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#3 · 23 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#5 · 16 pts
B. Zeneli (ast. Guilherme Smith) 38'
M. Biondic (ast. B. Zeneli) 45'
R. Florucz (ast. R. Schoofs) 81'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Anderlecht 30%). The final result was Union St. Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht. In 5 previous meetings, Union St. Gilloise have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Anderlecht.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
2
1.60
Actual xG
1.34
2
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
3
30
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Sylla
29'
⚽B. Zeneli · ast. Guilherme Smith
38'
45'+4
G. Biancone
⚽M. Biondic · ast. B. Zeneli
45'
56'
O. Antman / J. Nga Kana ↕
62'
M. Kana
↕ L. Patris / D. De Roeve
70'
↕ K. Rodriguez / R. Florucz
70'
70'
M. N'Diaye / L. Augustinsson ↕
70'
M. Winkler / M. Kana ↕
K. Mac Allister
78'
79'
N. Ojea / L. Ambros ↕
79'
T. Bentayeb / D. Sikan ↕
↕ A. Zorgane / R. Schoofs
80'
⚽R. Florucz · ast. R. Schoofs
81'
↕ M. Biondic / R. Mofokeng
87'
↕ B. Zeneli / N. Havenaar
87'
Pre-match prediction
37.25%
Union ←
32.25%
X
30.5%
Anderlecht
we assigned to the actual result (Union St. Gilloise) 37.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
1.18
1.60
+0.42
Anderlecht
0.58
1.34
+0.76
xG dominance was balanced (1.60 – 1.34). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
12 Hervé Koffi Hervé Koffi G 7.20
80 O. Kričfaluši O. Kričfaluši D 7.30
29 Massire Sylla Massire Sylla D 7.60
5 K. Mac Allister K. Mac Allister D 7.20
11 Guilherme Smith Guilherme Smith 1 👟 M 8.20
6 Kamiel Van de Perre Kamiel Van de Perre M 7.70
8 Adem Zorgane Adem Zorgane 80' M 7.50
27 L. Patris L. Patris 70' M 7.00
23 B. Zeneli B. Zeneli 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' F 8.60
13 Kevin Rodriguez Kevin Rodriguez 70' F 6.70
9 M. Biondic M. Biondic 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.30
Bench
10 Anouar Ait El Hadj Anouar Ait El Hadj M
28 Darius Olaru Darius Olaru M
21 Denzel De Roeve Denzel De Roeve 20' D 6.60
14 Ivan Pavlić Ivan Pavlić M
55 Nikki Havenaar Nikki Havenaar 3' D
30 R. Florucz R. Florucz 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.90
38 R. Mofokeng R. Mofokeng 8' F 6.30
17 R. Schoofs R. Schoofs 1 👟 10' M 6.90
1 Vic Chambaere Vic Chambaere G
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-4-2
26 Colin Coosemans Colin Coosemans G 6.20
6 Ludwig Augustinsson Ludwig Augustinsson 70' D 6.20
27 Léo Pétrot Léo Pétrot D 6.50
4 G. Biancone G. Biancone D 7.20
79 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar D 5.50
61 Joshua Nga Kana Joshua Nga Kana 56' M 6.20
55 M. Kana M. Kana 70' M 6.50
24 Enric Llansana Enric Llansana M 6.20
18 Lukáš Ambros Lukáš Ambros 79' M 6.60
14 Danylo Sikan Danylo Sikan 79' F 6.20
9 Mihajlo Cvetković Mihajlo Cvetković F 6.20
Bench
62 B. Vroninks B. Vroninks D
32 Justin Heekeren Justin Heekeren G
50 Kaïs Barry Kaïs Barry D
10 Marten Winkler Marten Winkler 20' F 6.60
5 M. N'Diaye M. N'Diaye 20' D 6.20
53 N. Cobiella N. Cobiella 11' M 6.20
68 N. Kalonji Kafumpata N. Kalonji Kafumpata M
11 Oliver Antman Oliver Antman 34' F 6.30
21 T. Bentayeb T. Bentayeb 11' F 6.70
2 Zoumana Keita Zoumana Keita D
Best on the pitch
B. Zeneli
B. Zeneli
F · Union
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 26 pass
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith
M · Union
8.20
1 👟
3 shots · 25 pass
R. Florucz
R. Florucz
F · Union
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 1 pass
Kamiel Van de Perre
Kamiel Van de Perre
M · Union
7.70
· 45 pass
Massire Sylla
Massire Sylla
D · Union
7.60
1 shots · 55 pass
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane
M · Union
7.50
· 42 pass
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hervé Koffi G 90 7.20 — — — 28 21% — — —
O. Kričfaluši D 90 7.30 — — — 55 44% 2 — —
Massire Sylla D 90 7.60 — — 1 55 49% 4 1 —
K. Mac Allister D 90 7.20 — — 1 33 25% 3 1 —
Guilherme Smith M 90 8.20 — 1 3 25 17% 3 — —
Kamiel Van de Perre M 90 7.70 — — — 45 35% 7 — —
Adem Zorgane M 80 7.50 — — — 42 33% 4 — —
L. Patris M 70 7.00 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
B. Zeneli F 87 8.60 1 1 4 26 22% 2 — —
Kevin Rodriguez F 70 6.70 — — 1 14 8% — — —
M. Biondic F 86 7.30 1 — 2 19 16% — — —
Denzel De Roeve D 20 6.60 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Nikki Havenaar D 3 — — — — 4 4% — — —
R. Florucz F 20 7.90 1 — 2 1 — 1 — —
R. Mofokeng F 8 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
R. Schoofs M 10 6.90 — 1 — 8 6% — — —
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Colin Coosemans G 90 6.20 — — — 43 28% — — —
Ludwig Augustinsson D 70 6.20 — — — 37 27% — — —
Léo Pétrot D 90 6.50 — — 1 47 44% 3 — —
G. Biancone D 90 7.20 — — — 71 58% 3 1 —
Ali Maamar D 90 5.50 — — 1 38 24% 2 — —
Joshua Nga Kana M 56 6.20 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
M. Kana M 70 6.50 — — — 32 27% 1 1 —
Enric Llansana M 90 6.20 — — 1 49 35% 3 — —
Lukáš Ambros M 79 6.60 — — — 39 28% 2 — —
Danylo Sikan F 79 6.20 — — 3 25 19% 1 — —
Mihajlo Cvetković F 90 6.20 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Marten Winkler F 20 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. N'Diaye D 20 6.20 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
N. Cobiella M 11 6.20 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Oliver Antman F 34 6.30 — — — 16 15% — — —
T. Bentayeb F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
The final score was Union St. Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht.
What did the model predict before Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Union St. Gilloise win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Anderlecht win.