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Union St. Gilloise - Celtic

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Union St. Gilloise
#6 · 7 pts
vs
Celtic
#35 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.75%
Win
Union St. Gilloise
23.74%
Draw
29.52%
Win
Celtic
2.37
Expected xG
1.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.94%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 47%
X 24%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 71%
X2 53%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 71%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Union St. Gilloise a 46% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Celtic. Expected goals are 2.4 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.7 for Celtic (total 4.1), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.94% probability.

Season Stats

Union St. Gilloise
2W 1D 0L
Celtic
4W 2D 7L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.4
0.3
Conceded
2.2
11.0
Shots OT
4.2
3.0
Corners
5.5
55%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
92%
67%
O 2.5
77%
33%
BTTS
77%
67%
Clean Sht
8%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Union St. Gilloise
1W 1D 0L · at home
Celtic
2W 2D 2L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.5
0.5
Conceded
1.8
50%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
67%
50%
BTTS
83%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Union St. Gilloise Celtic →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.1% 6.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.2% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
W Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–0
D Real Sociedad 1–1
W Plzen 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Celtic Celtic
L Celta Vigo 1–2
L Benfica 4–1
L Ferencvarosi TC 1–3
W VfB Stuttgart 0–1
L VfB Stuttgart 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Attack
73
Defence
81
Form
75
Celtic Celtic
Attack
50
Defence
57
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Celtic?
The model gives Union St. Gilloise a 46% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 29% for an Celtic win.
How many goals are expected in Union St. Gilloise vs Celtic?
Expected goals: Union St. Gilloise 2.4, Celtic 1.7 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Union St. Gilloise vs Celtic?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.94%.