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Europa League · League Stage - 2 October 15, 2026 18:45 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Union St. Gilloise
#6 · 7 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Real Sociedad
#14 · 4 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result Draw
Sekou Abrahame Keita 88'
46' Benat Turrientes
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 72% win probability (draw 13%, Real Sociedad 14%). The final result was Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
2.09
Actual xG
0.65
0
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
2
28
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
David Hubert
39'
45'
Benat Turrientes / Yangel Herrera ↕
46'
Benat Turrientes⚽
Nohim Chibani
58'
↕ Nohim Chibani / Denzel De Roeve
64'
68'
Takefusa Kubo / Luka Sučić ↕
↕ Darius Olaru / Dylan Aquino
71'
Guilherme Smith
73'
74'
Mamadou Sarr
79'
Pablo Marin / Job Ochieng ↕
79'
Ander Barrenetxea / Gonçalo Guedes ↕
↕ Mateo Biondic / Sekou Abrahame Keita
84'
⚽Sekou Abrahame Keita
88'
90'+2
Orri Steinn Óskarsson / Mikel Oyarzabal ↕
Pre-match prediction
72.45%
Union
13.14%
X ←
14.42%
Real
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Union
4.49
2.09
-2.4
Real
1.45
0.65
-0.8
Union St. Gilloise dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.65). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Lineups
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3-1-4-2
12 Hervé Koffi Hervé Koffi G 6.34
55 Nikki Havenaar Nikki Havenaar D 7.40
29 Massire Sylla Massire Sylla D 7.33
4 Nohim Chibani Nohim Chibani 64' D 6.50
6 Kamiel Van de Perre Kamiel Van de Perre M 6.29
11 Guilherme Smith Guilherme Smith M 6.69
28 Darius Olaru Darius Olaru 71' M 6.77
23 B. Zeneli B. Zeneli M 6.69
27 L. Patris L. Patris M 6.38
38 R. Mofokeng R. Mofokeng F 6.80
9 M. Biondic M. Biondic 84' F 6.40
Bench
21 Denzel De Roeve Denzel De Roeve 26' D 6.45
20 Dylan Aquino Dylan Aquino 19' F 6.62
18 G. Kavelashvili G. Kavelashvili G 0.00
32 Sekou Keita Sekou Keita 1 ⚽ 6' F 8.07
1 Vic Chambaere Vic Chambaere G 0.00
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-4-2
13 Unai Marrero Unai Marrero G 6.76
17 Sergio Gómez Sergio Gómez D 6.07
19 M. Sarr M. Sarr D 6.56
6 Jon Martín Jon Martín D 7.26
5 Zubeldia Zubeldia D 6.66
11 Gonçalo Guedes Gonçalo Guedes 79' M 6.00
21 Y. Herrera Y. Herrera 45' M 6.70
4 Jon Gorrotxategi Jon Gorrotxategi M 6.25
12 J. Ochieng J. Ochieng 79' M 6.34
10 Mikel Oyarzabal Mikel Oyarzabal 89' F 6.23
24 L. Sučić L. Sučić 68' F 6.34
Bench
3 Aihen Muñoz Aihen Muñoz D 0.00
29 Alex Garcia Alex Garcia F 0.00
1 Álex Remiro Álex Remiro G 0.00
23 A. Zakharyan A. Zakharyan M 0.00
7 Barrenetxea Barrenetxea 11' F 6.47
8 Beñat Turrientes Beñat Turrientes 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.75
18 Carlos Soler Carlos Soler M 0.00
22 Héctor Fort Héctor Fort D 0.00
16 Jon Pacheco Jon Pacheco D 0.00
9 O. Óskarsson O. Óskarsson 1' F 0.00
15 Pablo Marín Pablo Marín 11' M 6.40
14 T. Kubo T. Kubo 22' F 6.38
Best on the pitch
Sekou Keita
Sekou Keita
F · Union
8.07
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Beñat Turrientes
Beñat Turrientes
M · Real
7.75
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Nikki Havenaar
Nikki Havenaar
D · Union
7.40
· 43 pass
Massire Sylla
Massire Sylla
D · Union
7.33
1 shots · 51 pass
Jon Martín
Jon Martín
D · Real
7.26
· 70 pass
R. Mofokeng
R. Mofokeng
F · Union
6.80
3 shots · 42 pass
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hervé Koffi G 90 6.34 — — 0 30 22% 0 — —
Nikki Havenaar D 90 7.40 — — 0 43 40% 5 — —
Massire Sylla D 90 7.33 — — 1 51 45% 1 — —
Nohim Chibani D 64 6.50 — — 0 18 15% 4 1 —
Kamiel Van de Perre M 90 6.29 — — 1 54 44% 2 — —
Guilherme Smith M 90 6.69 — — 3 23 20% 3 1 —
Darius Olaru M 71 6.77 — — 3 20 18% 3 — —
B. Zeneli M 90 6.69 — — 2 55 44% 2 — —
L. Patris M 90 6.38 — — 0 38 25% 3 — —
R. Mofokeng F 90 6.80 — — 3 42 33% 1 — —
M. Biondic F 84 6.40 — — 1 19 13% 0 — —
Denzel De Roeve D 26 6.45 — — 0 20 16% 1 — —
Dylan Aquino F 19 6.62 — — 1 10 4% 3 — —
Sekou Keita F 6 8.07 1 — 1 2 1% 0 — —
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Unai Marrero G 90 6.76 — — 0 33 19% 0 — —
Sergio Gómez D 90 6.07 — — 0 71 60% 0 — —
M. Sarr D 90 6.56 — — 0 59 55% 1 1 —
Jon Martín D 90 7.26 — — 0 70 64% 2 — —
Zubeldia D 90 6.66 — — 1 61 50% 0 — —
Gonçalo Guedes M 79 6.00 — — 0 33 27% 1 — —
Y. Herrera M 45 6.70 — — 0 18 16% 1 — —
Jon Gorrotxategi M 90 6.25 — — 0 67 54% 3 — —
J. Ochieng M 79 6.34 — — 0 21 16% 2 — —
Mikel Oyarzabal F 89 6.23 — — 1 36 31% 1 — —
L. Sučić F 68 6.34 — — 1 29 24% 0 — —
Barrenetxea F 11 6.47 — — 0 6 3% 1 — —
Beñat Turrientes M 45 7.75 1 — 2 25 20% 2 — —
O. Óskarsson F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Pablo Marín M 11 6.40 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
T. Kubo F 22 6.38 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?
The final score was Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad.
What did the model predict before Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Union St. Gilloise win, 13% to a draw, and 14% to an Real Sociedad win.