Union St. Gilloise 5–2 Cercle Brugge — pre-match prediction — Pro League — October 25, 2026

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Pro League · Regular Season - 9 October 25, 2026 19:15 Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels

Union St. Gilloise

#3 · 23 pts

5 – 2

Final score

Cercle Brugge

#18 · 3 pts

R. Florucz (ast. D. De Roeve) 49'

M. Sylla (ast. N. Havenaar) 62'

E. Kakou 74' (og)

R. Mofokeng (ast. L. Patris) 80'

K. Rodriguez (ast. R. Mofokeng) 90'

(pen.) 24' S. Ngoura

(og) 48' M. Sylla

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Cercle Brugge 17%). The final result was Union St. Gilloise 5–2 Cercle Brugge. In 2 previous meetings, Union St. Gilloise have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cercle Brugge.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.02

Actual xG

1.23

Saves

66%

Possession

34%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

24'

(pen.) S. Ngoura⚽

N. Chibani

40'

↕ N. Chibani / D. De Roeve

46'

48'

(og) M. Sylla⚽

⚽R. Florucz · ast. D. De Roeve

49'

57'

V. Konate

⚽M. Sylla · ast. N. Havenaar

62'

63'

Erick Nunes / T. Akinsola ↕

64'

D. Vanzeir

↕ D. Aquino / K. Rodriguez

66'

71'

L. Mondele / A. Manneh ↕

71'

T. Adaramola / I. Diakite ↕

⚽E. Kakou (og)

74'

76'

H. van der Bruggen

⚽R. Mofokeng · ast. L. Patris

80'

↕ R. Florucz / A. Zorgane

81'

85'

G. Magnee / V. Konate ↕

85'

K. Kouassi / L. Le Roux ↕

↕ L. Patris / R. Sykes

89'

↕ K. Van De Perre / I. Pavlic

89'

90'+2

S. Ngoura

90'+5

⚽K. Rodriguez · ast. R. Mofokeng

90'

Pre-match prediction

63.05%

Union ←

19.33%

17.62%

Cercle

we assigned to the actual result (Union St. Gilloise) 63.05% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Union

4.50

2.02

-2.48

Cercle

1.28

1.23

-0.05

Union St. Gilloise dominated by xG (2.02 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gent	9	25
2	Club Brugge KV	9	24
3	Union St. Gilloise	9	23
4	Charleroi	9	21
5	Anderlecht	9	16
6	Genk	9	15
7	KVC Westerlo	9	14
8	Lommel United	9	12
9	Standard Liege	9	11
10	Zulte Waregem	9	11
11	Antwerp	9	10
12	SK Beveren	9	10
13	St. Truiden	9	8
14	RAAL La Louvière	9	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	6
16	OH Leuven	9	6
17	Kortrijk	8	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	3

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise 3-1-4-2

Hervé Koffi G 6.50

Nikki Havenaar 1 👟 D 7.00

Massire Sylla 2 ⚽ D 8.20

Nohim Chibani 45' D 6.00

Kamiel Van de Perre 89' M 7.30

Guilherme Smith M 7.20

Dylan Aquino 66' M 6.90

B. Zeneli M 7.50

L. Patris 1 👟 89' M 7.30

R. Mofokeng 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.90

R. Florucz 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.20

Bench

Adem Zorgane 9' M 7.30

Anouar Ait El Hadj M

Darius Olaru M

Denzel De Roeve 1 👟 45' D 7.20

Ivan Pavlić 9' M 6.60

Kevin Rodriguez 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.30

Ross Sykes 9' D 6.60

Sekou Keita F

Vic Chambaere G

Cercle Brugge 4-2-3-1

Gaëtan Coucke G 7.20

V. Konaté 85' D 5.90

Royer Caicedo D 7.20

Emmanuel Kakou 1 ⚽ D 5.20

Ibrahim Diakité 71' D 6.20

Hannes Van Der Bruggen M 6.70

Luke Le Roux 85' M 6.90

D. Vanzeir 64' M 6.20

Abdoulie Manneh 71' M 6.90

Tunde Akinsola 63' M 6.50

Steve Ngoura 1 ⚽ F 6.60

Bench

Erick Nunes 27' M 6.50

Gary Magnee 13' D 6.30

Krys Kouassi 13' F 6.30

Louis Colman D

Lucas Michal F

Lukas Mondele 19' M 6.30

Tayo Adaramola 19' D 5.60

Viggo Martens M

Yann Lienard G

Best on the pitch

R. Mofokeng

F · Union

8.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 40 pass

Massire Sylla

D · Union

8.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 68 pass

B. Zeneli

M · Union

7.50

· 44 pass

Kamiel Van de Perre

M · Union

7.30

· 51 pass

Adem Zorgane

M · Union

7.30

1 shots · 21 pass

L. Patris

M · Union

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 39 pass

Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Hervé Koffi	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	28	18%	0	—	—
Nikki Havenaar	D	90	7.00	—	1	2	65	53%	2	—	—
Massire Sylla	D	90	8.20	2	—	2	68	54%	2	—	—
Nohim Chibani	D	45	6.00	—	—	1	18	15%	2	1	—
Kamiel Van de Perre	M	89	7.30	—	—	—	51	45%	2	—	—
Guilherme Smith	M	90	7.20	—	—	2	45	38%	3	—	—
Dylan Aquino	M	66	6.90	—	—	1	24	20%	1	—	—
B. Zeneli	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	44	41%	0	—	—
L. Patris	M	89	7.30	—	1	2	39	25%	3	—	—
R. Mofokeng	F	90	8.90	1	1	3	40	36%	0	—	—
R. Florucz	F	81	7.20	1	—	3	22	15%	0	—	—
Adem Zorgane	M	9	7.30	—	—	1	21	21%	0	—	—
Denzel De Roeve	D	45	7.20	—	1	—	25	21%	0	—	—
Ivan Pavlić	M	9	6.60	—	—	—	9	9%	0	—	—
Kevin Rodriguez	F	24	7.30	1	—	3	8	5%	0	—	—
Ross Sykes	D	9	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	0	—	—

Cercle Brugge — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gaëtan Coucke	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	36	18%	0	—	—
V. Konaté	D	85	5.90	—	—	—	19	15%	0	1	—
Royer Caicedo	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
Emmanuel Kakou	D	90	5.20	1	—	—	35	26%	1	—	—
Ibrahim Diakité	D	71	6.20	—	—	—	23	18%	2	—	—
Hannes Van Der Bruggen	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	16%	2	1	—
Luke Le Roux	M	85	6.90	—	—	—	18	10%	7	—	—
D. Vanzeir	M	64	6.20	—	—	—	16	8%	2	—	1
Abdoulie Manneh	M	71	6.90	—	—	1	23	17%	0	—	—
Tunde Akinsola	M	63	6.50	—	—	1	11	9%	1	—	—
Steve Ngoura	F	90	6.60	1	—	2	9	5%	0	1	—
Erick Nunes	M	27	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	1	—	—
Gary Magnee	D	13	6.30	—	—	—	5	3%	0	—	—
Krys Kouassi	F	13	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	0	—	—
Lukas Mondele	M	19	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	0	—	—
Tayo Adaramola	D	19	5.60	—	—	—	3	1%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

The final score was Union St. Gilloise 5–2 Cercle Brugge.

What did the model predict before Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

The model assigned 63% probability to a Union St. Gilloise win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an Cercle Brugge win.