L. Fernández	F	74	6.34	—	—	4	24	12%	1	1	—
A. Hausch	F	17	6.52	—	—	0	4	3%	1	—	—
E. Burdin	D	11	6.59	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
J. López	M	11	6.48	—	—	0	7	6%	0	—	—
M. Porcel	M	30	6.96	—	—	0	11	9%	0	—	—
Tiziano Perrota	F	16	6.61	—	—	2	3	2%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?

The final score was Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia.

What did the model predict before Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Union Santa Fe win, 19% to a draw, and 46% to an Defensa Y Justicia win.