✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result Draw
D. Opoku
66'
(og)
17'
(ast. W. George)
D. Opoku
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 62% win probability (draw 19%, OH Leuven 17%). The final result was Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven. In 2 previous meetings, Union St. Gilloise have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for OH Leuven.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
1.19
0
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
3
20
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
W. Balikwisha
17'
ast. W. George ·
D. Opoku⚽
42'
J. Lawrence
43'
O. Gil
N. Chibani
/ D. De Roeve
56'
R. Mofokeng
/ R. Florucz
56'
⚽D. Opoku
(og)
66'
D. Olaru
/ A. Ait El Hadj
67'
Guilherme Smith
/ D. Aquino
67'
69'
B. Verstraete
/
L. Lakomy
72'
C. Ikwuemesi
/
R. Mirisola
85'
E. Pletinckx
/
S. Schrijvers
85'
K. Vaesen
/
W. George
85'
T. Ogiwara
/
D. Opoku
L. Patris
90'+1
M. Sylla
/ D. Egel
90'
Pre-match prediction
62.91%
Union
19.42%
X ←
17.68%
OH
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
1.06
-3.44
0.89
1.19
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Hervé Koffi
89'
G
Hervé Koffi
89'
G
4
Nohim Chibani
56'
D
Nohim Chibani
56'
D
29
Massire Sylla
89'
D
Massire Sylla
89'
D
55
Nikki Havenaar
89'
D
Nikki Havenaar
89'
D
6
Kamiel Van de Perre
89'
M
Kamiel Van de Perre
89'
M
11
Guilherme Smith
67'
M
Guilherme Smith
67'
M
28
Darius Olaru
67'
M
Darius Olaru
67'
M
23
B. Zeneli
89'
M
B. Zeneli
89'
M
27
L. Patris
89'
M
L. Patris
89'
M
38
R. Mofokeng
56'
F
R. Mofokeng
56'
F
9
M. Biondic
89'
F
M. Biondic
89'
F
Bench
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
22'
M
Anouar Ait El Hadj
22'
M
33
Dennis Egel
D
Dennis Egel
D
21
Denzel De Roeve
33'
D
Denzel De Roeve
33'
D
20
Dylan Aquino
22'
F
Dylan Aquino
22'
F
14
Ivan Pavlić
M
Ivan Pavlić
M
71
Keo Boets
G
Keo Boets
G
30
R. Florucz
33'
F
R. Florucz
33'
F
1
Vic Chambaere
G
Vic Chambaere
G
13
Kiany Vroman
89'
G
Kiany Vroman
89'
G
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
89'
D
Roggerio Nyakossi
89'
D
3
Noë Dussenne
89'
D
Noë Dussenne
89'
D
5
Jamie Lawrence
89'
D
Jamie Lawrence
89'
D
99
Davis Opoku
2 ⚽
85'
M
Davis Opoku
2 ⚽
85'
M
8
Siebe Schrijvers
85'
M
Siebe Schrijvers
85'
M
6
Wouter George
1 👟
85'
M
Wouter George
1 👟
85'
M
27
Óscar Gil
89'
M
Óscar Gil
89'
M
21
William Balikwisha
89'
F
William Balikwisha
89'
F
18
Robin Mirisola
72'
F
Robin Mirisola
72'
F
24
Łukasz Łakomy
69'
F
Łukasz Łakomy
69'
F
Bench
30
Alessandro Fontanarosa
D
Alessandro Fontanarosa
D
4
Birger Verstraete
20'
M
Birger Verstraete
20'
M
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
17'
F
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
17'
F
7
Emmanuel Addai
F
Emmanuel Addai
F
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
4'
D
Ewoud Pletinckx
4'
D
17
Kyan Vaesen
4'
F
Kyan Vaesen
4'
F
61
Owen Jochmans
G
Owen Jochmans
G
72
Sebastian Murru
M
Sebastian Murru
M
26
Takuya Ogiwara
4'
D
Takuya Ogiwara
4'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Patris
M · Union
7.70
· 42 pass
Roggerio Nyakossi
D · OH
7.50
· 35 pass
Kamiel Van de Perre
M · Union
7.30
· 78 pass
B. Zeneli
M · Union
7.30
1 shots
· 53 pass
Óscar Gil
M · OH
7.20
1 shots
· 14 pass
Massire Sylla
D · Union
7.20
· 60 pass
Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hervé Koffi | G | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Nohim Chibani | D | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Massire Sylla | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| Nikki Havenaar | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Kamiel Van de Perre | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| Guilherme Smith | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Darius Olaru | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Zeneli | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Patris | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Mofokeng | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Biondic | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Denzel De Roeve | D | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Aquino | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| R. Florucz | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
OH Leuven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiany Vroman | G | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Roggerio Nyakossi | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Noë Dussenne | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie Lawrence | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Davis Opoku | M | 85 | 7.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Siebe Schrijvers | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Wouter George | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Óscar Gil | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| William Balikwisha | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robin Mirisola | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Łukasz Łakomy | F | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Birger Verstraete | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Ewoud Pletinckx | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Kyan Vaesen | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Takuya Ogiwara | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Union St. Gilloise win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an OH Leuven win.