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Union St. Gilloise - Real Sociedad

Europa League October 15, 2026 18:45
Union St. Gilloise
#35 · 0 pts
vs
Real Sociedad
#28 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.5%
Win
Union St. Gilloise
18.06%
Draw
16.44%
Win
Real Sociedad
3.0
Expected xG
0.96
Most likely outcome
Union St. Gilloise
65.5%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.27%)
1X2 Result
1 66%
X 18%
2 16%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 84%
X2 35%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Union St. Gilloise a 65% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals are 3.0 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.0 for Real Sociedad (total 4.0), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.27% probability.

Season Stats

Union St. Gilloise
8W 4D 3L
Real Sociedad
3W 7D 5L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.7
5.9
Shots OT
4.6
4.6
Corners
5.9
48%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
80%
O 2.5
53%
53%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Union St. Gilloise
7W 3D 0L · at home
Real Sociedad
1W 4D 5L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.4
0.6
Conceded
2.1
70%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Union St. Gilloise Real Sociedad →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 5.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% —
5 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% —

Recent form

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Attack
59
Defence
64
Form
53
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Attack
38
Defence
47
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives Union St. Gilloise a 65% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 16% for an Real Sociedad win.
How many goals are expected in Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?
Expected goals: Union St. Gilloise 3.0, Real Sociedad 1.0 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.27%.