Union St. Gilloise 5–1 Anderlecht — pre-match prediction — Pro League — May 24, 2026

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Pro League · Championship Group - 40 May 24, 2026 18:30 Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels

Union St. Gilloise

#3 · 23 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Anderlecht

#5 · 16 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Union St. Gilloise

M. Biondic (ast. B. Zeneli) 18'

K. Rodriguez (ast. B. Zeneli) 21'

A. Ait El Hadj (ast. K. Rodriguez) 32'

A. Khalaili (ast. A. Zorgane) 42'

R. Sykes (ast. B. Zeneli) 59'

75' (ast. Y. Verschaeren) I. Kanate

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Anderlecht 16%). The final result was Union St. Gilloise 5–1 Anderlecht. In 5 previous meetings, Union St. Gilloise have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Anderlecht.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.40

Actual xG

0.87

Saves

67%

Possession

33%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

16'

M. Kana

⚽M. Biondic · ast. B. Zeneli

18'

⚽K. Rodriguez · ast. B. Zeneli

21'

⚽A. Ait El Hadj · ast. K. Rodriguez

32'

⚽A. Khalaili · ast. A. Zorgane

42'

46'

M. Rits / N. Saliba ↕

47'

T. Hazard

55'

Y. Verschaeren / D. Sikan ↕

55'

A. de Ridder / N. De Cat ↕

⚽R. Sykes · ast. B. Zeneli

59'

61'

A. de Ridder

↕ K. Mac Allister / F. Leysen

64'

↕ A. Zorgane / I. Pavlic

64'

↕ K. Rodriguez / M. Fuseini

64'

65'

I. Kanate / A. Bertaccini ↕

↕ A. Khalaili / G. Francois

72'

75'

ast. Y. Verschaeren · I. Kanate⚽

↕ Guilherme Smith / O. Niang

77'

F. Leysen

78'

89'

A. Mujangi Bia / M. Kana ↕

C. Burgess

89'

Pre-match prediction

57.84%

Union ←

25.22%

16.94%

Anderlecht

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Union St. Gilloise) 57.84% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Union

2.10

2.40

+0.3

Anderlecht

1.14

0.87

-0.27

Union St. Gilloise dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gent	9	25
2	Club Brugge KV	9	24
3	Union St. Gilloise	9	23
4	Charleroi	9	21
5	Anderlecht	9	16
6	Genk	9	15
7	KVC Westerlo	9	14
8	Lommel United	9	12
9	Standard Liege	9	11
10	Zulte Waregem	9	11
11	Antwerp	9	10
12	SK Beveren	9	10
13	St. Truiden	9	8
14	RAAL La Louvière	9	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	6
16	OH Leuven	9	6
17	Kortrijk	8	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	3

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise 3-5-2

K. Scherpen G 7.00

Ross Sykes 1 ⚽ D 8.30

Christian Burgess D 8.30

K. Mac Allister 64' D 7.30

Guilherme Smith 77' M 7.30

Adem Zorgane 1 👟 64' M 7.20

Anouar Ait El Hadj 1 ⚽ M 8.20

B. Zeneli 3 👟 M 8.90

A. Khalaili 1 ⚽ 72' M 8.30

M. Biondic 1 ⚽ F 7.20

Kevin Rodriguez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 64' F 8.30

Bench

F. Leysen 26' D 6.50

Guillaume François 18' D 6.20

Ivan Pavlić 26' M 6.70

L. Patris D

Massire Sylla D

M. Fuseini 26' F 6.30

Ousseynou Niang 13' M 6.60

R. Florucz F

Vic Chambaere G

Anderlecht 4-2-3-1

Justin Heekeren G 5.50

M. Angely D 5.90

M. Kana 89' D 5.50

Lucas Hey D 6.30

Killian Sardella D 5.30

Nathan De Cat 55' M 6.20

N. Saliba 45' M 6.50

Tristan Degreef M 6.20

T. Hazard 47' M 5.50

Adriano Bertaccini 65' M 6.20

Danylo Sikan 55' F 6.00

Bench

Adjani Mujangi Bia 1' M

Alexander De Ridder 35' M 6.20

Anas Tajaouart M

Coba F

I. Kanate 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.90

Joachim Imbrechts G

Mats Rits 45' M 6.60

M. Ilić D

Y. Verschaeren 1 👟 35' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

B. Zeneli

M · Union

8.90

3 👟

· 50 pass

Ross Sykes

D · Union

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 71 pass

Christian Burgess

D · Union

8.30

· 65 pass

A. Khalaili

M · Union

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 50 pass

Kevin Rodriguez

F · Union

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 15 pass

Anouar Ait El Hadj

M · Union

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 52 pass

Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Scherpen	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	29	27%	—	—	—
Ross Sykes	D	90	8.30	1	—	2	71	68%	4	—	—
Christian Burgess	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	65	59%	5	1	—
K. Mac Allister	D	64	7.30	—	—	1	34	33%	4	—	—
Guilherme Smith	M	77	7.30	—	—	—	36	32%	—	—	—
Adem Zorgane	M	64	7.20	—	1	1	54	49%	—	—	—
Anouar Ait El Hadj	M	90	8.20	1	—	3	52	51%	—	—	—
B. Zeneli	M	90	8.90	—	3	—	50	44%	—	—	—
A. Khalaili	M	72	8.30	1	—	2	50	41%	1	—	—
M. Biondic	F	90	7.20	1	—	3	18	13%	—	—	—
Kevin Rodriguez	F	64	8.30	1	1	5	15	9%	—	—	—
F. Leysen	D	26	6.50	—	—	—	25	23%	1	1	—
Guillaume François	D	18	6.20	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Ivan Pavlić	M	26	6.70	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Fuseini	F	26	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Ousseynou Niang	M	13	6.60	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—

Anderlecht — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Justin Heekeren	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	19	9%	—	—	—
M. Angely	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	30	23%	2	—	—
M. Kana	D	89	5.50	—	—	—	36	32%	1	1	—
Lucas Hey	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	17%	4	—	—
Killian Sardella	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	19	13%	1	—	—
Nathan De Cat	M	55	6.20	—	—	1	15	13%	1	—	—
N. Saliba	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	16	14%	1	—	—
Tristan Degreef	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	25	18%	1	—	—
T. Hazard	M	47	5.50	—	—	2	24	21%	—	—	1
Adriano Bertaccini	M	65	6.20	—	—	1	7	6%	—	—	—
Danylo Sikan	F	55	6.00	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Adjani Mujangi Bia	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Alexander De Ridder	M	35	6.20	—	—	—	13	8%	—	1	—
I. Kanate	M	25	7.90	1	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
Mats Rits	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	12	8%	1	—	—
Y. Verschaeren	M	35	6.90	—	1	—	15	13%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

The final score was Union St. Gilloise 5–1 Anderlecht.

What did the model predict before Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

The model assigned 57% probability to a Union St. Gilloise win, 25% to a draw, and 16% to an Anderlecht win.