Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 10
September 19, 2026 21:45
M. Estigarribia
(ast. J. Mosqueira)
49'
52'
(ast. L. Godoy)
S. Montiel
57'
(ast. M. Abaldo)
M. Meza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union Santa Fe a 50% win probability (draw 23%, Independiente 26%). The final result was Union Santa Fe 1–2 Independiente. In 2 previous meetings, Union Santa Fe have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Independiente.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.33
Actual xG
0.34
2
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Menossi
15'
21'
I. Morales
/
C. Avila
37'
L. Godoy
45'+2
M. Abaldo
/
J. Palais
45'+5
46'
R. Martino
/
F. Zabala
⚽M. Estigarribia
· ast. J. Mosqueira
49'
52'
ast. L. Godoy ·
S. Montiel⚽
57'
ast. M. Abaldo ·
M. Meza⚽
B. Cuello
/ M. Luna Diale
59'
J. Mosqueira
/ I. Malcorra
59'
C. Tarragona
65'
M. Estigarribia
/ E. Ramirez
68'
70'
I. Marcone
71'
J. Arrayago
75'
M. Abaldo
79'
D. Martinez
/
M. Perez Curci
J. Palacios
/ M. Aguirre
80'
80'
L. Millan
/
S. Montiel
L. Ayala
/ B. Pitton
80'
Pre-match prediction
50.08%
Union
23.52%
X
26.4%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente)
26.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
1.33
-0.47
1.18
0.34
-0.84
Union Santa Fe dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
M. Mansilla
G
M. Mansilla
G
18
L. Ayala
80'
D
L. Ayala
80'
D
26
J. Ludueña
D
J. Ludueña
D
4
M. Rocha
D
M. Rocha
D
15
J. Pintado
D
J. Pintado
D
22
B. Cuello
59'
M
B. Cuello
59'
M
5
L. Menossi
M
L. Menossi
M
17
J. Mosqueira
1 👟
59'
M
J. Mosqueira
1 👟
59'
M
20
J. Palacios
80'
M
J. Palacios
80'
M
25
C. Tarragona
F
C. Tarragona
F
19
M. Estigarribia
1 ⚽
68'
F
M. Estigarribia
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
12
B. Pittón
16'
D
B. Pittón
16'
D
8
E. Giaccone
M
E. Giaccone
M
43
E. Ramírez
28'
F
E. Ramírez
28'
F
40
L. Meuli
G
L. Meuli
G
31
M. Aguirre
16'
F
M. Aguirre
16'
F
36
M. Aimar
D
M. Aimar
D
34
Mateo Peresutti
M
Mateo Peresutti
M
11
M. Luna Diale
37'
M
M. Luna Diale
37'
M
44
T. Fagioli
D
T. Fagioli
D
27
T. Rubio
D
T. Rubio
D
38
V. J. Cerrudo
F
V. J. Cerrudo
F
10
V. Malcorra
37'
M
V. Malcorra
37'
M
33
R. Rey
G
R. Rey
G
22
F. Zabala
45'
D
F. Zabala
45'
D
35
J. Arrayago
D
J. Arrayago
D
13
J. Fedorco
D
J. Fedorco
D
29
L. Godoy
1 👟
D
L. Godoy
1 👟
D
8
M. Meza
1 ⚽
M
M. Meza
1 ⚽
M
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
16
M. Perez
79'
M
M. Perez
79'
M
24
J. Palais
47'
F
J. Palais
47'
F
6
E. Ávila
21'
F
E. Ávila
21'
F
7
S. Montiel
1 ⚽
80'
F
S. Montiel
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
32
D. Martínez
17'
M
D. Martínez
17'
M
2
F. Calderón
D
F. Calderón
D
34
F. Tempone
F
F. Tempone
F
9
I. Morales
75'
F
I. Morales
75'
F
14
Lautaro Millán
16'
M
Lautaro Millán
16'
M
10
L. Cabral
M
L. Cabral
M
19
M. Abaldo
1 👟
49'
F
M. Abaldo
1 👟
49'
F
39
R. Martino
51'
D
R. Martino
51'
D
4
S. Arias
D
S. Arias
D
77
S. Mele
G
S. Mele
G
36
S. Valdez
D
S. Valdez
D
30
Tomás Parmo
M
Tomás Parmo
M
Best on the pitch
S. Montiel
F · Independiente
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
M. Meza
M · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
R. Rey
G · Independiente
7.50
· 31 pass
L. Menossi
M · Union
7.30
2 shots
· 49 pass
M. Estigarribia
F · Union
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
B. Cuello
M · Union
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
Union Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mansilla | G | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Ayala | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ludueña | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rocha | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Pintado | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Cuello | M | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Menossi | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Mosqueira | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Palacios | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Tarragona | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 22 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Estigarribia | F | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Pittón | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Ramírez | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Luna Diale | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| V. Malcorra | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rey | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Zabala | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Arrayago | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Fedorco | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Godoy | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Meza | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Perez | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Palais | F | 47 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Ávila | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Montiel | F | 80 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Morales | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Millán | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Martino | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
The final score was Union Santa Fe 1–2 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Union Santa Fe win, 23% to a draw, and 26% to an Independiente win.