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Union St. Gilloise - Lech Poznan

Europa League November 26, 2026 18:45
Union St. Gilloise
#5 · 3 pts
vs
Lech Poznan
#35 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.13%
Win
Union St. Gilloise
22.77%
Draw
35.11%
Win
Lech Poznan
2.05
Expected xG
1.87

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.26%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 23%
2 35%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 65%
X2 58%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Union St. Gilloise a 42% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Lech Poznan. Expected goals are 2.1 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.9 for Lech Poznan (total 3.9), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.26% probability.

Season Stats

Union St. Gilloise
1W 0D 0L
Lech Poznan
4W 1D 2L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.6
0.0
Conceded
1.7
13.0
Shots OT
6.0
1.0
Corners
4.6
51%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
86%
100%
O 2.5
86%
0%
BTTS
43%
100%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Union St. Gilloise Lech Poznan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5%
4 1.5% 2.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
W Plzen 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 46%
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
L Crystal Palace 4–0
D FC Thun 2–2
W FC Thun 7–0
W KI Klaksvik 0–5
W KI Klaksvik 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Attack
69
Defence
70
Form
76
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Attack
56
Defence
62
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives Union St. Gilloise a 42% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 35% for an Lech Poznan win.
How many goals are expected in Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?
Expected goals: Union St. Gilloise 2.1, Lech Poznan 1.9 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Union St. Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.26%.