Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 14
October 26, 2026 23:00
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
Cristian Tarragona
(ast. Juan Pintado)
51'
Marcelo Estigarriba
64'
Erik Ramirez
(ast. Cristian Tarragona)
90'+6
(og)
40'
Lucas Ayala
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Santa Fe a 40% win probability (draw 20%, Estudiantes L.P. 38%). The final result was Union Santa Fe 3–1 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Union Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
4
2.01
Actual xG
0.55
4
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
5
14
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
40'
(og)
Lucas Ayala⚽
44'
Lucas Piovi
Mateo Peresutti
/ Mauro Luna Diale
45'
Tobias Javier Rubio
/ Juan Pintado
45'
⚽Cristian Tarragona
· ast. Juan Pintado
51'
Matías Emiliano Rocha Calderón
/ Ignacio Isla
56'
⚽Marcelo Estigarriba
64'
66'
Benjamin Sagues Barreiro
/
Adolfo Gaich
66'
Brian Aguirre
/
Edwuin Cetre
Marcelo Estigarriba
/ Erik Ramirez
74'
75'
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
77'
Fabricio Pérez
/
Eros Nazareno Mancuso
Julián Palacios
/ Victor Malcorra
85'
88'
Alexis Castro
/
Eric Meza
89'
Lucas Alario
/
Lucas Piovi
⚽Erik Ramirez
· ast. Cristian Tarragona
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
40.94%
Union ←
20.7%
X
38.36%
Estudiantes
we assigned to the actual result (Union Santa Fe)
40.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
2.01
-0.05
2.01
0.55
-1.46
Union Santa Fe dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
M. Mansilla
G
M. Mansilla
G
18
L. Ayala
1 ⚽
D
L. Ayala
1 ⚽
D
26
J. Ludueña
D
J. Ludueña
D
4
M. Rocha
56'
D
M. Rocha
56'
D
27
T. Rubio
45'
D
T. Rubio
45'
D
22
B. Cuello
M
B. Cuello
M
17
J. Mosqueira
M
J. Mosqueira
M
34
24'
M
20
J. Palacios
85'
M
J. Palacios
85'
M
19
M. Estigarribia
1 ⚽
74'
F
M. Estigarribia
1 ⚽
74'
F
25
C. Tarragona
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
C. Tarragona
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
23
A. Solari
M
A. Solari
M
12
B. Pittón
D
B. Pittón
D
8
E. Giaccone
M
E. Giaccone
M
43
E. Ramírez
1 ⚽
16'
F
E. Ramírez
1 ⚽
16'
F
33
I. Isla
34'
D
I. Isla
34'
D
15
J. Pintado
1 👟
45'
D
J. Pintado
1 👟
45'
D
40
L. Meuli
G
L. Meuli
G
31
M. Aguirre
F
M. Aguirre
F
11
M. Luna Diale
45'
M
M. Luna Diale
45'
M
44
T. Fagioli
D
T. Fagioli
D
38
V. J. Cerrudo
F
V. J. Cerrudo
F
10
V. Malcorra
5'
M
V. Malcorra
5'
M
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
20
E. Meza
88'
D
E. Meza
88'
D
31
B. Gallego
M
B. Gallego
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
89'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
89'
M
10
T. Palacios
M
T. Palacios
M
18
E. Cetré
66'
F
E. Cetré
66'
F
19
A. Gaich
66'
F
A. Gaich
66'
F
40
E. Mancuso
77'
F
E. Mancuso
77'
F
Bench
22
A. Castro
2'
M
A. Castro
2'
M
28
B. Aguirre
24'
F
B. Aguirre
24'
F
52
B. Kociubinski
M
B. Kociubinski
M
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
29
F. Pérez Escudero
13'
F
F. Pérez Escudero
13'
F
17
J. Burgos
F
J. Burgos
F
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
27
L. Alario
1'
F
L. Alario
1'
F
34
M. Monsalve
M
M. Monsalve
M
5
M. Rojo
D
M. Rojo
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
Best on the pitch
C. Tarragona
F · Union
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 27 pass
M. Estigarribia
F · Union
8.12
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
E. Ramírez
F · Union
7.43
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
M. Mansilla
G · Union
7.08
· 19 pass
J. Ludueña
D · Union
6.96
· 30 pass
B. Gallego
M · Estudiantes
6.93
4 shots
· 63 pass
Union Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mansilla | G | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ayala | D | 90 | 5.78 | 1 | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ludueña | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Rocha | D | 56 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Rubio | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Cuello | M | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mosqueira | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 24 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — | |
| J. Palacios | M | 85 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Estigarribia | F | 74 | 8.12 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Tarragona | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ramírez | F | 16 | 7.43 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Isla | D | 34 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pintado | D | 45 | 6.82 | — | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Luna Diale | M | 45 | 6.63 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Malcorra | M | 5 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Meza | D | 88 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Gallego | M | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 4 | 63 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 89 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 66 | 6.53 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gaich | F | 66 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mancuso | F | 77 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 2 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 24 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | F | 13 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Alario | F | 1 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was Union Santa Fe 3–1 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Union Santa Fe win, 20% to a draw, and 38% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.